FIRE-EARTH Alerts: MATTHEW – Update 001009

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Fire-Earth Alerts: Hurricane MATTHEW — Update — 9 October 2016

• Details of the Alerts are available from FIRE-EARTH PULSARS.

 

Norbert Makes Landfall in Mainland Mexico

Norbert Made Landfall in Mainland Mexico after Battering Baja California Sur with Heavy Rains and 166kmph Winds

Hurricane Norbert: JSL2 enhancement satellite image –  Still frame  dated Oct 12, 2008 at 07:30UTC – Source: NOAA/SSDSI

NORBERT MADE LANDFALL AND IS NOW INLAND AND WEAKENING OVER MAINLAND MEXICO

• Source: NHC
• Forecaster: Pasch
• Date and Time: October 12, 2008 at 06:00UTC
• Hurricane warning: A hurricane warning remains in effect for the coast of mainland Mexico from Topolobampo northward to Guaymas.
• Tropical storm warning: A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the coast of mainland Mexico from south of Topolobampo southward to Altata.
• Current Location: At 0600UTC the center of Norbert was located inland near latitude 27.1 north,longitude 108.6 west or about 65 105 km east-northeast of Huatabampo Mexico.
• Category and Wind Speed: Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 120 Km/hr, with higher gusts.  Norbert is a category one hurricane on Saffir-Simpson scale [and on FEWW Hurricane Scale.] Rapid weakening is likely as Norbert Moves over the mountainous terrain of Mexico.
• Direction: Norbert is moving toward the northeast at 33 km/hr and this general motion is expected to continue today.  On this track the center of Norbert will continue moving over northwestern Mexico overnight and during the day on Sunday.  The remnants of Norbert will likely move into the southwestern united states Sunday Evening.
• Wind Force Extent: Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 85 km from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 280 km.
• Estimated minimum central pressure: 987mb (29.15 inches).
• Rainfall: Norbert is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 10 to 15 cm over portions of northwestern Mexico, with possible isolated amounts of up to 25 cm.  These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Norbert or its remnants could produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 5 cm over portions of the southwestern united states through Sunday morning.

Cumulative Wind History

This graphic shows how the size of the storm has changed, and the areas potentially affected so far by sustained winds of tropical storm force (in orange) and hurricane force (in red). The display is based on the wind radii contained in the set of Forecast/Advisories indicated at the top of the figure. Users are reminded that the Forecast/Advisory wind radii represent the maximum possible extent of a given wind speed within particular quadrants around the tropical cyclone. As a result, not all locations falling within the orange or red swaths will have experienced sustained tropical storm or hurricane force winds, respectively. Source: Caption and Image: NHC/NOAA

Norbert Strengthens to a Cat 4 Hurricane

UPDATE: October 12, 2008 – 06:00UTC  >> Norbert Makes Landfall in Mainland Mexico

UPDATE: October 10, 2008 – 03:00UTC – Norbert weakens to a category 1 hurricane.

Norbert has strengthened to a category 4A hurricane on the FEWW Hurricane Scale (Cat four on the Saffir-Simpson scale), additional strengthening possible.

Hurricane NORBERT – October 8, 2008 – 22:00UTC

Infrared Satellite image frozen. Source: NOAA.

RGB Satellite image frozen. Source: NOAA.

Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Track Forecast Cone

Image: NWS/NOAA

Hurricane Details:

Norbert becomes an extremely dangerous category four hurricane

• Source: NHC
• Forecaster: Brown
• Date and Time: October 8, 2008 at 21:00UTC
• Current Location: The center of hurricane Norbert was located near latitude 16.6 north, longitude 111.2 west or about 715 km south of the southern tip of Baja California.
• Category and Wind Speed: Maximum sustained winds have increased to 215 km/hr with higher gusts.  Norbert is a Category 4A on FEWW Hurricane Scale (cat. four on the Saffir-Simpson scale). Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next 24 hours, followed by gradual weakening on Friday.
• Direction: Norbert is moving toward the west-northwest at 15 km/hr. A northwestward motion is expected to begin later today or tonight, followed by a turn toward the north on Thursday night or Friday.
• Wind Force Extent: Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 55 km from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 230 km.
• Estimated minimum central pressure: 948 mb (27.99 inches).
• Additional Notes: The wind radii have increased.

Image Source: NASA/NOAA

Related Links and Forecast Trajectory:

• Hurricane Norbert Now a Cat 2 off Pacific Mexico