Japan Mega Quake Warning

Mega Quake Measuring about 9.6Mw Could Strike Near Fukushima, Japan: FIRE-EARTH

FIRE-EARTH Models show that a large earthquake measuring up to 9.6Mw could strike within a 130 km coast of Fukushima, Japan.

Forecast Details:

• Magnitude: Up to 9.6Mw 
• Estimated Depth: 15km (±5km)
• Location: Epicentered near 37.63ºN, 142.45ºE
• Position: 130km east of Minamisōma, Fukushima, Japan
• Expected Time of occurrence: July – October 2011
• Probability of Occurrence: 72%

Global Tectonics Alert – April 9

JPTRMT1 – FIRE-EARTH estimates that about 80 exajoules (EJ) of tectonic stress energy could be accumulated in Japan Region between now and early 2016.

FIRE-EARTH Models show that most of the energy would be released as large earthquakes including a massive shock, a Megathrust earthquake, the largest on record, measuring 10.0+Mw, which could release about 64EJ of energy.

[NOTE: The 1960 Valdivia earthquake—The Great Chilean Earthquake—is the largest ever recorded earthquake measuring 9.5Mw. The quake struck on May 22, 1960 at 38.29ºS, 73.0ºW. Seismic moment release: ~ 11.3 EJ]

Previous Forecasts

• TOKYO AREA QUAKE WARNING Posted on March 16, 2011
• FIRE-EARTH Forecasts: Japan Earthquakes Posted on March 13, 2011
• MEGA QUAKE STRIKES NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU
• Tectonics Update – March 10
• Strong Earthquake Strikes East of Honshu, Japan Posted on June 13, 2010
• M6.5 Strikes East Coast of Honshu, Japan Posted on July 5, 2010
• Honshu Earthquake Warning Posted  on November 10, 2010

Related Links

• Magnitude 7.1 Quake Strikes Off Sanriku, Japan
• Japan Earthquakes, Disasters: Recent History and FIRE-EARTH Forecasts

• FEWW Volcano Links
• Volcanoes
• FEWW Earthquake Links

Global Tectonics Alert – April 9

JPTRMT1

This is an amendment to an earlier release dated April 8, 2011

Japan Earthquake Forecast

FIRE-EARTH estimates that about 80 exajoules (EJ) of tectonic stress energy could be accumulated in Japan Region between now and early 2016.

Most of the energy is forecast to be released as large earthquakes including a massive shock, a Megathrust earthquake, the largest on record, measuring 10.0+Mw releasing about 64EJ of energy.

[NOTE: The 1960 Valdivia earthquake (The Great Chilean Earthquake) is the largest ever earthquake recorded measuring 9.5Mw. The quake struck on May 22, 1960 at 38.29ºS, 73.0ºW. Seismic moment release: ~ 11.3 EJ]

Japan Trench Mega Thrust Earthquake No. 1 (JPTRMT1)  could break up the Honshu island into some half dozen fragments and scores of smaller splinters. [An impression depicting the new geography of the islands may be posted later.]

The Megashock could trigger a colossal tsunami completely submerging coastal areas around the Pacific Ocean, and traveling many miles inland.

JPTRMT1 could trigger multiple volcanic eruptions throughout Japan Region and rest of the western half of the PRF, as far away as in Alaska, the Philippines, Indonesia, PNG, Fiji, Tonga, New Zealand and rest of the South Pacific region. [Groups J, H, K and L on the map below.

The 10.0+Mw Megashock, its massive aftershocks, the spawned mountainous tsunamis and the multiple volcanic eruptions would cause  death and destruction on unprecedented scales throughout the Pacific Rim countries and beyond.

The impact of the volcanic eruptions would affect the entire world, resulting in severe climatic episodes, major losses of crops, famine and exacerbate mass dieoffs, which may have already started as a result of drought and deluge and other collapse mechanisms.

Map of Volcanoes. Background Map: University of Michigan. Designed and enhanced by Fire Earth Blog. Click image to enlarge.

Forecast Details

• Name Assigned by FIRE-EARTH: Japan Trench Mega Thrust Earthquake No. 1 (JPTRMT1)
• Location: Near the East Coast of Honshu, Japan
• Depth: ~ 26km
• Magnitude: 10.0+Mw
• Energy released: ~ 64EJ
• Largest Aftershocks:  ~ 9.0 Mw
• JPTRMT1 and its Massive aftershocks would trigger dozens of colossal super tsunamis.
• The unprecedented super seismic episode could trigger between 40 and 80 volcanoes to erupt simultaneously, shortly after the mainshock strikes.
• Millions of people could perish within the first few hours, and hundreds of millions more left without clean water, food, or shelter, as a result of the events.

Alaska Update [15:00UTC]

FIRE-EARTH Model shows continued buildup of tectonic stress energy near the coast of Alaska.

See: Alaska Earthquake Forecast: Update 3

Last updated: 11:24 UTC April 19, 2010

Global Disasters

• 2011 Much More Disastrous
• 2010 Disasters
• 2011 Disaster Calendar

Related Links:

• Global Tectonics Alert

• Probability of a nuclear disaster striking near you
• M7.4 Quake Strikes Near E Coast of Honshu
• Japan Earthquakes, Disasters: Recent History and FIRE-EARTH Forecasts

Global Tectonics Alert

Japan Earthquake Forecasts

THIS SECTION WAS REVISED ON APRIL 9

SEE: JPTRMT1

The earthquakes could potentially rip through one or more of Japan’s nuclear power plants creating  a radioactive hell.

Japan MUST ACT NOW to prevent further RADIOACTIVE NIGHTMARES by decommissioning all of its nuclear reactors at war speed.

Previously …

March 16, 2011

Global Disaster Forecast – 16 Mar 2011

TOKYO AREA QUAKE WARNING
Large Earthquake Could Strike Tokyo Area – Megaqauke measuring up to 9.2Mw could strike Tokyo / Chiba Area:  FIRE-EARTH Forecast

March 13, 2011

FIRE-EARTH Forecasts: Japan Earthquakes
Japan Earthquakes: A Summary of Forecasts by FIRE-EARTH Blog

• NEW FORECAST: As Many as 4 Large Earthquakes Could  Strike Japan Region by 2015

Global Disasters

• 2011 Much More Disastrous
• 2010 Disasters
• 2011 Disaster Calendar

Related Links:

• Probability of a nuclear disaster striking near you
• M7.4 Quake Strikes Near E Coast of Honshu
• Japan Earthquakes, Disasters: Recent History and FIRE-EARTH Forecasts