FIRE-EARTH Raises Hurricane HARVEY Disaster Designation Level

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Hurricane HARVEY disaster designation raised to “Level 2” on FEWW Disaster Scale

FIRE-EARTH Science has raised the disaster designation for the area impacted by Hurricane HARVEY  to “Level 2” on the FEWW Disaster Scale B of 1 – 14. [It’s the equivalent of a magnitude 3.2 catastrophe on FEWW Disaster Scale A.]

[Issued by FIRE-EARTH Science Team.]

• Additional info available from FIRE-EARTH PULSARS.

 

Super Typhoon HAIYAN Disaster: 4 Pct of Philippine Population Displaced

Super Typhoon HAIYAN affects 13 pct. of Philippine population, leaves 4 pct. homeless

The number of Filipinos affected by Super Typhoon HAIYAN has increased to over 13 million [UNOCHA,] with about 4 million people displaced [NDRRMC.] The latest figure for the homeless is 7 times the government estimates released only 4 days ago.

• According to the latest figures, more than 4 percent of the Philippines population of about 99 million are now homeless as a result of Super Typhoon HAIYAN.

On November 9, 2013, FIRE-EARTH Models estimated the impact of Super Typhoon HAIYAN in the Philippines as a magnitude 6.2 catastrophe on the FEWW Disaster Scale, indicating large-scale regional destruction with up to 40,000 casualties.

FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models estimate the total cost of damage at more than $5billion.

Dead, Injured, or Missing

Many people may have been swept out to sea and their bodies lost after a tsunami-like wall of seawater slammed into coastal areas. One neighborhood with a population of between 10,000 and 12,000 was now deserted, said Tacloban mayor Alfred Romualdez.

Philippine Government’s [Highly Politicized] Official Disaster Stats [including its woefully inadequate disaster response to date]

Source: SitRep No. 25 released by Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRMC)  November 17, 2013 @ 6:00pm local time.

Source: SitRep No. 24 released by Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRMC)  November 17, 2013. [$1 = 43.66 Philippine pesos]

[Note: Official estimates  for the total cost of damage has been amended to PhP10.34billion] which is more realistic than the initial estimates.]

This post will be updated throughout the day as more information becomes available.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Chronology of Disaster

Super Typhoon HAIYAN (locally known as YOLANDA) made its first landfall in the early morning of 8 November in Guiuan, Eastern Samar province. HAIYAN made subsequent landfalls in Tolosa south of Tacloban City, Leyte province, Daanbantayan and Bantayan Island, Cebu province, Conception, Iloilo province and Busuanga, Palawan province.

• Philippine Mega Disaster: 2 Million Displaced November 16, 2013
• Death Toll Doubles in Philippine Typhoon Disaster November 15, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Death Toll Continues Rising November 14, 2013
• Philippine President Lowers the Typhoon Death Toll, for Now November 13, 2013
• Stench of Death Permeates the Philippines Disaster Zone November 12, 2013
• Tropical Depression ZORAIDA Striking Mindanao, Philippines November 11, 2013
• Philippine Disaster Update – November 11 November 11, 2013
• Typhoon HAIYAN Strikes Northern Vietnam Near China Border November 11, 2013
• Philippine Disaster Zone: “It’s Like the End of the World.” November 10, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN – NOV 10 Update November 10, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Casualties Could Top Many Thousands November 9, 2013
• Extraterrestrial Typhoon Force Generating 20-Meter “Tsunami” November 8, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN’S Arm Battering the Philippines November 7, 2013
• “Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN – Image Update November 6, 2013
• HAIYAN Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Levels November 6, 2013
• Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines November 4, 2013
• Typhoon KROSA Destroys or Damages 19,000 Homes in Philippines  November 2, 2013

Other Related Links

• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Philippine Mega Disaster: 2 Million Displaced

Super Typhoon HAIYAN affects 13 pct. of Philippine population, leaves 2 pct. homeless

The number of people affected has increased to nearly 13 million, with about 2 million people displaced. The latest figures, provided by the U.N., represent a significant increase from the previous bulletin.

• According to the latest figures, more than 2 percent of the Philippines population of about 99 million are now homeless as a result of Super Typhoon HAIYAN.

Many people may have been swept out to sea and their bodies lost after a tsunami-like wall of seawater slammed into coastal areas. One neighborhood with a population of between 10,000 and 12,000 was now deserted, said Tacloban mayor Alfred Romualdez.

On November 9, 2013, FIRE-EARTH Models estimated the impact of Super Typhoon HAIYAN in the Philippines as a magnitude 6.2 catastrophe on the FEWW Disaster Scale, indicating large-scale regional destruction with up to 40,000 casualties.

FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models estimate the total cost of damage at more than $5billion.

Philippine Government’s [Highly Politicized] Official Disaster Stats:

Source: SitRep No. 22 released by Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRMC)  November 16, 2013. [$1 = 43.66 Philippine pesos]

[Notes: Official estimates  for the total cost of damage has been amended to PhP9,460,240,222.13] which is more realistic than the initial estimates. Philippines population is about 99 million.]

This post will be updated throughout the day as more information becomes available.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Chronology of Disaster

Super Typhoon HAIYAN (locally known as YOLANDA) made its first landfall in the early morning of 8 November in Guiuan, Eastern Samar province. HAIYAN made subsequent landfalls in Tolosa south of Tacloban City, Leyte province, Daanbantayan and Bantayan Island, Cebu province, Conception, Iloilo province and Busuanga, Palawan province.

• Death Toll Doubles in Philippine Typhoon Disaster November 15, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Death Toll Continues Rising November 14, 2013
• Philippine President Lowers the Typhoon Death Toll, for Now November 13, 2013
• Stench of Death Permeates the Philippines Disaster Zone November 12, 2013
• Tropical Depression ZORAIDA Striking Mindanao, Philippines November 11, 2013
• Philippine Disaster Update – November 11 November 11, 2013
• Typhoon HAIYAN Strikes Northern Vietnam Near China Border November 11, 2013
• Philippine Disaster Zone: “It’s Like the End of the World.” November 10, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN – NOV 10 Update November 10, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Casualties Could Top Many Thousands November 9, 2013
• Extraterrestrial Typhoon Force Generating 20-Meter “Tsunami” November 8, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN’S Arm Battering the Philippines November 7, 2013
• “Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN – Image Update November 6, 2013
• HAIYAN Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Levels November 6, 2013
• Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines November 4, 2013
• Typhoon KROSA Destroys or Damages 19,000 Homes in Philippines  November 2, 2013

Other Related Links

• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Death Toll Continues Rising

About 12% of the entire Philippines population directly affected by Super Typhoon HAIYAN: UNDAC

Official figures: At least 2,357 people are dead; 3,853 injured; 77 missing and 818,596 displaced

On November 9, 2013, FIRE-EARTH Models estimated the impact of Super Typhoon HAIYAN in the Philippines as a magnitude 6.2 catastrophe on the FEWW Disaster Scale, indicating large-scale regional destruction with up to 40,000 casualties.

FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models estimate the total cost of damage at more than $5billion.

The following table [SitRep No. 19] shows latest official casualty and damage estimates released by  Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRMC).

Source: Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRMC). [$1 = 43.6 Philippine pesos]

[Notes: Official estimates  for the total cost of damage has been substantially reduced to PhP4,060,044,079.13,] which is more realistic than the original figures. Philippines population is about 99million.]

Table below [SitRep No. 18] shows earlier casualty and damage estimates as released by  Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRMC).

Source: Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRMC).

This post will be updated throughout the day as more information becomes available.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Chronology of Disaster

• Philippine President Lowers the Typhoon Death Toll, for Now November 13, 2013
• Stench of Death Permeates the Philippines Disaster Zone November 12, 2013
• Tropical Depression ZORAIDA Striking Mindanao, Philippines November 11, 2013
• Philippine Disaster Update – November 11 November 11, 2013
• Typhoon HAIYAN Strikes Northern Vietnam Near China Border November 11, 2013
• Philippine Disaster Zone: “It’s Like the End of the World.” November 10, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN – NOV 10 Update November 10, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Casualties Could Top Many Thousands November 9, 2013
• Extraterrestrial Typhoon Force Generating 20-Meter “Tsunami” November 8, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN’S Arm Battering the Philippines November 7, 2013
• “Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN – Image Update November 6, 2013
• HAIYAN Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Levels November 6, 2013
• Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines November 4, 2013
• Typhoon KROSA Destroys or Damages 19,000 Homes in Philippines  November 2, 2013

Other Related Links

• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Casualties Could Top Many Thousands

HAIYAN: A new breed of “intelligent,” “designer” typhoons with built-in “power-preserver mechanism”

FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models show the impact of Super Typhoon HAIYAN in the Philippines as a magnitude 6.2 catastrophe on the FEWW Disaster Scale, indicating large-scale regional destruction with up to 40,000 casualties. 

Few houses standing in Tacloban, Leyte province, Philippines:  Disaster Official

“Almost all houses were destroyed […] Only a few houses are left standing, but with partial damages,” Major Rey Balido, a spokesman for the national disaster agency, told Reuters.

Typhoon HAIYAN was downgraded to a Cat. 4A storm force on the FEWW New Hurricane Scale racing toward Indochina Peninsula, over the warm (29ºC) waters of South China Sea, at a forward speed of about 35 km/hr, as of posting (04:30UTC).

Typhoon HAIYAN -VISIBLE/INFRARED  [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image  – recorded at 03:30UTC on November 9, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Typhoon HAIYAN – IR/Water Vapor Difference [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image (recorded at 03:30UTC on November 9, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

More details to follow…

UPDATES

• As of 12:00UTC the typhoon-related death toll had climbed to 1,200, but it’s expected to rise sharply.

• Large scale devastation has occurred in the islands of Leyte and Samar, which is consistent with FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models.

• At least 36 provinces, out of a total of 80, have been severely affected.

• FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models estimate the total cost of damage at more than $5billion.

• At least 4.3 million people have been affected including about 350,000 who have lost their homes, according to the Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC).

• The Super Typhoon pummeled seven of the country’s 17 regions, causing large-scale power outages across much of the disaster areas.

• There are numerous reports of widespread looting across the disaster zone.

• Dozens of towns throughout the disaster zone have declared states of calamity.

• HAIYAN is currently targeting South China, moving close  to Vietnam shoreline, according to revised projections suggested by several models. This would be a nightmare scenario for Vietnam because the typhoon could dump 4 to 6 times more rain over the country, and affect a much larger land area, than previously forecast, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.

This post will be updated throughout Saturday.

Related Links

• Extraterrestrial Typhoon Force Generating 20-Meter “Tsunami” November 8, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN’S Arm Battering the Philippines November 7, 2013
• “Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN – Image Update November 6, 2013
• HAIYAN Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Levels November 6, 2013
• Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines November 4, 2013
• Typhoon KROSA Destroys or Damages 19,000 Homes in Philippines  November 2, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery