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Posts Tagged ‘MANZANILLO’

Strong Earthquake Strikes Off the Coast of Colima, Mexico

Posted by feww on June 7, 2016

M6.2 earthquake strikes SSW of San Patricio, Mexico

Centered at 18.412°N, 105.188°W (115.0 km SW of Manzanillo, Mexico) the quake struck at a depth of 10.0 km, USGS/EHP reported.

The main shock struck about 190km SW of Volcán de Colima (19.513, -103.617). Colima is one of the 16 Decade Volcanoes.

The event was followed by at least two significant aftershocks, as of posting.

Latest Seismicity

M4.6 ~ 156km SSW of San Patricio, Mexico 2016-06-07 11:07:05 UTC 10.0 km
M5.5 ~ 93km SSW of San Patricio, Mexico 2016-06-07 10:58:01 UTC 10.0 km
M6.2 ~ 102km SSW of San Patricio, Mexico 2016-06-07 10:51:38 UTC 10.0 km
M4.1  ~ 30km SW of San Patricio, Mexico 2016-06-07 10:32:14 UTC 10.0 km

Excerpt from Seismotectonics of Mexico [USGS]

Mexico has a long history of destructive earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. In September 1985, a magnitude 8.1 earthquake killed more than 9,500 people in Mexico City. In southern Mexico, Volcán de Colima and El Chichón erupted in 2005 and 1982, respectively. Paricutín volcano, west of Mexico City, began venting smoke in a cornfield in 1943; a decade later this new volcano had grown to a height of 424 meters. Popocatépetl and Ixtaccíhuatl volcanos (“smoking mountain” and “white lady”, respectively), southeast of Mexico City, occasionally vent gas that can be clearly seen from the City, a reminder that volcanic activity is ongoing. In 1994 and 2000 Popocatépetl renewed its activity forcing the evacuation of nearby towns, causing seismologists and government officials to be concerned about the effect a large-scale eruption might have on the heavily populated region. Popocatépetl volcano last erupted in 2010.

 

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Rick Strengthens to a Major Hurricane

Posted by feww on October 17, 2009

For UPDATES see links in comments section

Rick Strengthened to an Extremely Dangerous Category 4 Hurricane

At 10:15 UTC the center of hurricane Rick was near latitude 14.0°N, longitude 102.3°W,  or about

  • 40 km southwest of Acapulco, Mexico
  • 595 km south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico

rb-l  - Hurricane Rick
Rick is Now a Cat 4A Hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale ( Cat. four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale). GOES Satellite Image. Rainbow Enhancement – Still Frame. Date and time as inset. Click image to enlarge and update.

Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Track Forecast Cone

Coastal Watches- Warnings and 5-Day Track Forecast Cone
Rick’s 5-day Track Forecast. Click Image to enlarge and update.

Tropical Storm Force Wind Speed Probabilities – 120 Hours
Tropical Storm Force Wind Speed Probabilities - 120 Hours
Hurricane Rick Wind Speed Probabilities – 120 Hours

Direction and Speed

  • Rick is moving in a west-northwesterly direction at 19 km/hr
  • Expected to stay on its forecast track for the next 48 hours
  • Will remain off-shore, moving parallel to the southern coast of Mexico

Wind Speed

  • Maximum sustained winds: 215

Category

Rick is now an extremely dangerous category 4A on FEWW New Hurricane Scale ( Cat. four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale).

Further Strengthening Forecast:

  • Rick will Most probably strengthen to a category five hurricane in the next 12 – 36 hours.

Wind Forces and Pressure

  • Hurricane force winds: Extend 55 km
  • Tropical storm force winds: Extend 165 km from the center
  • Minimum central pressure: 71.09mm Hg (948 mb).

Rain Potential

  • Rick’s outer rainbands will continue to affect the Southern coast of Mexico, NHC said.

FEWW Comment:

Rick enlarged image
Hurricane Rick looks organized, symmetrical and extremely dangerous. Warm coastal waters off the Mexican coast will most likely help Rick to become a Category 5 hurricane. Rick could devastate Baja and coastal areas of western Mexico.

As Typhoon LUPIT (currently located near Philippines) and Hurricane Rick grow stronger,  the question on many people’s mind must now be whether the 2009 Atlantic Hurricane Season will end with  a whimper, or the “mother of all hurricanes” could still form there …

Other Satellite Images

GOES Satellite: East Pacific Hurricane Rick(EP20)

Additional Images:

Posted in GOES Satellite images, hurricane force winds, hurricane trajectory, Rick 5-Day Track Forecast Cone, rick forecast path, Rick forecast track, rick projected course, satellite imagery, Tropical Storm Force winds, Wind Speed | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

East Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

Posted by feww on August 13, 2008

THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC TS OUTLOOK


East Pacific Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook. NHC. NOAA.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED AUG 13 2008

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS INCREASED
IN ORGANIZATION THIS MORNING.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AND THIS SYSTEM
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.  RAINS
ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD DIMINISH AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

2. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA MEXICO REMAINS DISORGANIZED.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE LOW MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. — FORECASTER PASCH/BROWN

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HURRICANE FAUSTO

Posted by feww on July 20, 2008

.

HURRICANE FAUSTO as it apperaed on July 20 01:00 UTC about 460 MILES (735 km)WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXIC – NOAA

HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008
200 PM PDT SAT JUL 19 2008

…CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE FAUSTO HEADING NORTHWESTWARD AND WELL
OFFSHORE FROM MEXICO…

AT 200 PM PDT…2100Z…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 110.2 WEST OR ABOUT 460 MILES
…735 KM…WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH…13 KM/HR…AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH…140 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY…BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES…45 KM…FROM
THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES…185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB…28.94 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 200 PM PDT POSITION…15.5 N…110.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…980 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB

Related Links:

More images are available at Oceanview and Weather.

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