Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Casualties Could Top Many Thousands

HAIYAN: A new breed of “intelligent,” “designer” typhoons with built-in “power-preserver mechanism”

FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models show the impact of Super Typhoon HAIYAN in the Philippines as a magnitude 6.2 catastrophe on the FEWW Disaster Scale, indicating large-scale regional destruction with up to 40,000 casualties. 

Few houses standing in Tacloban, Leyte province, Philippines:  Disaster Official

“Almost all houses were destroyed […] Only a few houses are left standing, but with partial damages,” Major Rey Balido, a spokesman for the national disaster agency, told Reuters.

Typhoon HAIYAN was downgraded to a Cat. 4A storm force on the FEWW New Hurricane Scale racing toward Indochina Peninsula, over the warm (29ºC) waters of South China Sea, at a forward speed of about 35 km/hr, as of posting (04:30UTC).

Typhoon HAIYAN -VISIBLE/INFRARED  [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image  – recorded at 03:30UTC on November 9, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Typhoon HAIYAN – IR/Water Vapor Difference [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image (recorded at 03:30UTC on November 9, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

More details to follow…

UPDATES

• As of 12:00UTC the typhoon-related death toll had climbed to 1,200, but it’s expected to rise sharply.

• Large scale devastation has occurred in the islands of Leyte and Samar, which is consistent with FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models.

• At least 36 provinces, out of a total of 80, have been severely affected.

• FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models estimate the total cost of damage at more than $5billion.

• At least 4.3 million people have been affected including about 350,000 who have lost their homes, according to the Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC).

• The Super Typhoon pummeled seven of the country’s 17 regions, causing large-scale power outages across much of the disaster areas.

• There are numerous reports of widespread looting across the disaster zone.

• Dozens of towns throughout the disaster zone have declared states of calamity.

• HAIYAN is currently targeting South China, moving close  to Vietnam shoreline, according to revised projections suggested by several models. This would be a nightmare scenario for Vietnam because the typhoon could dump 4 to 6 times more rain over the country, and affect a much larger land area, than previously forecast, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.

This post will be updated throughout Saturday.

Related Links

• Extraterrestrial Typhoon Force Generating 20-Meter “Tsunami” November 8, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN’S Arm Battering the Philippines November 7, 2013
• “Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN – Image Update November 6, 2013
• HAIYAN Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Levels November 6, 2013
• Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines November 4, 2013
• Typhoon KROSA Destroys or Damages 19,000 Homes in Philippines  November 2, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Typhoon KROSA Striking Northern Philippines

Google continues filtering information posted on FIRE-EARTH blog and excludes images posted here from its searches.

Typhoon KROSA Special Message.

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KROSA, 29th Typhoon of 2013, is making landfall in northern Luzon, Philippines

The Halloween Typhoon KROSA, the 29th storm of the NW Pacific so far this year, is about to make landfall in the northern Philippines, with winds of about 155km/h gusting to 190 km/hr.

Typhoon KROSA

• Time: 06:00UTC – October 31, 2013
• Movement: WNW (285 degrees) at 25km/hr
• Position: Near 18.0ºN, 121.2ºE
• Location: About 405km Northeast of Manila, Philippines
• Max Sustained Winds: 155km/hr [Cat 2A on FIRE-EARTH Hurricane Scale]
• Max Wind Gusts: 190km/hr
• Significant Wave Height: 8m

[Source: FIRE-EARTH and others]

Typhoon KROSA IR/WV Diff satellite image (FIRE-EARTH Enhancement) recorded at 04:30UTC on October 31, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Landfall

• KROSA is forecast to strike the Philippines near 18.1N, 122.4E at about 08:00UTC on October 31, according to JTWC.

• KROSA is expected to make as many as 3 landfalls—the Philippines, China’s Hainan Island and central  Vietnam— according to most models and  affecting about a half dozen countries, before dissipating over Indochina Peninsula.

Projected Path of Typhoon KROSA . Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. Image enhanced by FIRE-EARTH Blog.

Typhoon Stats for NW Pacific

• The 60 year average (1951-2010) No of Typhoons: 20.9
• No of typhoons so far this year: 29
• Percent Increase: 38.8 [Calculated by FIRE-EARTH blog]

More details to follow…

Related Links

• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

 

Typhoon NARI Chased by TS WIPHA

The Typhoon Indochina Didn’t Need

Typhoon NARI, having pounded northern Luzon, Philippines, is now reorganizing packing more power on her way to Central Vietnam, Indochina Peninsula.

Typhoon NARI [locally known as “SANTI”] killed at least 26 people in Central Luzon, with many more reported as missing, affecting tens of thousands of people in the region.

The typhoon left at least 60 towns submerged under floodwater in Aurora, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Pampanga and Zambales provinces, destroying or damaging scores of homes and tens of thousands of hectares of crops.

Electrocution, mudslides and falling trees were cited among the causes of typhoon victims death.

Meantime, tropical storm WIPHA, currently chasing NARI, has begun intensifying. The storm is expected to strengthen to a Cat 3 typhoon force, tracking toward Japan in the next few days.

Typhoon NARI Chased by Tropical Storm WIPHA. IR/WV satellite image recorded at 04:30 on October 12, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. Enhanced by FIRE-EARTH.

This typhoon has a “to whom it may concern” as the addressee, with northern Thailand typed on it’s receiver’s address line.

Floods have affected about 3 million people  in Thailand since September 17, 2013.

Meantime…

Floods Breach Industrial Park in Thailand

Thai officials said floodwaters were threatening a large industrial estate southeast of Bangkok, reported AP.

Floods have breached Amata Nakorn industrial estate in Chonburi province, 60 kilometers SE of the capital, AP quoted a senior local official as saying .

Heavy rains and runoffs from nearby hilly areas have flooded the park submerging it under about 30cm of water, however, floodwater has not yet affected factory operations, the official said.

“The park has more than 450 plants, about half of which are owned by Japanese companies. It was not affected during widespread flooding in 2011 that devastated much of the country, leaving more than 800 people dead and 6 million hectares (14.8 million acres) of agricultural, industrial and residential lands affected,” AP reported.

Flooding has killed dozens of people in Thailand so far this year, inundating at least 32 out of 77 Thai provinces.

On September 29, 2013 in More than 2 million people affected by flooding in Thailand FIRE-EARTH said:

Last Few Famous Words?

The deputy PM responsible for flood management has assured the public that a scenario like the 2011 devastating floods in which all major dams in Thailand reached full capacity would not happen. Unless, off course, there’s more heavy rain in the north!

“He said the major dams in Thailand are now at half of its capacity and can contain more than 10,000 million cubic meters,” said a report.

He said earlier that the flood situation this year is “not worrying,” and that it’s “under control,” adding that “Bangkok would be 100 percent safe unless there is more heavy rain in the North for a couple of days.”

Related Links

• More than 2 million people affected by flooding in Thailand September 29, 2013

• Typhoon WUTIP Headed for Vietnam, Laos, Thailand September 29, 2013

• USAGI Disaster Update: 25 Dead; 7,100 Homes Destroyed September 23, 2013
• USAGI Poses a Severe Threat to Hong Kong: The HK Observatory   September 22, 2013
• Cyclone PABUK Chasing Typhoon USAGI September 21, 2013

• Typhoon USAGI Eying Taiwan September 19, 2013
• USAGI Intensifies to Super Typhoon Force  September 20, 2013
• Global Disasters/ Significant Events – September 21, 2013 September 21, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale September 3, 2008
• Satellite Imagery

WUTIP Making Landfall in Central Vietnam

Powerful winds, torrential rains lashing Indochina Peninsula as WUTIP targets Vietnam

Typhoon WUTIP is lashing eastern coast of Indochina Peninsula with high winds and heavy rains as it moves closer to landing in central Vietnam.

Typhoon WUTIP is about to make landfall on the east coast of central Vietnam with sustained winds of about 140 km/hr gusting up to 170 km/hr. The typhoon weakened slightly overnight to the equivalent of a Cat 1 hurricane force.

Typhoon WUTIP (TY 20W)

• Current position: Near 17.2ºN, 107.5E (03:32UTC on Monday, September 30, 2013)
• Movement: 25 km/hr, 280 degrees
• Max Sustained Winds: 140 km/hr
• Max Wind Gusts: 170 km/hr (expected to increase to 245km/hr)

Expected landfall: About 06:00UTC on September 30, 2013

Typhoon WUTIP. Visible/Shortwave IR Satellite Image recorded at 04:32UTC on Monday, September 30, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Typhoon WUTIP – Water Vapor Satellite Image, with the projected path superimposed. Image recorded at 04:32UTC on Monday, September 30, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. FIRE-EARTH Enhancement.

74 missing after typhoon sinks boats in South China Sea

Forty seven people are reported missing after Typhoon WUTIP capsized three fishing boats in the South China Sea on Monday, said a report.

Related Links

• Typhoon WUTIP Headed for Vietnam, Laos, Thailand September 29, 2013

Typhoon WUTIP Headed for Vietnam, Laos, Thailand

Extreme rains from WUTIP to exacerbate flooding in Indochina Peninsula

Typhoon WUTIP is currently a Cat 2B and expected to intensify to a Cat 3B hurricane force, headed directly toward Vietnam.

Typhoon WUTIP (TY 20W)

• Current position: Near 16.7ºN, 111.5ºE (05:32UTC on Sunday, September 29, 2013)
• Movement: 17 km/hr, 260 degrees
• Max Sustained Winds: 175 km/hr (expected to increase to 195 km/hr)
• Max Wind Gusts: 225 km/hr (expected to increase to 245km/hr)

Typhoon WUTIPVisible/Water Vapor Satellite Image, with the projected path superimposed. Image recorded at 05:32UTC on Sunday, September 29, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. FIRE-EARTH Enhancement.

Typhoon WUTIP. Visible/Shortwave IR Satellite Image recorded at 04:32UTC on Sunday, September 29, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. FIRE-EARTH Enhancement.

Flood Disaster in Thailand

The deputy PM responsible for flood management has assured the public that a scenario like the 2011 devastating floods in which all major dams in Thailand reached full capacity would not happen. Unless, off course, there’s more heavy rain in the north!

“He said the major dams in Thailand are now at half of its capacity and can contain more than 10,000 million cubic meters,” said a report.

He said earlier that the flood situation this year was “not worrying,” and that it’s “under control,” adding that “Bangkok would be 100 percent safe unless there is more heavy rain in the North for a couple of days.”

Related Links

• USAGI Disaster Update: 25 Dead; 7,100 Homes Destroyed September 23, 2013
• USAGI Poses a Severe Threat to Hong Kong: The HK Observatory   September 22, 2013
• Cyclone PABUK Chasing Typhoon USAGI September 21, 2013

• Typhoon USAGI Eying Taiwan September 19, 2013
• USAGI Intensifies to Super Typhoon Force  September 20, 2013
• Global Disasters/ Significant Events – September 21, 2013 September 21, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale September 3, 2008
• Satellite Imagery