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Posts Tagged ‘HAIYAN’

Typhoon HAGUPIT Raking Philippines, Affecting 50M

Posted by feww on December 7, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
MAJOR TYPHOON
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
STORM SURGES
COASTAL FLOODING
MASS EVACUATIONS
CROP DISASTERS
MAIN SCENARIOS: 900, 888, 808, [500,] 477, 444, 117, 111, 097, 071, 070, 047, 033, 027, 025, 023, 022, 012, 011, 09, 02
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HAGUPIT affecting half the Philippines population of 100M

Typhoon HAGUPIT is battering eastern Philippines, ripping roofs, downing trees and power lines, and inundating coastal areas with a powerful storm surge.

Up to a million people had already fled the coastal communities before the typhoon made its first landfall, leaving the city of Tacloban, destroyed by Typhoon HAIYAN in November 2013, and other communities looking like ghost towns, according to local reports.

HAGUPIT [known locally as RUBY] slammed into Dolores in Eastern Samar province at 9:15 p.m. local time on Saturday, with maximum sustained winds of at least 175 km/h, gusting to more than 210 km/h,  according to PAGASA.

“At 8:00 AM, today [Sunday,] the eye of Typhoon “RUBY” was located based on all available data at 70 km West Northwest of Catbalogan, Samar or 85 km Southeast of Masbate City  (12.0°N, 124.3°E),” reported PAGASA.

The massive typhoon, which has a diameter of about 640km, is expected to impact large portions of the country, affecting half the nation’s population of 100 million.

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State of Calamity Declared in Philippines

Posted by feww on July 16, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
MAJOR STORM
POWERFUL  TYPHOON
MASS EVACUATIONS
STATE OF CALAMITY DECLARED
SCENARIOS  444, 111, 088, 070, 066, 033, 023
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Typhoon RAMMASUN forces mass evacuations in the Philippines

At least ½ million people were evacuated as multiple Philippine provinces declared a state of calamity due to the damage caused by Typhoon RAMMASUN [aka GLENDA.]

The typhoon has claimed at least a dozen lives , as of posting, forced closure of Manila airport, and cut power to more than 10 million customers across Luzon.

“Major roads across Luzon were blocked by debris, fallen trees, electricity poles and tin roofs ripped off village houses. The storm uprooted trees in the capital where palm trees lining major arteries were bent over by the wind as broken hoardings bounced down the streets,” said a report.

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RAMMASUN Targets Philippines Ground Zero

Posted by feww on July 15, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
MAJOR STORM
CATEGORY 3 TYPHOON

SCENARIOS  088, 070, 066, 033, 023
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Typhoon RAMMASUN forces mass evacuations along Philippines eastern coastal areas

RAMMASUN making first landfall with sustained winds of about 200 km/h and max wind gust of up to 235km/h.

At 10:00UTC the powerful typhoon was positioned near 13.2N 124.0E, located about 420km ESE of Manila, tracking WNW at about 15 km/h, and generating maximum significant wave height of about 15 m, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.

RAMMASUN is expected to make a direct hit on the capital Manila, according to several models. It is forecast to dump up to 320mm of rain on parts of the country at rates of about 25 mm per hour.

It is the strongest storm to slam into the country since super typhoon HAIYAN, which obliterated  just about everything along its path, killing thousands of people and leaving millions more homeless when it crossed the central Philippines in November 2013.

RAMMASUN
Typhoon RAMMASUN. IR-WV Diff. Satellite Image.  Timed at 08:32UTC. Source: CIMSS

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Typhoon HAIYAN Strikes Northern Vietnam Near China Border

Posted by feww on November 11, 2013

Deadly HAIYAN makes landfall in northern Vietnam as a Cat. 1 storm

The once super typhoon was downgraded to a severe tropical storm as of posting, but was expected to dump up to 400mm of rain on parts of northern Vietnam and southern China.

Vietnam had reportedly evacuated about 900,000 people from coastal areas including 600,000 from the country’s northern region. China has  issued a typhoon alert for Hainan island, Guangdong and Guangxi provinces.

The typhoon had earlier swept over Vietnam’s Con Co island, forcing the residents to evacuated to underground shelter(!)

HAIYAN has already killed about a dozen people in Vietnam.

HAIYAN
Severe Tropical Storm HAIYAN.
IR/Water Vapor Difference [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image (recorded at 00:30UTC on November 11, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

The once Super Typhoon, HAIYAN has now transformed into a “rain machine,” expected to dump up to 400mm of rain over parts of northern Vietnam and southern China.

This post would be updated throughout the day, if further news becomes available.

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Super Typhoon HAIYAN – NOV 10 Update

Posted by feww on November 10, 2013

Casualty Figures Moving Closer to FIRE-EARTH Forecasts

Super Typhoon HAIYAN has killed at least 10,000 people in the Tacloban alone,  according to the provincial governor.

Tacloban, officially the City of Tacloban (pop: 230,000), located central Philippines province of Leyte, bore the brunt of HAIYAN. The casualty figure has not yet been confirmed by the central government’s disaster agency.

FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models calculated the impact of Super Typhoon HAIYAN in the Philippines as a magnitude 6.2 catastrophe on the FEWW Disaster Scale, indicating large-scale regional destruction with up to 40,000 casualties, the blog said on Saturday.

Summary of Latest Events

Typhoon HAIYAN was downgraded to a Cat. 4A storm force on the FEWW New Hurricane Scale racing toward Indochina Peninsula, over the warm (29ºC) waters of South China Sea, at a forward speed of about 35 km/hr, as of 04:30UTC on Saturday November 9, 2013.

UPDATES – Sunday November 10, 2013

  • According to the latest official figures, about 500,000 people have been displaced and more than 4.5 million people affected as a result of the typhoon attack.
  • At least 300 people were killed in Samar province, with 2,000 others reported as missing. Scores of others are injured. “However vast areas of Samar, an island of over 733,000, still have not been contacted over two days after the typhoon struck.” AFP said.
  • Authorities in Vietnam have evacuated about 900,000 people in 11 provinces.
  • “Tacloban is totally destroyed. Some people are losing their minds from hunger or from losing their families,” a high school teacher told reporters. “People are becoming violent. They are looting business establishments, the malls, just to find food, rice and milk… I am afraid that in one week, people will be killing from hunger.”
  • “People are walking like zombies looking for food,” said a medical student in Leyte. “It’s like a movie.”
  • A tourist describing the scene of total devastation in Tacloban City said: “It’s like the end of the world.”
  • Aerial surveys show “significant damage to coastal areas” with large ships thrown ashore, countless homes destroyed and large swathes of crops “decimated,” said The U.N.’s Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UNOCHA).
  • President Benigno Aquino is reportedly considering to impose martial law to stem the widespread looting (!)

ty haiyan 10-11-13
Typhoon HAIYAN – IR/Water Vapor Difference [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image (recorded at 02:30UTC on November 10, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

UPDATES – Saturday November 9, 2013

  • As of 12:00UTC the typhoon-related death toll had climbed to 1,200, but it’s expected to rise sharply.
  • Large scale devastation has occurred in the islands of Leyte and Samar, which is consistent with FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models.
  • At least 36 provinces, out of a total of 80, have been severely affected.
  • FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models estimate the total cost of damage at more than $5billion.
  • At least 4.3 million people have been affected including about 350,000 who have lost their homes, according to the Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC).
  • The Super Typhoon pummeled seven of the country’s 17 regions, causing large-scale power outages across much of the disaster areas.
  • There are numerous reports of widespread looting across the disaster zone.
  • Dozens of towns throughout the disaster zone have declared states of calamity.
  • HAIYAN is currently targeting South China, moving close  to Vietnam shoreline, according to revised projections suggested by several models. This would be a nightmare scenario for Vietnam because the typhoon could dump 4 to 6 times more rain over the country, and affect a much larger land area, than previously forecast, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.
  • Chinese authorities have issued a level three emergency response as the recently downgraded Cat 2 typhoon approaches southern China.

FIRE-EARTH Models show storm surges of up to 20 meters high, generated by the Super Typhoon, striking coastal areas in the Bicol Peninsula. SEE

[NOTE: To those reporters who have difficulty understanding the basic mechanics of tsunamis:  The height of tsunamis are governed by at least two major factors, in this case, (i) the initial height of the storm surge, and (ii) the geographical characteristics of the attack area. This is best described by Diposaptono et al in their paper Impacts of the 2011 East Japan tsunami in the Papua region, Indonesia: field observation data and numerical analyses – Geophysical Journal International, Volume 194, Issue 3, p.1625-1639.

… the impacts of the 2011 East Japan tsunami in Yos Sudarso Bay, Papua, Indonesia. Although the far-field tsunami had a height of 0.8 m measured at a tide gauge inside the small U-shaped bay, it severely damaged four villages scattered along the bay. Detailed numerical analysis was carried out to explain the damages. We used a well-verified source model in the near- and far-field cases to model the propagation of the tsunami southward in the Pacific until reaching Papua Island, Indonesia. The numerical analyses demonstrate two causes of damage in the bay: the maximum tsunami velocity (3.5 m s-1) floated the houses in the villages of Tobati and Enggros and caused them to collapse, and water trapped by the hook-shaped peninsula amplified the tsunami height at the Holtekamp and Hanurata.

Extent of the Devastation

“From a helicopter, you can see the extent of devastation. From the shore and moving a kilometer inland, there are no structures standing. It was like a tsunami,” said Interior Secretary Manuel Roxas.
“The dead are on the streets, they are in their houses, they are under the debris, they are everywhere,” said Tecson John Lim, a Tacloban city administrator.

“I have never seen such damage in my life,” said Capt John Andrews, deputy director general of the Civil Aviation Authority in the Philippines. I saw “utter destruction.”

“At the airport, there’s actually no structure left standing except the walls,” he told reporters.

Bohol Island Earthquake Disaster Update

Meantime, the following disaster update has been issued for the M7.2 earthquake that struck Bohol Island on October 15 2013.

  • Number of people killed:  195  + (12 others missing, presumed dead)
  • Injuries: 651
  • About 350,000 people have been displaced.

The earthquake triggered massive landslides causing extensive damage to housing, hospitals, schools, infrastructure and utilities, with more than 53,300 houses severely damaged or destroyed.

More details to follow…

This post will be updated throughout Sunday.

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Extraterrestrial Typhoon Force Generating 20-Meter “Tsunami”

Posted by feww on November 8, 2013

Super Typhoon HAIYAN, Probably the Strongest Storm in Modern Era, Strikes the Philippines

FIRE-EARTH Models show storm surges of up to 20 meters high, generated by the Super Typhoon, striking coastal areas in the Bicol Peninsula.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN made landfall over Guiuan (population: 50,000) in Eastern Samar Province at 04:40 local time, and is forecast to remain a Cat 5 storm force as it rakes  across the country.

Powerful winds and torrential rains brought by the Super Typhoon could trigger flash flooding and landslides causing large-scale fatalities and catastrophic damage along the typhoon’s path. See also links below for FEWW’s earlier forecasts.

Up to 1.9 million people have been evacuated in hundreds of villages, towns and cities.

In Calabarzon region, which include the provinces of Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, and Quezon, disaster officials are monitoring 84 towns prone to landslides and flooding, said a local report.

In Albay province, about 700,000  people living in coastal villages in 14 towns and three cities were evacuated.

Up to a million people have been evacuated in the Bicol Region.

haiyan 4
Super Typhoon HAIYAN- Water Vapor [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] Satellite Image – recorded at 22:30UTC on November 7, 2013.

MTSAT IR1 image: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/sat_images/satpic.jpg

Super Typhoon HAIYAN (TY 1330; TY31W)

  • Time: 18:00UTC – November 7, 2013
  • Movement: W (280 degrees) at 40 km/hr
  • Position: Near 10.6ºN, 127.0ºE
  • Max Sustained Winds: 315 km/hr
  • Max Wind Gusts: 380 km/hr
  • Source: JTWC

Previous Typhoons Toll

Since 2011, several typhoons including WASHI, BOPHA and KROSA have affected millions of people in the Philippines, flattening coastal towns, killing more than 3,000 people, destroying crops, razing tens of thousands of homes, and causing up to $2billion worth of damage to public infrastructure.

Details of the most destructive typhoons to strike the Philippines can be found on this blog.

More details to follow…

Typhoon List 2013 – Stats for NW Pacific Basin

typhoon list 2013 4-11-2013

  • The 60 year average (1951-2010) No of Typhoons by 4 November: 23
  • No of typhoons so far this year: 30
  • Percent Increase: 30.4 [Calculated by FIRE-EARTH blog]

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Super Typhoon HAIYAN’S Arm Battering the Philippines

Posted by feww on November 7, 2013

UPDATED AT 07:00UTC – November 7, 2013

Eric Schmidt you’re a LIAR!

DON’T BLAME GOOGLE’S COMMERCIALLY MOTIVATED  CENSORSHIP AND CORPORATE THEFT ON NSA.

Search term “Super Typhoon HAIYAN” does not list FIRE-EARTH on Google (we tried the first 12 pages), even though FEWW was the first source in the world to forecast Super Typhoon status for HAIYAN.

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“Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN, the most powerful storm of 2013, continues to intensify

At 5:30UTC on November 7, 2013 Super Typhoon HAIYAN was located about 690km ESE (106 degrees) of Homonhon Island (Eastern Samar, Philippines), moving WNW (285 degrees) at an average speed of about 30 km/hr.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN could cause large-scale destruction along its path, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.

HAIYAN is forecast to dump up to 500mm of rain on some parts of the Philippines.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN  (TY 1330)

  • Time: 05:30UTC – November 7, 2013
  • Movement: WNW (285 degrees) at 30 km/hr
  • Position: Near 8.9ºN, 132.0ºE
  • Location: About 690km ESE (106 degrees) of Homonhon Island (Eastern Samar, Philippines)
  • Max Sustained Winds: 290km/hr [increasing to about 300 km/hr —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
  • Max Wind Gusts: 340km/hr [increasing to about 350 km/hr —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
  • Significant Wave Height: 16m [Expected to rise —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
  • Source: FIRE-EARTH and others

Tens of thousands of people have been evacuated in the Philippines ahead of the Super Typhoon’s arrival. The typhoon, locally named “YOLANDA,” is expected to make landfall as a Cat. 4C storm force in eastern Visayas, Philippines on Friday.

google logo of the day 2
Super Typhoon HAIYAN Special Message.

haiyan 7nov13
VISIBLE/INFRARED  [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image  – recorded at 04:30UTC on November 7, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Since 2011, several typhoons including WASHI, BOPHA and KROSA have affected millions of people in the Philippines, flattening coastal towns, killing more than 3,000 people, destroying crops, razing tens of thousands of homes, and causing up to $2billion worth of damage to public infrastructure.

Details of the most destructive typhoons to strike the Philippines can be found on this blog.

More details to follow…

Typhoon List 2013 – Stats for NW Pacific Basin

typhoon list 2013 4-11-2013

  • The 60 year average (1951-2010) No of Typhoons by 4 November: 23
  • No of typhoons so far this year: 30
  • Percent Increase: 30.4 [Calculated by FIRE-EARTH blog]

Related Links

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“Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN – Image Update

Posted by feww on November 6, 2013

Super Typhoon HAIYAN moving closer to Palau

At 14:30UTC on November 6, 2013 Super Typhoon HAIYAN was located ENE of Palau (Area: 460 km²; Population: 21,000), moving west (280 degrees) at an average speed of about 33 km/hr.

HAIYAN - 6nov2013 - 13-30
Super Typhoon HAIYAN. SW/IR  [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image (recorded at 13:30UTC on November 6, 2013). Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

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HAIYAN Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Levels

Posted by feww on November 6, 2013

Super Typhoon HAIYAN could cause large-scale destruction along its path

HAIYAN became a Super Typhoon at about 04:00UTC on November 6, 2013, according to FIRE-EARTH models, with sustained winds exceeding 250 km/hr, and gusts of up to 310 km/hr.

Our models also show the typhoon further strengthening to an “Extraterrestrial Storm Force,” with sustained winds of about 300 km/hr and wind gusts of up to 350 km/hr over the next 12 hours.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN  (TY 1330)

  • Time: 04:00UTC – November 6, 2013
  • Movement: W (280 degrees) at 30 km/hr
  • Position: Near 7.7ºN, 138.5ºE
  • Location: About 430km east of Ngerulmud, Palau
  • Max Sustained Winds: 250km/hr [increasing to 300 km/hr —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
  • Max Wind Gusts: 315km/hr [increasing to 350 km/hr —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
  • Significant Wave Height: 15m [Expected to rise —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
  • Source: FIRE-EARTH and others

super typhoon HAIYAN 6nov13
INFRARED/Water Vapor Difference [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image (recorded at 03:30UTC on November 6, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Projected Path of Super Typhoon HAIYAN

projected path of super typhoon  HAIYAN
Projected Path of Super Typhoon HAIYAN. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.  

The typhoon, locally named “YOLANDA,” is expected to make landfall as a Cat. 4C storm force in eastern Visayas, Philippines on Friday.

Additional Satellite Images

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