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Posts Tagged ‘Hurricane strength’

Hefty Omar May Develope into a Hurricane

Posted by feww on October 15, 2008

Update 10-16: Omar is now a cat 2 hurricane!

Omar is moving in a northeastly direction at 28 kmph. [Center located at latitude 16.6 north, longitude 65.2 west or about 137 km south-southwest of St. Croix and 227 km south-southeast of San Juan Puerto Rico.]  Omar is expected to move through the northern Leeward islands and the Virgin Islands  early Thursday, NHC reported.

Omar seems to have the potential to strengthen to a much larger hurricane under current/favorable conditions, according to FEWW model.

TS Omar headed toward Puerto Rico may become a hurricane soon

Tropical Storm Omar is likely to develop into a hurricane in the next few hours, the U.S. National Hurricane Center reported.

The storm headed toward Puerto Rico at about 11 kmph with sustained winds of 110 kmph was located near latitude 14.6 north, longitude 68.3 west or about 540 km south-southwest of San Juan Puerto Rico on October 15 at 01:15UTC.

TS Omar AVN Color Enhanced Satellite Image (still frame) – Oct 15, 2008 at 01:15UTC – SSD/NOAA

Hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning areas:

  • Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
  • British Virgin Islands
  • Islands of Anguilla, St. Kitts, Nevis, Saba, St. Eustatius, St. Maarten/Martin, and St. Barthelemy.
  • The island of Montserrat.

Posted in Montserrat, Saba, San Juan, St. Barthelemy, St. Kitts | Tagged: , , , , | 1 Comment »

Ike Becomes the Third Major Hurricane in 2008

Posted by feww on September 4, 2008

Ike Update 9/12: Who Rubbed the Oil Lamp?

With sustained winds of 185 km/hr Ike strengthens to a Category 3A Hurricane

GOES Floater – Tropical Imagery – Water Vapor Image – Date and Time: Updated. Credit NOAA/SSD

FEWW Comment: Hurricane Ike has shown a remarkable ability to self organize since almost immediately after birth. Ike has been strengthening steadily, but rapidly. There are no obvious reasons yet why Ike might change its nascent characteristics. While there’s still a long way to go to forecast the possible impact of Ike on any specific land areas, Ike could prove to be the strongest and most dangerous hurricane of the season yet.

Hurricane Ike’s Latest Update

Source: NHC
Forecaster: Brown/Blake
: Sep 4, 2008
Time: 00:01UTC
Location: The eye of hurricane Ike was located near latitude 21.7 north, longitude 53.2 west or about 1,035 km east-northeast of the Leeward Islands.
Direction: Ike is moving toward the west-northwest . This general motion is expected to continue tonight and early Thursday. By Thursday night early Friday a turn to the west is expected taking Ike over the open waters of the west-central Atlantic during the next 48 hours. It is too early to determine what if any land areas might eventually be affected by Ike.
Speed: About 30 km/hr (unchanged from previous report).
Wind Speed: Maximum sustained winds are about 185 km/hr with higher gusts.  Ike is a dangerous category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale, or a category 3A on the FEWW hurricane scale.  Some fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next 48 hours.
Breadth: Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 55 km from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 260 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure: 960mb (28.35 inches)

Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Track Forecast Cone [NHC/NWS/NOAA]

This graphic shows an approximate representation of coastal areas under a hurricane warning (red), hurricane watch (pink), tropical storm warning (blue) and tropical storm watch (yellow). The orange circle indicates the current position of the center of the tropical cyclone. The black line and dots show the National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast track of the center at the times indicated. The dot indicating the forecast center location will be black if the cyclone is forecast to be tropical and will be white with a black outline if the cyclone is forecast to be extratropical. If only an L is displayed, then the system is forecast to be a remnant low. The letter inside the dot indicates the NHC’s forecast intensity for that time.

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