PHAILIN: A Perfect Super Cyclone

Super Cyclone PHAILIN Packs Even More Power

The perfectly symmetrical textbook Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN has further intensified, packing winds of about 270km per hour with wind gusts reaching 330km per hour.

FIRE-EARTH forecasts the cyclone could slightly intensify to a peak of about 275km/hr over the next 6 hours due to favorable sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions.

Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN has a well-defined 30km-wide eye. VIS/IR Satellite Image recorded at 00:30UTC on October 12, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. FIRE-EARTH Enhancement.

Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN

• Time: 03:00UTC on October 12, 2013
• Movement: NW – 305 degrees @ 13km/hr
• Position: Near 17.7ºN, 86.7ºE
• Location: About 585km SSW of Kolkata (202 degrees), India
• Max Sustained Winds: 270km/hr  [Super Cyclonic Storm]
• Max Wind Gusts: 330km/hr
• Significant Wave Height: ~ 10m
• Estimated Landfall Location and Time: Southwest of Brahmapur [REVISED] at about 18:00UTC on October 12, 2013. [JTWC estimate: Northeast of Visakhapatnam, Near 19.17ºN, 84.82E]
• Source: FIRE-EARTH and others

PHAILIN is a “28-hr” Super Storm!

The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a ‘Red Message’ warning for North Andhra Pradesh and Odisha Coast concerning the impact of the “very severe cyclonic storm PHAILIN.”

Next update after landing!

The 1999 Odisha Cyclone [aka, Cyclone 05B, and Paradwip]

The 1999 Odisha cyclone was the deadliest tropical cyclone to hit India since 1971. The Category Five super storm made landfall just weeks after a category 4 storm had hit the same region.

The deadly cyclone hit India on October 29, 1999 with sustained winds of about 250km/hr, killing an estimated 15,000 people and carving a path of destruction.

Related Links

• Millions Flee Monster Cyclone PHAILIN October 11, 2013
• PHAILIN Becomes a Super Cyclonic Storm October 11, 2013
• Massive Cyclone Drifting Towards E India October 10, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

MAHASEN Could Strike Bangladesh

Bangladesh could be hit by intensifying MAHASEN: Forecasters

TS MAHASEN is forecast to intensify, striking Bangladesh as a severe cyclonic storm at about 20:30UTC on May 16, according to several models.

• The cyclone is expected to make landfall near 21.1 N, 91.2 E, (near Chittagong, Bangladesh’s min seaport and 2nd largest city) with sustained winds of about 120 km/h (80 mph), and wind gusts reaching 165km/h.

• “Depression which already turned into cyclonic storm would likely move initially northwestwards during the next 36 hours and recurve thereafter northeastwards towards the Bangladesh-Myanmar coast,” according to a bulletin issued by the Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD).

• At 15:00UTC on Monday May 13, the Tropical Cyclone 01B (MAHASEN) was positioned near 12.8N, 85.7E, about 630 NM (1,160km) SSW of Kolkata, India, tracking NW at 6-hr average forward speed of 09NM, according to JTWC.

Tropical Cyclone MAHASEN – Longwave Infrared Image – Dvorak Enhancement 2013/05/13  @ 13:30UTC. Source: CIMSS

Other Global Disasters/ Significant Events

Bangladesh Death Toll Reaches 1,127

The authorities are concluding the rescue operation at Rana Plaza garment factory complex twenty days into the collapse. The confirmed death toll was 1,127, on May 13.

• Many people were still missing. The official number of missing was 149 but unofficial estimates are reportedly higher.

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Illinois, USA: Eleven Counties Declared Federal Disaster Areas

The White House has issued a fedear disaster declaration for 11 Illinois counties that suffered damage from last month’s flooding.

• Powerful storms, severe flooding and high winds hit Illinois in April, causing destruction and damage in 49 counties.

• Counties covered by the federal disaster declaration are  Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Fulton, Grundy, Kane, Kendall, Lake, LaSalle, McHenry and Wil.

• Assessment teams found about 3,700 damaged homes across 14 counties.

• Gov.  Quinn previously declared 49 Illinois counties as state disaster areas.

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DISASTER CALENDAR – May 13, 2013 — 
SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,034 Days Left 

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.

• SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,034 Days Left to ‘Worst Day’ in the brief Human  History
• The countdown began on May 15, 2011 …

GLOBAL WARNINGS

• WARNING: Human impact 2.85 x Earth’s diminishing carrying capacity
• WARNING: RAPID PLANETARY DECLINE IN PROGRESS!
• Europe: The First Phase of Collapse Has Started 
• United States: The First Phase of Collapse Has Begun

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

• The First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities
• Back to the Primordial Future
• The Fate of Energy Dinosaurs
• Mass Die-offs

Disaster Calendar – 31 July 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,324 Days Left

[July 31, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,324 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History…

• India.   One of the world’s worst blackouts left nearly seven hundred million people in India (pop: ~1.2 billion) without electricity on Tuesday as grids collapsed for the second time in two days.
  • The blackouts extended more than 3,000km, from India’s western border with Pakistan to its eastern border with Burma.

Symbolic countdown to the ‘worst day’ in human history began on May 15, 2011...

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

• The First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities
• Back to the Primordial Future
• The Fate of Energy Dinosaurs
• Mass Die-offs

• 2010 Disasters [Links to 2010 Disaster Calendar]
• Mega Disasters
• 2011 Disaster Calendar
• 2012 Disaster Calendar

Nodding syndrome claims its 66th victim

Fatal neurological syndrome threatens thousands of Ugandan children

Nodding syndrome (aka, nodding disease) is a little-known syndrome which first emerged in Africa in the 1960s.  The fatal disease affects young children under the age of 15, leaving them mentally and physically disabled.

Disaster Calendar 2011 – December 9

[December 9, 2011]  Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,559 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

• Padre, Uganda.  Nodding syndrome  has claimed its 66th victim in Padre, Uganda. It is a little-known syndrome which first emerged in Sudan 3 decades ago. The disease affects young children aged between 5 and 15 [other reports put the victims age bracket between 3 and 18,] leaving them mentally and physically disabled.
• “Nodding disease is a peculiar health problem that was first reported in the district in 2008 and is characterized by head nodding, mental retardation, stunted growth, blindness, body stiffness, endless running nose and saliva, occasional defecation and urination during attack of the infected person,” said a report.
• The disease is spreading rapidly in Uganda’s Padre district with up to 1,600 infections registered per day since August, according to Pader District Health Officer Janet Oola.
• Possible causes of the disease include exposure to chemical or  biological weapons.

Other Disasters

• Kolkata, India.  At least 73 people were killed when fire engulfed a hospital in the Indian city of Kolkata.
• The AMRI hospital staff said the victims included 70 patients and three staff members, Indo-Asian News Service reported.
• Missouri, USA. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has declare 24 counties in Missouri as agricultural disaster areas due to losses caused by severe storms with hail and high winds that occurred Aug. 18-22, 2011.
• Seven counties designated as the Primary Disaster Areas:  Andrews, Atchison, Gentry, Lafayette, Nodaway, Pettis and Platte.
• Seventeen counties designated as the Contiguous Disaster Areas: Benton, Clay, Daviess, Henry, Johnson, Saline, Buchanan, Clinton, De Kalb, Holt, Morgan, Worth, Carroll, Cooper, Harrison, Jackson and Ray.
• The following counties in Iowa, Kansas and Nebraska were also designated as disaster areas because they’re  contiguous:
• Iowa: Fremont, Page and Taylor counties.
• Kansas: Atchison, Doniphan, Leavenworth and Wyandotte counties.
• Nebraska: Nemaha, Otoe and Richardson counties.

Global Disaster Links

• 2011 Much More Disastrous
• 2010 Disasters [Includes Links to 2010 Disaster Calendar]
• Mega Disasters: 2011 SIX TIMES MORE DISASTROUS THAN 2010
• 2011 Disaster Calendar

WARNING: About 20 percent of the world population could perish by 2016