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Posts Tagged ‘Japan Earthquake Forecast 2011’

Japan Mega Quake Warning

Posted by feww on July 10, 2011

Mega Quake Measuring about 9.6Mw Could Strike Near Fukushima, Japan: FIRE-EARTH

FIRE-EARTH Models show that a large earthquake measuring up to 9.6Mw could strike within a 130 km coast of Fukushima, Japan.

Forecast Details:

  • Magnitude: Up to 9.6Mw 
  • Estimated Depth: 15km (±5km)
  • Location: Epicentered near 37.63ºN, 142.45ºE
  • Position: 130km east of Minamisōma, Fukushima, Japan
  • Expected Time of occurrence: July – October 2011
  • Probability of Occurrence: 72%

Global Tectonics Alert – April 9

JPTRMT1 – FIRE-EARTH estimates that about 80 exajoules (EJ) of tectonic stress energy could be accumulated in Japan Region between now and early 2016.

FIRE-EARTH Models show that most of the energy would be released as large earthquakes including a massive shock, a Megathrust earthquake, the largest on record, measuring 10.0+Mw, which could release about 64EJ of energy.

[NOTE: The 1960 Valdivia earthquake—The Great Chilean Earthquake—is the largest ever recorded earthquake measuring 9.5Mw. The quake struck on May 22, 1960 at 38.29ºS, 73.0ºW. Seismic moment release: ~ 11.3 EJ]

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