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Posts Tagged ‘Hurricane Bertha’

Revved-up Bertha Becomes A Hurricane Again!

Posted by feww on July 19, 2008

Will she hold her strength this time despite the official forecast?


Hurricane Bertha: Satellite image July 19, 2008 00:15UTC – NOAA

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HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 63
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 PM AST FRI JUL 18 2008

…BERTHA BECOMES A HURRICANE AGAIN…

AT 500 PM AST…2100Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 37.6 NORTH…LONGITUDE 50.6 WEST OR ABOUT 640 MILES…
1035 KM…SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH…35 KM/HR…AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH…120 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. BERTHA SHOULD SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND
BEGIN TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATE ON SATURDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES…75 KM…FROM
THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES…280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB…29.21 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION…37.6 N…50.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…989 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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Thought for the Day: Reoccurrences of Natural Phenomena

Posted by feww on July 18, 2008

“Hurricanes and wildfires are as essential to nature’s ‘housekeeping’ system as blood circulation is to maintaining homeostasis.”

“Nature does what it does best to maintain a livable planet. But she can’t be expected to save you from yourselves every time. If you build your dream cabin in the crater of an active volcano, in a forest prone to wildfires, on a beach in the path of hurricanes and tsunamis … nature may ‘misunderestimate’ your wisdom!” ~ A Member of Creating A Sustainable Future


Map of the cumulative tracks of all tropical cyclones during the 1985–2005 period. Image Author: Nilfanion on 2006-08-05. Background image from Image:Whole_world_-_land_and_oceans.jpg (NASA).

Although cyclones take an enormous toll in lives and personal property, they are important factors in the precipitation system of places they impact because they bring much-needed precipitation to otherwise dry regions. Tropical cyclones also help maintain the global heat balance by moving warm, moist tropical air to the middle latitudes and polar regions. The storm surge and winds of hurricanes may be destructive to human-made structures, but they also stir up the waters of coastal estuaries, which are typically important fish breeding locales. (Source)

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Bertha Revving UP!

Posted by feww on July 15, 2008

BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS…


A satellite Image of Bertha before arriving in Bermuda. NOAA, Jul 10, 2008

  • AT 800 PM AST [Atlantic Standard Time]…0000Z [GMT]…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 64.0 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES…135 KM…NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
  • LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA…AND THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
  • DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE ALSO OCCURRING ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM THE CAROLINAS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
  • BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.

Excerpts from TROPICAL STORM BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 47A
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM AST MON JUL 14 2008

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Hurricane Bertha Slows Down

Posted by feww on July 12, 2008

See Latest Update [July 14, 2008] Bertha Revving UP!

Bertha slows down, but her large eye looks menacing


A satellite image of Bertha as she appeared on July 12, 2008 at 00:15UTC – NOAA


Bertha [Latest image – Updated] Source: NOAA

HURRICANE BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 35A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
800 PM AST FRI JUL 11 2008

…CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE BERTHA STILL SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA AND
CRAWLING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD…

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

AT 800 PM AST…0000Z…THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS
CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 62.3 WEST OR ABOUT
250 MILES…400 KM…SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH…7 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY…
FOLLOWED BY A CONTINUED SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR
NORTH-NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY. ON THIS TRACK…THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PASS TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH…150 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. BERTHA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES…55 KM…FROM
THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES…220 KM. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT BERTHA COULD COME CLOSE ENOUGH
TO BERMUDA WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS TO BRING WINDS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE TO THAT ISLAND AND ADJACENT WATERS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON EARLIER AIRCRAFT DATA IS
976 MB…28.82 INCHES.

THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
IN BERMUDA OF 1 TO 2 INCHES DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION…29.3 N…62.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…90
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…976 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

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UPDATE: HURRICANE BERTHA

Posted by feww on July 10, 2008

See Latest Update [July 14, 2008] Bertha Revving UP!

5:00 PM AST WED JUL 09 2008

BERTHA STRENGTHENS BACK TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE

Hurricane BERTHA Public Advisory #27

AT 500 PM AST…2100Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 58.1 WEST OR ABOUT 560 MILES…
900 KM…NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 660
MILES…1060 KM…SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.


Portrait of Bertha [Updated] NOAA

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH…165 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS AND BERTHA COULD AGAIN BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE.


Bertha Heading West/Northwest. [Updated] NOAA

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES…45 KM…FROM
THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES…220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB…28.64 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF COULD BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BERMUDA
TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION…24.8 N…58.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…970 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST. FORECASTER RHOME

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Images of the Day: Hurricane Bertha

Posted by feww on July 8, 2008

Watch out! Big Bertha might be heading your way!


Image: NOAA


Image: NOAA [Updated]

For hurricane Bertha public advisory goto: Bertha
http://www.noaawatch.gov/2008/bertha.php

See also: Bertha – Hurricane Tracking Sector (Water Vapor Channel)

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