800 Days and Counting Down

Homo Ignarus Reach another Expected Milestone in their Brief Pathetic History

Year two of BIG “Surprises” is about to begin!

Critical Overload Threatens Planetary Life Support Systems

The FIRE-EARTH/CASF Index of Human Impact on Nature (HIoN), an index for calculating the human impact on the planetary life support systems, climbed to a critically high level of 323 on July 1, 2013. In other words, the anthropogenic impact on the living environment exceeded 3.23 times the planet’s diminishing carrying capacity.

• The index is rising exponentially.
• HIoN rose 38 points, or more than 13 percent, year to July 1, 2013.
• The index was less than 80 in 1960, and rose to about 100 in 1980.
• Based on current FIRE-EARTH projections, the HIoN on July 1, 2014 WILL be a big “surprise!”

“According to HIoN projections, our cities and population centers could become almost entirely unsustainable by as early as 2015.”

Diagram shows the exponential growth of Human Impact on Nature (HION) between 1960  and July 2013. Source: FIRE-EARTH Real-Time Earth Models. Copyright: FIRE-EARTH Blog Authors.

RAPID Decline IN PROGRESS!

Tidal Surge of Global Change 26 Times Faster in 21st Century: FIRE-EARTH

FIRE-EARTH Models show the rate of global change has intensified by a factor of at least 26 in the last decade compared with the 1960s.

FIRE-EARTH defines ‘global change’ as the deterioration in the planet’s life-support capacity, caused by large-scale anthropogenic impact, which is leading to a total collapse.

Humanoids are about to enter a new year as the anthropogenic impact on the living environment continues to exponentially destroy the planet’s diminishing carrying capacity.

No major “inspiration” since harnessing fire

Homo erectus making fire – source: arthursclipart.org

[December 30, 2013] DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 800 Days Left 

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

• Human Impact
• Nature’s Warnings Exponentially Intensifying
• The First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities
• Back to the Primordial Future
• The Fate of Energy Dinosaurs
• Mass Die-offs

• 2010 Disasters [Links to 2010 Disaster Calendar]
• Mega Disasters
• 2011 Disaster Calendar
• 2012 Disaster Calendar

GLOBAL WARNING

• As of July 1,  2013, the CASF Index of Human Impact on Nature (HIoN) was 323!
• RAPID CHANGE IN PROGRESS! July 4, 2012
• Europe: The First Phase of Collapse Has Started 
• United States: The First Phase of Collapse Has Begun

900 DAYS LEFT

Chances are homo sapiens sapiens won’t get their act together in 900 days!!

Unlike lemmings, which seemingly have a self-implemented population-density management plan, the “mass suicide” of homo ignarus, stemming from their pathological death wish and guaranteed by their unsustainable life styles, was in the making for quite some time…

SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 900 Days Left

FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”

FIRE-EARTH Population Models show mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur as early as 2016.

Critical Planetary Overload

• Earth is fighting to stay alive! A dead planet cannot support life
• Critical Overload Threatens Planetary Life Support Systems
• RAPID DECLINE IN PROGRESS!

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

• The First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities
• Back to the Primordial Future
• The Fate of Energy Dinosaurs
• Mass Die-offs

Collapse in Progress

• Europe: The First Phase of Collapse Has Started 
• United States: The First Phase of Collapse Has Begun

The Chances Are

• If Homo sapiens sapiens couldn’t get their act together in 200,000 years… September 13, 2013

…  the homo ignarus attempted to silence everyone through fear-mongering, mass spying and blanket censorship… and might well have succeeded… had they not ran out of time…

CO2 Tops 400ppm at Mauna Loa as Forecast

Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Crosses 400PPM Milestone at Hawaii Observatory

On April 3, FIRE-EARTH forecast that the weekly average atmospheric CO₂ at Mauna Loa could hit 400ppm by May 2013.

Last 5 days of daily average CO₂

May 09 – 400.03  |  May 08 – 399.42  |  May 07 – 399.59  |  May 06 – 399.43 |  May 05 – 399.47  |

This is the first time the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere in Hawaii tops 400ppm since measurement began in 1958, according to ESRL data.

The rise to 400ppm level of the atmospheric carbon dioxide represents yet another appalling milestone in the brief history of the homo ignarus.

The last time Earth’s atmosphere contained this much carbon dioxide was probably as many as 5 million years ago.

CO2 Daily and Weekly Means at Mauna Loa.  The weekly mean (red bar) is simply the average of all days in the week for which a background value could be defined. The average standard deviation of day to day variability, calculated as the difference from the appropriate weekly mean, equals 0.38 ppm for the entire record. As a visual aid, the blue lines present monthly means of background data as they are presented under Recent Monthly CO₂ at Mauna Loa. [Source: ESRL/NOAA]

Up-to-date weekly average CO2 at Mauna Loa

• Week of April 28, 2013: 399.58 ppm
• Weekly value from 1 year ago: 396.81 ppm
• Weekly value from 10 years ago: 378.50 ppm

Recent Global CO2

• February 2013: 395.98 ppm
• February 2012: 393.05 ppm

Recent Monthly Average Mauna Loa CO2

• March 2013: 397.34 ppm
• March 2012: 394.45 ppm

Related Links

• 400 PPM April 3, 2013

• WARNING: Human impact 2.85 x Earth’s diminishing carrying capacity
• WARNING: RAPID PLANETARY DECLINE IN PROGRESS!

• Back to the Primordial Future
• The Fate of Energy Dinosaurs

Winter Storm Warnings for Minnesota, Wisconsin, Heat Advisory for SF

FIRE-EARTH Forecast posted on January 31, 2013:  Persistent heatwaves and other factors disrupting the continental precipitation patterns could significantly intensify and spread the drought in the U.S. over the coming months.

–

Winter Storm Warnings in Effect for Parts of  Central Plains and Upper Midwest: NWS

National Weather Service (NWS) has issued snowstorm warnings for Minnesota and Wisconsin effective tonight and early Thursday. The rare May snowstorm could dump as much as 6 to 12 inches of snow across parts of Minnesota and Wisconsin .

Moderate to occasional heavy snow will continue tonight and early Thursday across portions of southern Minnesota and west central Wisconsin. There will be a sharp cut off in snow totals across the area with the heaviest totals near and just east of a line from Mankato to the eastern Twin Cities metro to Balsam Lake in Wisconsin. The snow totals will also diminish farther east in Wisconsin. Roads may become slushy or snow covered early Thursday morning when the heaviest snow is falling. The heaviest snow has  shifted a bit farther east than what was previously expected.

SAN FRANCISCO:  Record to Near Record-Breaking Temperatures Forecast for Thursday

Meantime, NWS has issued Heat Advisory for SF areas effective from 1:00 pm to 9:00 pm PDT Thursday.

TEMPERATURES: RECORD OR NEAR RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY FOR MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS THE WARNING AREA [See Below]. HIGHS AT THE COAST WILL BE IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. INLAND LOCATIONS WILL BE IN THE 90S TO AROUND 100.

SAN FRANCISCO- COASTAL NORTH BAY, INCLUDING POINT REYES NATIONAL SEASHORE-NORTH BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-NORTH BAY MOUNTAINS- SAN FRANCISCO BAY SHORELINE-SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA COAST-EAST BAY INTERIOR VALLEYS-EAST BAY HILLS AND DIABLO RANGE- SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS-SANTA CLARA VALLEY, INCLUDING SAN JOSE- NORTHERN SALINAS VALLEY, HOLLISTER VALLEY, AND CARMEL VALLEY- NORTHERN MONTEREY BAY-SOUTHERN MONTEREY BAY AND BIG SUR COAST

US Weather Hazards Map for May 2, 2013. Source: NWS

Hundreds flee as Banning fire consumes thousands of acres

The Summit fire, a fast-moving wildfire fanned by Santa Ana winds, raged out of control consuming 3,000 acres on Wednesday in Riverside County, forcing hundreds of residents to flee their homes, said a report.

• A thick pall of smoke created by the blaze stretched for miles affecting air quality in the region.

• The fire was fueled by 35 mph winds, low humidity of about 12% with temperatures in the low 80s.

• California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection has responded to more than 680 wildfires so far this year, more than 200 above the average for the period, the report quoted the agency as saying.

Related Links

• How Homo Ignarus Killed Spring March 21, 2013
• US: Drought Disaster 2013 March 8, 2013
• U-S Drought 2013: Fueled by Heat from Hell? January 31, 2013 [FIRE-EARTH Forecast]