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Posts Tagged ‘manila flood’

Possible Tropical Cyclone Forming Near Luzon

Posted by feww on November 2, 2009

Tropical Depression Tino Moving Towards N. Luzon

At 12:00 UTC, today, Tropical Depression “TINO” was near 17.3°N, 123.9°E, or about 200 km East of Tuguegarao City, moving West at 11 km/h.

  • Maximum sustained winds: 60 kp/h
  • Significant Wave heights: Up to 7.5 meter (23 feet)

“Strong to gale force winds is expected to affect the seaboards of northern and central Luzon,” Philippines DOST PAGASA said.

MTSAT IR  full disk 2-11-09 1200 UTC
MTSAT – IR Still Image – Time and Date as Inset. Click image to update.

possible new tropical  storm
Tropical Depression TINO [local name]  Moving ENE toward northern Luzon. MTSAT IR1. Still Image on 2 November 2009, timed at 12:30UTC. Dost Pagasa. Click image to enlarge and update.

Philippines  Cyclones Since August 2009

  • 30 Oct: Typhoon Mirinae Struck Quezon, leaving up to 20 dead or missing.
  • 3 Oct: Typhoon Parma’s triggered floods and landslides killing more than 200.
  • 26 Sept: Tropical Storm Ketsana dumped more water on Manila and neighboring provinces than ever recorded, killing up to 400, and leaving a quarter of a million people homeless.
  • 7 Aug: Typhoon Morakot swept northern Luzon, killing more than 10 people.

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Previous entries:

Source Page: FEWW Satellite Imagery

MTSAT/ NOAA

Loops/Animations (MTSAT/NOAA/SSD)

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Previous Storms:

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Posted in Climate Change, dividends of climate change, human enhanced natural hazards, tropical cyclones, Western Pacific Typhoon | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Mirinae: Philippines Phlooded

Posted by feww on November 1, 2009

Tropical Storm MIRINAE – UPDATE 02 November 2009 at 15:UTC

On 02 November 2009 at 15:00 UTC Tropical Storm MIRINAE was located near 12.5N, 108.0E, or approximately 290 km northeast of Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam. The strom has been tracking westward (260 degrees) at a forward speed of about 22km/h during the past six hours, having made landfall shortly after 06:00 UTC. “The Low level circulation center (LLCC) is expected to dissolve over land within the next 12 hours. Remnant vorticity may track towards the Gulf of Thailand,” JTWC said, but the LLCC is not expected to redevelop.

  • Maximum Sustained Winds:  85 km/h
  • Maximum Wind Gusts:  102 km/h

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Image of the Day:

Philippines After Mirinae

Santa Cruz streets after mirinae  AP
Philippines Govt sent naval boats to Santa Cruz where roads were heavily flooded. Even after the floodwater receded after rain had eased, it was still reported as “chest-high” in some areas. Photo: AP. Image may be subject to copyright.

Initial Impact of Mirinae on the Philippines

  • Mirinae was the fourth storm in a month to pummel the Philippines.
  • It made landfall on the eastern coastal province of Quezon, buffeting the area with winds of 150 km/h and gusts of up to 190 km/h.
  • The typhoon struck Quezon about 24:00 UTC, Friday, moving west, south of Manila as it weakened overland into a tropical storm Saturday afternoon, and headed in the direction of Vietnam.
  • Heavy rain and strong winds caused more damage to the already storm stricken areas in the region.
  • Typhoon Mirinae took a similar path to storm Ketsana, whose heavy rains inundated Manila in September causing the worst floods in living memory.
  • The worst storm-related floods in living memory have left hundreds dead , with up to a quarter of a million homeless.
  • Up to 20 people have been killed or were reported as missing, including 7 confirmed  deaths, as of posting. A man was drowned and his small baby washed away in Pililla township in Rizal province, east of Manila, as they tried to cross an overflowing creek, reports said.
  • Six more people were killed in Laguna province, south of the capital, and up to a dozen people are reported missing.
  • In the town of Santa Cruz the roads were flooded, residents waded through a chest high mix of muddy floodwater and sewage after Mirinae dumped heavy rains in the area. govt sent in naval boats to help with rescue operation.
  • “The waters were really high. It was like a flashflood. It was waist deep in our area but in other areas it went as high as the rooftops,” a local official was quoted as saying.
  • Up to 120,000 people were evacuated in areas south of Manila. Residents in other areas were told to prepare essential supplies for 3 days, and stay put.
  • Some 180 flights were canceled, dozens of ferries grounded, many schools closed.
  • Areas south of the capital were worst hit by heavy rain and strong winds, which caused significant damage.

Philippines  Cyclones Since August 2009

  • 30 Oct: Typhoon Mirinae Struck Quezon, leaving up to 20 dead or missing.
  • 3 Oct: Typhoon Parma’s triggered floods and landslides killing more than 200.
  • 26 Sept: Tropical Storm Ketsana dumped more water on Manila and neighboring provinces than ever recorded, killing up to 400, and leaving a quarter of a million people homeless.
  • 7 Aug: Typhoon Morakot swept northern Luzon, killing more than 10 people.

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Posted in Climate Change, dividends of climate change, human enhanced natural hazards, Philippines, tropical cyclone, Tropical storm, Typhoon MIRINAE | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

TS MIRINAE – UPDATE 31 October 2009

Posted by feww on October 31, 2009

Typhoon Mirinae, the fourth in a month to strike the Philippines, pummels the island of Luzon

Typhoon MIRINAE – Update on 31 Oct 2009 – Time: 03:00UTC

  • Position: 14.0N 119.5E
  • Location: 105 km (55 nm) southwest of Manila, Philippines
  • Maximum  Sustained Winds: 95 km/h (50 kt)
  • Maximum Wind Gusts : 120 km/h (65 kt)
  • Movement and speed: Tracking  westward [255º] at 28 km/h (15 kt) – gaining speed
  • Maximum Significant Wave Height: 4 m (13 feet)

FEWW Comment: Mirinae could strengthen into a typhoon [Probability = 0.35] again, before making its next landfall in Vietnam

aa mirinae
Tropical Cyclone Mirinae [SANTI] MTSAT IR1. Still Image. Click image to enlarge and update.

Typhoon Mirinae, now weakened to a tropical storm force, struck the main island of Luzon, Philippines early Saturday morning (17:00 UTC Friday), making landfall in the eastern Quezon province, he Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA )reported.

The powerful typhoon “crashed into the Philippine capital Saturday with pounding rain and strong winds, causing a massive power outage, downing trees and bringing fresh floods to areas still partially submerged from a recent deadly storm,” AP reported. 


Residents living in Manila Bay look out from their house that was damaged by Typhoon Mirinae in Bacoor town, south of Manila, October 31, 2009. REUTERS/Erik de Castro. Image may be subject to copyright.

“The Philippine network said knee-deep floodwaters were reported in the village of Salapan and brownouts were reported in parts of Luzon, including metro Manila. Power was out in Quezon province, where the typhoon made landfall, as well as parts of Bicol, Pasig City and Rizal province,” UPI reported.

Up to 150,000 residents in low-lying areas were  evacuated to shelters before the typhoon arrived, the National Disasters Coordinating Council reported. Some 180 flights from Manila were canceled and many ferries were grounded, with more than 10,000 passengers stranded.

Rains caused by Mirinae have worsened the flood-stricken parts of the capital, Manila and surrounding regions caused by earlier storms, which left nearly 1,000 people dead. Up to a quarter of million people remain homeless, including more than 100,000 crammed into temporary  shelters run by the disasters relief agency.

“The government disasters relief agency reported that at least 15 villages and districts in Metro Manila are submerged — some in waist-deep floodwaters,” Xinhua reported.

Ty  Mirinae_AMO_2009303
This natural-color image of the storm was captured by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Aqua satellite at 1:00 p.m. local time October 30 (05:00UTC). The eye of the storm was a large mass of roiling clouds located less than a hundred kilometers northeast of Cataduanes Island in the Philippines. NASA image by Jeff Schmaltz, MODIS Rapid Response Team. Caption by Rebecca Lindsey, NASA Earth Observatory. Edited by FEWW.

Typhoon MIRINAE – Update on 31 Oct 2009 – Time: 03:00UTC

  • Position: 14.0N 119.5E
  • Location: 105 km (55 nm) southwest of Manila, Philippines
  • Maximum  Sustained Winds: 95 km/h (50 kt)
  • Maximum Wind Gusts : 120 km/h (65 kt)
  • Movement and speed: Tracking  westward [255º] at 28 km/h (15 kt) – gaining speed
  • Maximum Significant Wave Height: 4 m (13 feet)

31-10-09
TC MIRINAE 5-day track forecast. Source: JTWC

Best Track:

Satellite Imagery – animated(Constant Illumination)
Satellite Imagery- animated  (Sun Illumination)

Previous entries:

Source Page: FEWW Satellite Imagery

MTSAT/ NOAA

Loops/Animations (MTSAT/NOAA/SSD)

Related Links:

Previous Storms:

Related Links:

Posted in Climate Change, dividends of climate change, human enhanced natural hazards, tropical cyclone, Tropical storm | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Typhoon MIRINAE “In-Touch” with LUPIT

Posted by feww on October 29, 2009

Typhoon MIRINAE – Update on 31 Oct 2009 – Time: 03:00UTC

TS MIRINAE – UPDATE 31 October 2009

Typhoon MIRINAE – Update on 30 Oct 2009 – Time: 15:00UTC

  • Position: 14.5N 122.7E
  • Location: 240 km (130 nm) east of Manila, Philippines
  • Maximum  Sustained Winds: 158 km/h (85 kt)
  • Maximum Wind Gusts : 195 km/h (105 kt)
  • Movement and speed: Tracking  west-southwest [255º] at 24 km/h (13 kt) – has slowed down
  • Maximum Significant Wave Height: 9 m (27 feet)

Mirinae has slightly weakened, but still maintains a robust radial outflow. It’s expected to make landfall in Quezon province by 18:00UTC, and reemerge in the South China Sea, further weakened, about11 hours after landfall.

track pagasa 2
Mirinae [Santi] Track by the Philippines DOST PAGASA. Click image to enlarge and update.

DP 2
Typhoon Mirinae [SANTI] MTSAT IR1. Still Image. Click image to enlarge and update.

Areas Under Highest Storm Warning Signal

Signal No.3  (100-185 kph winds)

  • Quezon
  • Polillo island
  • Bulacan
  • Bataan
  • Rizal
  • Cavite
  • Laguna
  • Batangas
  • Oriental Mindoro
  • Lubang Island
  • Marinduque
  • Camarines Norte
  • Camarines Sur
  • Catanduanes
  • Metro Manila

Signal No. 2  (60-100 kph winds)

  • Aurora
  • Quirino
  • Nueva Ecija
  • Tarlac
  • Pampanga
  • Zambales
  • Occidental Mindoro
  • Albay
  • Burias Island

Typhoon MIRINAE – Update on 30 Oct 2009 – Time: 03:00UTC

mirinae 30-10-09
MIRINAE – MTSAT IR Still Image. Click Image to Enlarge and Update !

The Eye of the typhoon should make land fall on Luzon at or about 18:00 UTC today [Oct 30, 2009]

  • Position: 15.0N 125.2E
  • Location: 510 km (275 nm) east of Manila, Philippines
  • Maximum  Sustained Winds: 167 km/h (90 kt)
  • Maximum Wind Gusts : 204 km/h (110 kt)
  • Movement and speed: Tracking west at 31 km/h (17 kt) – fast moving
  • Maximum Significant Wave Height: 10 m (30 feet)
  • Wind Flux: 8.1000E+02
  • Accumulated Cyclone Energy: 5.7550E+04
  • Power Dissipation Index: 4.2202E+06

5-day track 30-10-09
Typhoon MIRINAE 5-Day Projected Track. Source: JTWC.  Click image to enlarge.

0921-00
Typhoon MIRINAE 3-Day Projected Track. Source: JMA. Image may be subject to copyright.
Click image to enlarge.

PAGASA track

Typhoon MIRINAE [Typhoon SANTI in the Philippines] track by Dost PAGASA, Philippines. Click image to enlarge.

23w sat
Click image to animate.

Animation: Best Track

Satellite Imagery (Constant Illumination)

More links are posted throughout this page.

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Typhoon MIRINAE – Update 29 Oct 2009

MIRINAE  “fine-tuned” by LUPIT

Typhoon Mirinae  in “direct contact” with the remnants of LUPIT

Background: MIRINAE: Another Cyclone Heading Philippines Way

Typhoon MIRINAE Status UPDATE
On 29 October 14:45 UTC Typhoon Mirinae  was located at near 15.6N,  128.7E, approximately 890 km (480 nm) east of Manila, Philippines, tracking westward at a forward speed of about 22 km/h (12 knots).  It’s maximum significant wave height was estimated at 11 meter (33 feet).

  • Maximum  Sustained Winds: 167 km/h (90 knots)
  • Maximum Wind Gusts :   204 km/h (110 knots)

Typhoon MIRINAE Status
On 29 October 03:45 UTC Typhoon Mirinae  was located at 15.8N, 131.4E, about 1200km (650nm) east of Manila, Philippines, tracking westward at a forward speed of 27 km/h (15knots). It’s maximum significant wave height was estimated at 10 meter (30 feet).

20-10-09
Typhoon Mirinae – MTSAT IR – Still Image recorded on October 29, 2009 at 00:30 UTC. Note the poleward arm linked to the remnants of LUPIT circling to the east of Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia. Click image to enlarge and update. Source: Digital Typhoon.

The poleward arm of Typhoon MIRINAE stretches out like an umbilical cord to meet the remnants of LUPIT circling to the east of Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia. It seems like the task LUPIT failed to perform is now passed on to MIRINAE. Will she succeed wreaking more havoc on the fatally injured  Manila, Luzon and the Philippines? Will she be the “mercy” typhoon?

23w sat
Click image to animate.

Basic Information

DOB:   2009-10-27 06:00:00 UTC
AGE:   45 hours / 1.55  days
Minimum Pressure:   955 hPa
Maximum Wind Speed:  150 km/h ( 80 knots)
Maximum Wind Gusts: 215km/h (115 knots)
Max Radius of Storm Wind:  260 km /140 nm [highly symmetrical]
Diameter of Storm Wind:  260 km /140 (nm)
Radius of Gale Wind:  410 km / 220 (nm)
Diameter of Gale Wind:  670 km /360 (nm)
Distance traveled:  1,355 km
Average Speed: 30.1 km/h / 783  km/day
Range of Movement: Latitude 1.4, Longitude 12.3
Wind Flux: 5.1000E+02
Accumulated Cyclone Energy:  3.5050E+04
Power Dissipation Index:  2.5328E+06
Typhoon Name:  Mirinae means “Milky way” in South Korean

Source: Digital Typhoon / edited by FEWW

track forecast
TY MIRINAE 5-day track forecast. Source: JTWC

Best Track:

Satellite Imagery – animated(Constant Illumination)
Satellite Imagery- animated  (Sun Illumination)

Previous entries:

Source Page: FEWW Satellite Imagery

MTSAT/ NOAA

Loops/Animations (MTSAT/NOAA/SSD)

Related Links:

Previous Storms:

Posted in Climate Change, dividends of climate change, flooding in manila, Philippines, tropical storms, TS Ketsana, Typhoon Parma | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Manila Flooding Could Trigger Quakes

Posted by feww on September 28, 2009

The Wrath of Ketsana

The wrath of Ketsana in the Philippines may not have ended.

Torrential rainfall caused by TS Ketsana, which resulted in epic flooding throughout western Luzon, may lead to yet another deadly hazard: Earthquakes.

Millions of tons of floodwater, massive landslides and unprecedented volumes of mud avalanches flowing in western Luzon could lead to regional  ‘climate-triggered’ earthquakes measuring about 4.5 Mw.

Ketsana, strengthened to typhoon force, is heading toward Vietnam

rb-l -Typhoon Ketsana
Typhoon Ketsana – Rainbow Enhancement satellite image – still image. To update and enlarged, click on the image. Source: NOAA/NHC/NWS

manila EPA  MandC
A handout photo released by the Philippine Air Force shows aerial view of flooded areas in Marikina City in northeastern Manila, Philippines, 27 September 2009. Up to 200 people have been killed with many reported missing as tropical storm Ketsana battered a wide area in Luzon, Philippines, dumping record rainfall (549 mm reported in one area)  on the capital that caused the worst flooding in living memory.  Thousands of people spent the night on the roofs of their submerged houses in Manila and surrounding provinces. The government weather bureau said the rainfall recorded in Manila was the city capital’s ‘greatest’ amount of rain since 1967. EPA/REY BRUNA/PHILIPPINE AIR FORCE/HO [Caption Monsters & Critics, edited by FEWW.] More Photos Posted Here!

The weather prospects don’t look too good for Vietnam, and China’s Hainan Island. Both areas seem to have an uneasy week ahead of them. However, the worst of Ketsana may yet strike Thailand and Myanmar.


Image from NASA TRMM – Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission

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Posted in Cainta, Climate Change, deluge in Philippines, energy dinosaurs, philippines disaster areas, philippines flood, Rizal province, World CO2 Emissions | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , | 9 Comments »

Philippines: Worst Floods in Living Memory

Posted by feww on September 26, 2009

New Round of Floods Claim More Lives

Philippines Government Declares “State of Calamity” in Manila and nearby provinces, after Storm causes widespread flooding

At least 14 people are dead or missing as a typhoon with 100km winds makes landfall causing widespread flooding in the main Island of Luzon, Philippines. The storm was named both ‘Ondoy’ and tropical storm ‘Ketsana.’

Philippines Flooding
Commuters wade through waist-deep floodwaters following heavy rains brought about by tropical storm Ketsana (locally known as Ondoy) Saturday Sept. 26, 2009 in Manila, Philippines. At least five people have been killed after nearly a month’s worth of rain fell in just six hours Saturday, triggering the worst flooding in the Philippine capital in 42 years, stranding thousands on rooftops in the city and elsewhere as Tropical Storm Ketsana slammed ashore. (AP Photo/Bullit Marquez). Image may be subject to copyright.

Although more than 20 typhoons and storms formed in the Pacific Ocean hit the Philippines every year, causing floods throughout the country, the latest round of deluge in the capital, which resulted from storm-driven heavy rains, were said to be the worst in living memory.

A father and child were killed when a wall collapsed on them in Manila, while four other children were reportedly drowned in flooding  elsewhere in the city.

About 2,000 people were forced to take refuge in evacuation centers, as  rising waters threatened their homes, according to civil defense officials.

A local weather forecasters was quoted as saying that about a month’s worth of rain fell on the capital in just 6 hours. Many areas of the capital were flooded, with the water levels reaching the rooftops of single-storey buildings.

About 13.4 inches (34.1 centimeters) of rain fell on metropolitan Manila in just six hours, close to the 15.4-inch (39.2-centimeter) average for the entire month of September. The previous record was 13.2 inches (33.4 centimeters) recorded during a 24-hour period in June 1967, chief government weather forecaster Nathaniel Cruz said. —AP

In Cainta, located in the Rizal province, many residents had to climb onto rooftops to escape floodwater. According to the local mayor: “The whole town is almost 100 percent underwater.”

Civil defense officials and weather forecaster said they were completely surprised: “We knew there would be rain but not like this,” one forecaster said.

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Posted in Cainta, deluge in Philippines, philippines disaster areas, philippines flood, Rizal province | Tagged: , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »