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Posts Tagged ‘NHC’

HURRICANE NATE MOVING RAPIDLY OVER CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO –NHC

Posted by feww on October 7, 2017

NATE packing 80 mph (130 km/h) sustained winds

SUMMARY OF STATUS as of 4:00 AM CDT (09:00 UTC)
———————————————-
Time: 4:00 AM CDT Sat Oct 7
Location: 24.5°N 87.0°W [~ 345 mi, or 550km SSE of the mouth of MISSISSIPPI RIVER]
Moving: NNW at 22 mph [NNW, or 340 degrees, at  22 mph, or 35 km/h]
Min pressure: 987 mb, or 29.15 in
Max sustained winds: 80 mph [~130 km/h, Cat. 1 hurricane force on FEWW Hurricane Scale]

Deadly Storm System

The storm has killed about 30 people in Central America, according to local reports.

 

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MARIA INTENSIFYING, EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY –NHC

Posted by feww on September 18, 2017

MARIA Expected to Become a Major Hurricane Late Monday —National Hurricane Center

MARIA CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN – THE EYE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON OR MONDAY EVENING –NHC

UPDATE: Current Status as of 2:00 PM AST Mon Sep 18
Max sustained: 125 mph [~ 200 km/h, Cat. 3B on FEWW New Hurricane Scale]
Location: 14.9°N, 60.4°W
Moving: WNW at 10 mph
Min pressure: 956 mb

Status as of 8:00 AM AST Mon Sep 18
Max sustained: 110 mph [~ 177 km/h, Cat. 2B on FEWW New Hurricane Scale]
Location: 14.6°N, 59.7°W
Moving: WNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 967 mb

Related Links:

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Tropical Storm HARVEY – Update Aug 29

Posted by feww on August 29, 2017

TS HARVEY Status as at 10:00 AM CDT Tue Aug 29

Location: 28.4°N, 94.3°W

  • 115 mi [185 km] SSW OF CAMERON, LOUISIANA
  • 105 mi [170km] SSW OF PORT ARTHUR, TEXAS

Direction: NNE at 5 mph
Min pressure: 997 mb
Max sustained winds: 45 mph [75 km/h]

RELENTLESS TORRENTIAL RAINS CONTINUE OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA [NHC]

Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding continues in southeastern Texas and portions of southwestern Louisiana. [NHC]

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Extreme Weather Events Plague Chile, Guatemala, Mexico

Posted by feww on June 6, 2014

EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
SEVERE FLOODING
MUDSLIDES
SCENARIO 023
.

Severe Flooding Inundates Large parts of Latin America

Extreme Raine Events have flooded large areas of Chile, Guatemala and Mexico since Tuesday, causing significant damage to homes, vehicles and public infrastructure.

Meantime, Tropical Storm BORIS formed off Mexico’s Pacific Coast, forcing  evacuations in mountain and seaside communities prone to flooding and mudslides.

Earlier today, the US National Hurricane Center in Miami said:

Thunderstorm activity has increased slightly near the center of a stationary low pressure system located over the southern Bay of Campeche. Unfavorable upper-level winds are forecast to subside somewhat during the next day or so, and gradual development of this disturbance could occur later today [Friday] before environmental conditions become hostile again on Saturday. […] Regardless of development, this disturbance will continue to produce extremely  heavy rains, along with life-threatening flash floods and [mudslides,] over portions of southeastern Mexico during the next few days.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours, medium, 50 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days, medium, 50 percent.

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Tropical Storm Fay Forms

Posted by feww on August 15, 2008

Sixth Atlantic Storm of the Season

A low pressure area over the Mona Passage became a tropical storm as it moved into the Eastern Dominican Republic, NOAA reported.

Fay is expected to track westward in the direction of Florida and the Gulf of Mexico.

[Aug 17, 2008 Update: TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NO. 7A]


Tropical Storm Fay – Tropical Storm Floater Imagery (updated periodically) – Aviation color enhancement – NOAA

At 5 pm AST (21:00 UTC) the government of the Dominican Republic issued a tropical storm warning for the Dominican Republic for The entire north coast of the Dominican Republic and for the south coast east of San Pedro de Macoris. A tropical storm warning is Also in effect for the north coast of Haiti from Gonaives
Northward.

At 5 pm AST (21:00 UTC) The government of Cuba issued a tropical storm warning for the provinces of Guantanamo, Santiago De Cuba and Granma, as well as for the provinces of Holguin and Las Tunas.

A Tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area generally within 36 hours.

At 500 pm AST the center of tropical storm Fay was located near latitude 18.5 North, longitude 69.4 West or about 35 miles (55 km) east of Santo Domingo in the Dominican Republic and about 395 miles (635 km) east-southeast of Guantanamo Cuba.

Fay is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/hr). A general motion toward the west-northwest is expected during the next day. On the forecast track the center of Fay will cross Hispaniola tonight and Saturday and pass near or over eastern Cuba Saturday night and Sunday.

Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Track Forecast Cone (NHC/NOAA)

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/hr) with higher gusts, mainly over water to the north and east of the center. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 85 miles (140 km) from the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 MB (29.77 inches).

Tides of 1 to 2 feet above normal can be expected in the warning area in areas of onshore flow.

Fay is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 Inches over Hispaniola and eastern Cuba with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. – Forecaster Beven [Tropical Storm FAY Public Advisory #1]

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