95% Probability!

It’d Be a “Miracle” IF XXX Escapes the Next One!

HINT:

Map of 186 Largest Quakes Since 1900

Note: The events marked on the map are equal to or greater than magnitude 7.8.

Mega Quake Strikes Sea of Okhotsk

Magnitude 8.2 Mega Quake Hits Sea of Okhotsk as Forecast

 The quake, centered at 54.870°N, 153.334°E, some 360km WSW of Esso, Russia, struck at a depth of about 600km.

On March 1, 2013 in  Significant Earthquakes Strike off Kuril Islands, Eastern Russia FIRE-EARTH said:

FIRE-EARTH models suggest a Mega Quake could strike the region in the next few weeks with a probability of about 70 percent.

EQ Details

• Event Time: 2013-05-24 05:44 UTC [2013-05-24 15:44:49 UTC+10:00 at epicenter]
• Location: 54.870°N 153.334°E
• Depth: 601.8km (373.9mi)

Nearby Cities

• 359km (223mi) WSW of Esso, Russia
• 379km (235mi) WNW of Yelizovo, Russia
• 396km (246mi) NW of Vilyuchinsk, Russia
• 403km (250mi) WNW of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy, Russia
• 2375km (1476mi) NNE of Tokyo, Japan

Tsunami Status

• NO major tsunami expected.

Earthquake details and map sourced from USGS/EHP.

Related Links

• Significant Seismic Activity Off KURIL ISLANDS, E Russia March 1, 2013
• DISASTER Diary – 21 May 2013 [At least 2 dozen significant quakes, measuring between 5.0 and 6.0Mw, have struck off the east coast of Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia since Monday May 20, 2013. ]

FIRE-EARTH Forecast for the Next Mega Quake

FIRE-EARTH will NOT release details of its forecast for the next Mega Quake as a continued protest to the ongoing censorship, hacking and theft of the intellectual property that are posted on this blog.

Japan’s Nuclear Industry: Mega Disaster in the Making

FIRE-EARTH Editorial on the third month anniversary of Japan’s triple disaster and its triple nuclear reactor core meltdown

Today is the third month anniversary of the Tohoku Mega Quake [Great East Japan Earthquake] that shook the country off its rickety foundation.

In the past three months the world has learned that more than ever before Japan’s doomed Fukushima NPP and all of its other nuclear plants pose an existential threat to the entire region and beyond.

In the hand of the Japanese ruling elite who own, operate and invariably fail to safeguard the country’s nuclear industry, the atomic plants have turned into weapons of mass destruction.

Japan’s ruling elite are the remnants of the same diabolic regime that painted the entire region red with human blood in the last century.

Japan MUST now be disarmed and its nuclear “weapons” removed BEFORE the next Mega Quake strikes the country.

The world community must force Japanese authorities to decommission all of their nuclear power plants forthwith.

From 2011 Disaster Calendar – June Entry

• [June 7, 2011]  Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,744 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

• Japan. The ever-conspiring Japanese nuke officials have doubled estimate for the radiation that escaped from the doomed Fukushima NPP soon after the March 11 mega quake and tsunami from 370,000 terabecquerels to 770,000 terabecquerels, a report said. More people will have to be evacuated.
• As FIRE-EARTH had suspected, complete core meltdown occurred at all three working Reactors 1, 2 and 3 at Fukushima NPP, with massive amounts of radiation penetrating the earth below. (See links below).

Probability of a Nuclear Disaster by Country

The following probability figures are calculated by FIRE-EARTH on April 8, 2011

• Japan (880)³
• United States (865)
• Taiwan (850)
• Belgium, China, France, Finland, India,  South Korea, United Kingdom, Ukraine, Russia, Slovakia, Czech Republic, Armenia, Slovenia, Croatia, Romania,  Hungary, Bulgaria, Spain,  Pakistan, Argentina, Brazil, Mexico,  South Africa, Canada (810)
• Germany, Sweden, Netherlands (800)
• Switzerland  (750)

Notes:

1. The list represents a snapshot of events at the time of calculating the probabilities. Any forecast posted  here is subject to numerous variable factors.
2. Figures in the bracket represent the probability of an incident occurring out of 1,000; the forecast duration is valid for the next 50  months.
3. Probability includes a significant worsening of Fukushima nuclear disaster, and future quakes forecast for Japan.
4. A nuclear incident is defined as a level 5 (Accident With Wider Consequences), or worse, on the International Nuclear and Radiological Event Scale (INES). See below.
5. Safety issues considered in compiling these lists include the age, number of units and capacity of nuclear reactors in each country/state, previous incidents, probability of damage from human-enhanced natural disasters, e.g., earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic activity, hurricanes, tornadoes, storms, wildfires, flooding… ]
6. The  Blog’s knowledge concerning the extent to which the factors described in (3) might worsen during the forecast period greatly influences the forecast.

Related Links

• Japan Earthquakes, Disasters: Recent History and FIRE-EARTH Forecasts

Japan Triple Disasters – Update 19 April

Great East Japan Earthquake: 92 percent of the March 11 victims died of drowning

Japan authorities have revealed that 92 percent of the victims of Great East Japan Earthquake, whose bodies have so far been recovered, died of drowning as a result of the deadly tsunami that was spawned by the Mega Quake in the Tohoku region on March 11.

Human Cost of Japan’s March 11 Disasters

• Death toll: About 14,000
• No. of Missing: Just over 14,000
• Main Cause of Death:  About 92% of the victims died of drowning in the tsunami
• Age Distribution: About two-thirds of the victims were aged 65 or older
• Source: NHK

Other Stats:

• No. of Homeless: At least 155,000 [Many others who have moved in with their relatives are NOT included in the govt stats.]
• Others Missing: In addition to the 14,030 people who are officially missing, an unknown number of others who lived in remote, inaccessible  areas may also have perished, but no records were available as of posting.

Fukushima Nuclear Disaster

Technicians at Fukushima NPP have begun removing highly radioactive water  from basement of Reactor 2 .

Authorities say a total of 70,000 tons of radioactive water is accumulated in the plant’s reactor and turbine buildings, and surrounding trenches.

Remote-controlled robots sent into reactor buildings 1, 2 and 3 on Sunday and Monday showed  radiation levels inside two of the units (1 and 3) were too high for humans.

A remote-controlled robot dubbed “Packbot,” capable of manoeuvring through buildings, taking photos, and measuring radiation levels, is photographed by another Packbot in the stricken Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant No.1 reactor building in Fukushima, N. Japan on April 18, 2011. Photo released by Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO) on April 19, 2011. TEPCO handout photo via Reuters.

Other News

“It was clear even before this disaster and the need to secure funds for reconstruction that to ensure a sustainable fiscal situation, some sort of reform of spending and revenues was necessary,” said Internal Affairs Minister Yoshiro Katayama. “The debate over the fiscal situation is not something that began with this disaster,” he told reporters.

• Sales tax May rise to pay for post-quake rebuild

A Japanese restaurant in Auckland, New Zealand has attached bells to its charity donation buckets after a thief stole cash intended for Japan’s earthquake and tsunami victims, a report said. “At least seven donation buckets in Japanese businesses around Auckland have been filched recently.”

Related Links

• Japan Earthquakes, Disasters: Recent History and FIRE-EARTH Forecasts

JAPAN M8.9 MEGA QUAKE UPDATE

A 10-m wall of tsunami traveling across Japan is sweeping everything in its path

MEGA QUAKE 8.9Mw STRIKES OFF NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

MEGA QUAKE and TSUNAMI HAVE CAUSED TREMENDOUS DAMAGE in JAPAN’S COASTAL AREAS

• Large number of people in Myiagi prefecture are reported as missing.
  

6 MAJOR AFTERSHOCKS REPORTED BY USGS/EHP

TSUNAMI UPDATE

The Pacific Tsunami Center Warning Center has extended the tsunami warning to the Philippines, Indonesia, Taiwan, the Pacific coast of Russia and Hawaii,  Australia, New Zealand, and the entire coast of Central and South America.

• Click to see table
  

Tsunami Warning/Advisory for Japan Region

Issued at 16:08 JST 11 Mar 2011

******************Headline******************
Major Tsunami and Tsunami have been issued.
JAPAN SEA COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
UCHIBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
OGASAWARA ISLANDS
SAGAMI BAY AND MIURA PENINSULA
SHIZUOKA PREF.
WAKAYAMA PREF.
TOKUSHIMA PREF.
SETONAIKAI COAST OF OITA PREF.
WESTERN PART OF KAGOSHIMA PREF.
Tsunami attentions are in effect at some of the other coasts now.

Tsunami Advisory
<Tsunami Advisory>
AKITA PREF.
*YAMAGATA PREF.
NIIGATA PREF.,EXCEPT SADOGASHIMA ISLAND
SADOGASHIMA ISLAND
TOYAMA PREF.
NOTO AREA, ISHIKAWA PREF.
HIROSHIMA PREF.
SETONAIKAI COAST OF YAMAGUCHI PREF.

Changed;
Tsunami Advisory –> Tsunami Warning

SETONAIKAI COAST OF OITA PREF.
WESTERN PART OF KAGOSHIMA PREF.
Evacuate from the seashore immediately to the safe places near the above coasts.

Tsunami Warning –> Tsunami Warning

JAPAN SEA COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
UCHIBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
OGASAWARA ISLANDS
SAGAMI BAY AND MIURA PENINSULA
SHIZUOKA PREF.
WAKAYAMA PREF.
TOKUSHIMA PREF.

At the following coasts (* marks) tsunamis are
expected to arrive right away.
YAMAGATA PREF.

*******Tsunami forecast now in effect********
<Major Tsunami>
IWATE PREF.
MIYAGI PREF.
FUKUSHIMA PREF.
CENTRAL PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
PACIFIC COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
IBARAKI PREF.
KUJUKURI AND SOTOBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
IZU ISLANDS
EASTERN PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
WESTERN PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
JAPAN SEA COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
UCHIBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
OGASAWARA ISLANDS

Related NEWS LINKS:

• Tsunami hits Japan after 8.9 earthquake
• Tsunami hits north-eastern Japan after massive quake

Related Links:

• MEGA QUAKE STRIKES NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU

• Tectonics Update – March 10
• Japan 7.2 Quake Strikes Off the Coast of Honshu
• Honshu Earthquake Warning

MEGA QUAKE STRIKES NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU

M8.9 QUAKE STRIKES OFFSHORE JAPAN

BASED ON THE EARTHQUAKE REPORTS, A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI SHOULD BE EXPECTED

This quake may be a foreshock, with a larger event yet to follow: FIRE-EARTH

LATEST REPORT FROM EMSC

Click image to enlarge.

GFZ Potsdam – Earthquake Bulletin
Region: Near East Coast of Honshu, Japan
Time: 2011-03-11 05:46:22.5 UTC
Magnitude: 8.5
Epicenter: 142.49°E 38.32°N
Depth: 5 km
Status: C – confirmed

The Japan Meteorological Agency’s website is currently down and the blog was unable to get a confirmation.

USGS has apparently recorded the event as a magnitude 8.8Mw with a 7.9Mw aftershock.

JMA has just issued the following report:

Earthquake Information (Information about Seismic Intensity at each site)

Issued at 14:53 JST 11 Mar 2011

Occurred at (JST)	Latitude (degree)	Longitude (degree)	Depth	Magnitude	Region Name
14:46 JST 11 Mar 2011	38.0N	142.9E	10km	7.9	Sanriku Oki

Earthquake location map. Epicenter is marked by a red cross. Bubbles indicate severity of the tremor as felt by local monitoring stations throughout Japan. Source: JMA.

TSUNAMI WARNINGS

EIGHT of Japan’s Prefectures are currently under a MAJOR Tsunami/Tsunami warning:

JMA has issued the following:

Tsunami Warning/Advisory

Issued at 14:49 JST 11 Mar 2011

Major Tsunami and Tsunami have been issued.
PACIFIC COAST OF TOHOKU
CENTRAL PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
IBARAKI PREF.
KUJUKURI AND SOTOBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
IZU ISLANDS
Evacuate from the seashore immediately to the safe places near the above coasts.
Tsunami attentions are in effect at some of the other coasts now.

Tsunami Warning
<Major Tsunami>
*IWATE PREF.
MIYAGI PREF.
FUKUSHIMA PREF.
<Tsunami>
CENTRAL PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
PACIFIC COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
IBARAKI PREF.
KUJUKURI AND SOTOBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
IZU ISLANDS
Evacuate from the seashore immediately to the safe places near the above coasts.

Tsunami Advisory

EASTERN PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
WESTERN PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
JAPAN SEA COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
UCHIBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
OGASAWARA ISLANDS
SAGAMI BAY AND MIURA PENINSULA
SHIZUOKA PREF.
PACIFIC COAST OF AICHI PREF.
SOUTHERN PART OF MIE PREF.
WAKAYAMA PREF.
TOKUSHIMA PREF.
KOCHI PREF.
MIYAZAKI PREF.
TANEGASHIMA AND YAKUSHIMA AREA
AMAMI ISLANDS AND TOKARA ISLANDS

At the following coasts (* marks) tsunamis are expected to arrive right away.
IWATE PREF

For more information go to:

• Tsunami Information (High Tide Time and Estimated Tsunami Arrival)

Related Links:

• Tectonics Update – March 10
• Japan 7.2 Quake Strikes Off the Coast of Honshu
• Honshu Earthquake Warning