Strong Earthquake Strikes ENE of Naha, Okinawa

DLCS-723K

M5.9 Quake Strikes 262km ENE of Naha

Magnitude: 5.9mww [USGS]
Location: 26.920°N 130.190°E
Depth: 10.0 km
Distances:

• 174km SSE of Naze, Japan
• 262km ENE of Naha

Time: 10:32:57 UTC 2017-07-26

NEOGURI Becomes Super Typhoon

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
SUPER TYPHOON
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS 444, 111, 070, 033
.

Super Typhoon NEOGURI racing toward Okinawa with winds of 260 km/h

NEOGURI (TY 08W) has intensified to Super Typhoon force with sustained winds of about 260 km/h and maximum gusts of over 315 km/h. The giant storm was located about 500km S of Naha, the capital city of Okinawa Prefecture, Japan, racing NW at about 30 kph, and generating maximum significant wave height of about 20m at 14:00UTC, July 7, 2014, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.

• Max Sustained Winds: 260 km/h
• Gusts: 315 km/h

NEOGURI is forecast to further intensify packing sustained winds in excess of 290 km/h and maximum gusts of at least 340 km/h as it approaches Okinawa.

Super Typhoon NEOGURI. IR MTSAT-2 satellite image at 12:00UTC, July 7, 2014. Source: Digital Typhoon

Super Typhoon NEOGURI (“The Roadrunner Typhoon.”) VIS-SWIR Satellite Image at 11:32UTC, July 7,2014. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC

Related Links

• Massive Typhoon Targets Japan July 6, 2014

 

Massive Typhoon Targets Japan

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
INTENSIFYING MAJOR TYPHOON
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS 444, 111, 070, 033
.

Typhoon NEOGURI Racing Toward Okinawa

Typhoon NEOGURI (08W) was located about 970km SSE of Naha, the capital city of Okinawa Prefecture, Japan, tracking WNW at about 30 kph, and generating maximum significant wave height of about 15m at 05:00UTC, July 6, 2014, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.

• Max Sustained Winds: 235 km/h
• Gusts: 280 km/h

NEOGURI is forecast to become a super typhoon before reaching Okinawa.

Major Typhoon NEOGURI. IR-WV Diff Satellite Image at 13:32UTC, July 6,2014. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC

Major Typhoon NEOGURI (and its “ghosts”). IR MTSAT-2 satellite image at 06:00UTC. Source: Digital Typhoon

Extreme Weather, Climatic Events Plague Japan, U.S.

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
HEATWAVE
MAJOR STORMS
SCENARIOS  777, 088, 067, 066, 023
.

Derecho, Hail, Tornadoes and Dust Storms Hit Central US 

Extrme Rain Events triggered severe flash flooding Tuesday for a wide swath of eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa, prompting  Iowa Gov. Branstad to declare Pottawattamie County a disaster area.

Severe storms producing baseball-sized hail, up to 12 tornadoes and a dangerous derecho pounded the US Midwest on Tuesday causing damage to buildings and vehicles.

The hail caused substantial damage to 4,300 vehicles at Woodhouse Auto Family car dealership in Nebraska, said a report.

Storm Prediction Center received at least 12 reports of possible tornadoes in Nebraska, Iowa, Wyoming and Kansas by late Tuesday evening.

Japan

An unusually intense heatwave continued to grip Hokkaido and other parts of Japan since Monday, with temperatures soaring to a 90-year record.

The temperature soared to 37.8°C in the town of Otofuke at about 2 p.m. on Teusday matching Hokkaido’s highest temperature, recorded in Obihiro on July 12, 1924, said Japan Meteorological Agency.

On Wednesday, temperatures exceeded 36.8°C for the first time this year at many observation stations throughout the prefecture.

Meanwhile, a rain front approaching from the west has dumped enormous  amounts of precipitation on Kyushu, Okinawa and Amami islands in the country’s southwest, triggering numerous landslides.

FRANCISCO to Bring More Rain to Sodden Coastal Japan

Typhoon FRANCISCO to Swipe Japan’s Pacific Coast

FRANCISCO, the 27th Typhoon of 2013, would likely follow a somewhat similar path to typhoon WIPHA, which dumped more than 800 millimeter of rain over Izu Ōshima Island in 24 hours, as it swiped Tokyo region.

WIPHA unleashed massive landslides on the volcanic Island, killing dozens of people (29 confirmed dead , 16 others missing presumed dead), destroying or damaging hundreds of homes and forcing thousands to evacuate last Wednesday.

FIRE-EARTH Models show FRANCISCO making landfall with probability of about 55 percent, as of 03:00UTC on October 23, 2013.

Typhoon FRANCISCO moves closer to southern Japan, watched by Super Typhoon LEKIMA. VISIBLE/INFRARED satellite image (FIRE-EARTH Enhancement) recorded at 01:30UTC on October 23, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Typhoon FRANCISCO

• Time: 03:00UTC – October 23, 2013
• Movement: NW (305 degrees) at 15km/hr
• Position: Near 24.3ºN, 131.1ºE
• Location: About 270km Southeast (118 degrees) of Naha, Okinawa, Japan
• Max Sustained Winds: 140km/hr
• Max Wind Gusts: 215km/hr
• Significant Wave Height:   10m
• Source: FIRE-EARTH and others

Projected paths of Typhoon FRANCISCO and Super Typhoon LEKIMA as of 01:30UTC on October 23, 2013. Original images sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. Enhanced by FIRE-EARTH

Typhoon Stats for NW Pacific

• The 60 year average (1951-2010) No of Typhoons: 20.9
• No of typhoons so far this year: 28
• Percent Increase: 34 [Calculated by FIRE-EARTH blog]

Related News

Nansei Sekiyu KK, a Japanese refiner owned by Petrobras, has shut down marine operations at its 100,000 barrels-per-day refinery in Okinawa, due to typhoon FRANCISCO, said a report.

More details to follow…

Related Links

• Typhoon FRANCISCO and TD 27 Headed for Tokyo October 20, 2013
• FRANCISCO Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Storm Force  October 19, 2013
• FRANCISCO Shifts Up Into Major Typhoon Gear October 18, 2013
• Typhoon FRANCISCO Inching Toward Japan October 17, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Links to Typhoon WIPHA

• Typhoon WIPHA Dumps 800mm of Rain Over Tokyo October 16, 2013
• Typhoon WIPHA Targets Tokyo October 15, 2013
• Typhoon NARI Chased by TS WIPHA October 12, 2013
• Vietnam Evacuates 250,000 ahead of NARI October 14, 2013

Okinawa Battered by 2nd Typhoon in 24 Hrs

Okinawa and Miyako Islands battered by Typhoon FITOW Followed by Typhoon DANAS

FITOW uprooted trees and knocked down utility posts, tearing rooftops and causing blackouts of thousands of homes in Miyakojima city; however, the full extent of damaged caused by Typhoon DANAS was not known, as of posting.

Okinawa Island almost bore the full brunt of Cat 4 Typhoon DANAS, several hours ago.

DANAS is a “heat-seeking,” “custom-made” typhoon in FIRE-EARTH parlance, “designed” to impact the full length of Japan islands, and at this stage of its life it looks fully capable of causing damage comparable only to Hurricane SANDY. We’ll see!

DANAS Details @ 13:00UTC on October 7, 2013

Position: 28.3°N, 127.7°E
Movement: NNW – 330 degrees at 30km/hr
Max Sustained Winds: 230km/hr
Max Wind Gusts: 280km/hr
Max Significant Wave Height: 20m (60 feet)
Category: DANAS is a Cat. 4B on FEWW New Hurricane Scale
Source: FIRE-EARTH, JTWC, JMA and others

DANAS Projected Path. IR Satellite Image recorded at 12:32UTC on October 7, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. FIRE-EARTH Enhancement.

Typhoon DANAS. VIS/IR Satellite Image recorded at 12:32UTC on October 7, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. FIRE-EARTH Enhancement.

Location and Impact Forecast

DANAS was near 630 km SSW of Fukuoka, Kyushu, at 13:00UTC on October 7, 2013.

The typhoon is expected to dump as much as 200 mm of rain on Japan’s Amami region and southern Kyushu and 150 mm on Okinawa and northern Kyushu by Tuesday morning, according to local reports.

Related Links

• FITOW Turns Deadly October 7, 2013
• Typhoon FITOW Forces Hundreds of Thousands of Evacuations October 6, 2013
• Typhoon FITOW Chased by Cyclone DANAS October 5, 2013
• Typhoon FITOW Makes Minor Detour October 4, 2013
• Two Cyclones Moving Toward Japan October 1, 2013
• WUTIP Hammers Central Vietnam October 1, 2013
• Typhoon WUTIP Headed for Vietnam, Laos, Thailand September 29, 2013
• USAGI Disaster Update: 25 Dead; 7,100 Homes Destroyed September 23, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale September 3, 2008
• Satellite Imagery

Global Disasters/ Significant Events – October 5, 2013

Saudi black ops team carried out Damascus chemical weapons attack – Russian diplomatic source

The chemical attack in the suburbs of Damascus, Syria, on August 21 was carried out by a Saudi Arabian black ops team, according a Russian diplomatic source.

“Based on data from a number of sources a picture can be pieced together. The criminal provocation in Eastern Ghouta was done by a black op team that the Saudi’s sent through Jordan and which acted with support of the Liwa Al-Islam group,” a Russian diplomat reportedly told Interfax news agency.

The attack was meant to complicate an already delicate situation in Syria, another source said.

“Syrians of various political views, including some opposition fighters, are seeking to inform diplomats and members of international organizations working in Syria what they know about the crime and the forces which inspired it,” he told the agency.

“Earlier reports pointed to Saudi Arabia as the mastermind behind the chemical attack, which almost led to US military action against Syrian government. Supporters of this scenario say intelligence services in Riyadh were looking for a false flag operation to provoke an American intervention in Syria, which would tip the balance of power in favor of the armed opposition supported by Saudi Arabia,” said a report.

-oOo-

Lampedusa Migrants Boat Disaster: Death toll could reach 300

Choppy seas prevented divers on Friday from recovering more bodies of migrants who drowned  off Sicily on Thursday.

The Italian coastguard has so far recovered 111 bodies and expect to find at least 200 others. The boat sank  about 800 meters from the shore of the southern island of Lampedusa.

Some 155 people have been recused, but more than 200 others are not accounted for, authorities said.

The 20-m vessel is sitting upright on the seabed about 47m below the surface, video footage shows.

Since the 1990s, about 20,000 people have lost their lives trying to reach Italy from North Africa, according to data of known incidents; however, thousands more are likely to have perished without a trace.

-oOo-

Mandatory evacuation orders issued for low-lying areas south of New Orleans

State officials have issued mandatory evacuation orders for low-lying areas south of New Orleans as a Tropical Storm KAREN continued to move toward the Louisiana coast.

KAREN has forced oil and gas companies to shut platforms and evacuate most of their workforces, cutting output by more than a half in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, which accounts for about a fifth of U.S. oil production and more than 6 percent of natural gas.

Since Thursday, the governors of Mississippi, Louisiana, Florida and Alabama have declared states of emergency to mobilize their resources.

-oOo-

Typhoon FITOW Buffeting SW Japan

Typhoon FITOW is dumping significant amounts of rain over the Okinawa region. Forecaster say  the region could receive downpours of 60 mm per hour through Sunday.

Expected rainfall totals through Sunday evening could top 200 mm on the Saki-shima Islands, and 150 mm on Okinawa’s main island, said NHK.

“The local observatory advises caution against strong winds, high waves, a storm surge, landslides, flooding in low-lying areas, swollen rivers, tornadoes, and gusting winds.”

-oOo-

Bodies Unearthed in Bosnian Mass Grave

About 100 bodies have so far been unearthed at a newly discovered mass grave in northern Bosnia-Herzegovina, reports say.

The victims are believed to be Bosnian Muslims and Croats who were ethnically cleansed by Serbian forces occupying the region during the three-year Bosnian War (1992 and 1995).

Serbian forces reportedly killed more than 30,000 civilians during their war of aggression.

In July 1995, Serbians massacred more than 8,000 Bosnians in Srebrenica, in what was the worst act of genocide in Europe since the Second World War.

-oOo-

Self-immolation at the National Mall

A man was in critical condition Friday night after he poured gasoline on his body and set himself on fire on the National Mall, reports said.

Photo credit: Terry Hays. More images…

Continued…

Super Typhoon Headed Towards Taiwan, Okinawa

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,268 Days Left

[September 25, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. 

• SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,268 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

• Symbolic countdown to the ‘worst day’ in human history began on May 15, 2011 ...

.

Global Disasters/ Significant Events

JELAWAT Intensifies to a Super Typhoon with 265kph Winds

Super Typhoon JELAWAT, described as “violent,” is currently packing maximum sustained winds of about 265 kilometer  per hour (kph), with wind gusts exceeding 325 kph, moving NNW in the Philippines Sea at forward speeds of about 12kph.

• The Super Storm could top maximum sustained winds of 280kph in the next 12 hours, according to models.

SUPER TYPHOON JELAWAT  – Vis/IR Sat Image.  Source: CIMSS

Other Disasters, Significant Events

• California, USA. A wildfire 50 miles east of San Diego has destroyed at least 3 dozen buildings including 20 houses, threatening more homes and forcing hundreds of residents to evacuate.
  • At least a dozen other homes have reportedly been damaged by the fire.
  • The 3,000-acre blaze may have started in Mexico, officials said.

• Philippines Sea. Typhoon EWINIAR (TY 19W), currently positioned NNW of Mariana Islands, is heading north towards Tokyo, Japan with sustained winds of about 75kph.

• Pacific Ocean.  MIRIAM, a category 2Bg hurricane, targets Baja, California.

Global

• Island Nations.  Ocean-Based Food Security Threatened in a High CO2 World (PDF file)

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

• The First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities
• Back to the Primordial Future
• The Fate of Energy Dinosaurs
• Mass Die-offs

• 2010 Disasters [Links to 2010 Disaster Calendar]
• Mega Disasters
• 2011 Disaster Calendar
• 2012 Disaster Calendar

GLOBAL WARNING

• WARNING: Human impact 2.85 x Earth’s diminishing carrying capacity
• WARNING: RAPID DECLINE IN PROGRESS!

Wildfires Force State of Emergency in Eastern Washington

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,277 Days Left

[September 16, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. 

• SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,277 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

• Symbolic countdown to the ‘worst day’ in human history began on May 15, 2011...

.

Global Disasters/ Significant Events

• Washington, USA. Gov. Gregoire has declared a State of Emergency for all counties east of the Cascades on due to destructive wildfires.
  • “This is one of the worst fire situations that I can recall during my time as governor.  Firefighters have done a tremendous job to keep people safe, and keep the number of homes lost to a minimum. But they need more resources – especially as we expect weather conditions to remain less than favorable.” Gregoire said.
  • Multiple fires “currently threaten over 500 homes, resulting in numerous evacuations,” she added.
  • The Wenatchee Complex includes over 50 lightning-caused fires burning in Chelan County.

• Alaska. “An unseasonable storm of considerable size and strength is affecting the southern mainland this weekend with strong winds and heavy rains. The low is near the Alaska Peninsula moving towards Bristol Bay.” NWS reported.

• Utah. Washington County has declared a state of emergency after flash floods damaged Santa Clara, Ivins and St. George, reports said.

• Idaho. Up to a million acres are being consumed by wildfires across Idaho.  The largest blazes include:
  • Mustang Complex: 315,000 acres
  • Trinity Ridge Fire
  • Sheep Fire
  • Mcguire Complex
  • Halstead
  • Porcupine Complex
  • Powell Sbw Complex

• Portugal.  In the first 8 months this year,  16,168 forest fires consumed 73,055 hectares of forest, up 81 percent from 2011, said a report.
  • “One single giant blaze at Tavira, in the Algarve, which broke out on 18 July, ravaged 21,347 hectares of forest – some 29 percent of the total for all of Portugal from January and August.”

• Okinawa.  NEWS BLACKOUT IN EFFECT CONCERNING THE EXTENT OF DAMAGE CAUSED BY TYPHOON SANBA

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

• The First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities
• Back to the Primordial Future
• The Fate of Energy Dinosaurs
• Mass Die-offs

• 2010 Disasters [Links to 2010 Disaster Calendar]
• Mega Disasters
• 2011 Disaster Calendar
• 2012 Disaster Calendar

GLOBAL WARNING

• WARNING: Human impact 2.85 x Earth’s diminishing carrying capacity
• WARNING: RAPID DECLINE IN PROGRESS!

SANBA Targets Okinawa

Massive Typhoon SANBA about to strike Okinawa

Typhoon SANBA (TY 17W) – IR Satellite Image. Source: Digital Typhoon

Typhoon Details [Issued at 12:45 UTC, 15 September 2012]

Scale:  Large
Intensity:  Very Strong
Center position:  N24°30′(24.5°), E128°30′(128.5°)
Direction and speed:  N 20km/h (11kt)
Central pressure: 910hPa
Maximum wind speed 50m/s (100kt)
Maximum wind gust: 70m/s (140kt)
Source:  Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)

 

Floods Threaten Niger’s Rice Crop

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,279 Days Left

[September 14, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. 

• SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,279 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

  Symbolic countdown to the ‘worst day’ in human history began on May 15, 2011...

  .

Global Disasters/ Significant Events

• Republic of Niger. Flooding in Niger could destroy its main rice harvest, reports said.
  • Floods have already claimed dozens of lives since the annual rainy season began.
  • Niger produces about 130,000 tons of rice a year.
  • “Most of the rainy season rice crop, estimated at over 80,000 metric tons, risks being destroyed this year,” a Malian official said.

• United States. The Department of Commerce has declared Fisheries Disasters in Northeast, Alaska, and Mississippi.
  • Northeast – Several key fish stocks in the Northeast groundfish fishery are not rebuilding and further cuts are expected in 2013.  More information here.
  • Alaska – Low returns of Chinook salmon to the Yukon River, Kuskokwim River, and Cook Inlet have resulted in a fishery resource disaster have caused a continuation of the Yukon River commercial fishery failure in 2010 – 2012, a Kuskokwim River commercial fishery failure in 2011 – 2012, and a Cook Inlet commercial fishery failure in 2012.  More information here.
  • Mississippi – Impacted by the massive freshwater impacts from the historic flooding in the lower Mississippi River in the spring of 2011, a commercial fishery failure has been declared for the Mississippi oyster fishery and the state’s blue crab fishery. More information here.

• North Korea. Death toll from recent floods in the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) has risen to 300, with 600 others reported as missing and many injured, reports said.
  • “The floods between mid-June and late August destroyed 87,280 houses and affected roughly 298,050 residents, damaging farmland and social infrastructure such as electric cables, coal mines and railways, according to the KCNA, said a report.
    

• Pakistan.  Flooding in Pakistan has left hundreds of people dead, injured or missing.  Thousands of others are left homeless.

• Ryukyu Islands. Super Typhoon SANBA (TY 17W), near 23.5ºN, 129.1ºE,  continues to intensifies moving north (345 degrees) toward Okinawa, Ryukyu Islands.

Super Typhoon SANBA (TY 17W) and its project path – enhanced IR satellite image.  Image source:  CIMSS

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

• The First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities
• Back to the Primordial Future
• The Fate of Energy Dinosaurs
• Mass Die-offs

• 2010 Disasters [Links to 2010 Disaster Calendar]
• Mega Disasters
• 2011 Disaster Calendar
• 2012 Disaster Calendar

GLOBAL WARNING

• WARNING: Human impact 2.85 x Earth’s diminishing carrying capacity
• WARNING: RAPID DECLINE IN PROGRESS!

Typhoon SONGDA Targets Ryukyu Islands, Okinawa

SONGDA Downgraded to Cat 3B on FEWW New Hurricane Scale

Typhoon SONGDA could make a direct hit on the tiny volcanic island [and popular holiday resort] of Miyakojima (Pop: 56,000; area: ~ 160 km²; position: 24°46′N 125°19′E.)

Current Details

• Date and Time   May 28, 2011 at 05:50UTC
• Position:  Near 24.1N 124.4E
• Location: About 530 km SW of Kadena, Okinawa
• Movement over the past 6 hours:  NNE
• Forward Speed: 28km/hr (15 KTS)

Current Wind Distribution:

• Max sustained winds: ~ 193 km/hr (104 KTS) – [Cat 3B storm on FEWW New Hurricane Scale]
• Max wind gusts: 235 km/hr (127 KT)
• Max significant wave height: 11.3m (37feet)
• Source: FIRE-EARTH estimates based on data provided by JTWC and others.

Typhoon SONGDA – VIS/IR satellite image – 4km res. Source: CIMSS. [NOTE: locations show on the map are approximate, and used for reference only.]

Typhoon SONGDA – IR satellite image  (BD  Enhancement) – 2km res. Source: CIMSS. Click images to enlarge.

Map of Miyakojima Island with the position of Typhoon SONGDA shown at 04:00UTC on May 28, 2011. Source: Digital Typhoon. Map enhanced by FIRE-EARTH.

Related Links

• Super Typhoon SONGDA Saunters NW
• Super Typhoon SONGDA
• Satellite Imagery
• 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season: AAA
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale

Loops/Animations (MTSAT/NOAA/SSD)

• Northwest Pacific – Water Vapor
• Northwest Pacific – Visible
• Northwest Pacific – Visible (Colorized)
• Northwest Pacific – Infrared
• Northwest Pacific IR (Aviation Color Enhancement)

Digital Typhoon Animations

• Last 24 Hours : MPEG / WMV
• Last 120 Hours : MPEG / WMV
• Last 240 Hours : MPEG / WMV

Tropical Storm AERE – UPDATE May 9

Tropical Storm 03W (aka AERE, lka ‘BEBENG’) Pummels NW Philippines

The Storm has dumped as much as 800mm of rain in parts of northwestern Philippines, causing widespread flooding, triggering landslides, killing at least a dozen people, and forcing about 110,000 people to flee their homes.

Tropical Storm AERE – IR Satellite Image (8km Res). Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Current Details (FIRE-EARTH estimates)

• Position: 18.5°N, 122.2°E
• Maximum sustained winds : 80 kp/h
• Maximum wind gusts: 90 kp/h
• Movement: North at 15  kp/h

The storm is expected to reach to about 170km west of Naha, Okinawa in the next 70 hours.

Related Links

• Tropical Storm ‘Bebeng’ Targets Philippines

The 9th Powerful Quake Strikes Japan Region

The 9th powerful Earthquake (of a possible series of 14) Measuring 6.9 Mw Strikes Ryukyu Isles, Japan

A powerful earthquake measuring 6.9 Mw struck near Naha, Okinawa, Japan at a depth of 10km on February 26, 2010 at 20:31UTC. The mainshock was followed by a magnitude 5.1 aftershock which occurred on February 27, 2010 at 00:49 UTC, USGS reported.

Background:

• 8th Strong Quake Strikes Ryukyu Islands, Japan
• Seventh Powerful Quake Hits Japan Region
• 6th Strong Quake Strikes Near Ryukyu Isles, Japan
• 5th Strong Quake Strikes Japan Region
• 6 to 8 more strong EQs may yet strike region
• Earthquake Forecast: Tokyo, Japan

Referring to an earlier forecast, FEWW Moderators believe an additional series of 5 or so quakes measuring ≥ 6.0 Mw could strike Japan region in the coming weeks.

10-degree Map Centered at 25°N,130°E

Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Map enhanced by FEWW.

Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP.

Political Map of Japan.

Earthquake Information Issued by JMA at 05:31 JST 27 Feb 2010

Occurred at (JST)	Latitude	Longitude	Depth	Mag.	Region Name
5:31 JST 27 Feb 2010	26.3ºN	128.2ºE	10km	6.9Mw	Okinawa-honto Kinkai

Approximate Distances (USGS):

• 80 km (50 miles) ESE of Naha, Okinawa, Japan
• 455 km (285 miles) ENE of Ishigaki-jima, Ryukyu Islands, Japan
• 665 km (415 miles) SSW of Kagoshima, Kyushu, Japan
• 1530 km (950 miles) SW of TOKYO, Japan

Tsunami Details

At 05:33 JST 27 Feb 2010   JMA Issued a Tsunami Warning for

• OKINAWA ISLANDS

Residents were advised to:  “Evacuate from the seashore immediately to the safe places near the above coasts.”

A Tsunami Advisory was issued  for

• AMAMI ISLANDS AND TOKARA ISLANDS
• DAITOJIMA AREA
• MIYAKOJIMA AND YAEYAMA AREA

At 07:01 JST 27 Feb 2010 JMA canceled all tsunami warnings and advisories: “No tsunami damage at the above coasts though there may be slight sea level changes from now on.”

JMA Tsunami code:
Tsunami Warning: “Tsunami height is expected to be up to 2 meters, keep watch on tsunamis.”
Tsunami Advisory: “Tsunami height is expected to be about 0.5 meters, pay attention to tsunamis.”

Fire-Earth anticipates intense (above average) seismic activity and volcanic unrest/activity in the Japan Region throughout 2010 and beyond.

Related Links:

• 8th Strong Quake Strikes Ryukyu Islands, Japan [February 7, 2010]
• Seventh Powerful Quake Hits Japan Region [October 30, 2009]
• 6th Strong Quake Strikes Near Ryukyu Isles, Japan [September 29, 2009]
• Strong Quake Strikes Near Shizuoka, Japan [August 11, 2009]
• 5th Strong Quake Strikes Japan Region [August 17, 2009]

• 4th Powerful Quake Strikes Japan Region [August 17, 2009]
• 3rd Powerful Quake in 3 Days Strikes Japan Region [August 13, 2009]
• Strong Quake Strikes Near Shizuoka, Japan [August 10, 2009]
• Powerful Earthquake Strikes Near Izu Islands, Japan [August 9, 2009]
• M 6.4 Quake Strikes SW Ryukkyu Isls, Japan [August 5, 2009]

• Magnitude 6.3 quake strikes Taiwan region
• Earthquakes [Links Page]
• Earthquake Forecast: Tokyo, Japan

8th Strong Quake Strikes Ryukyu Islands, Japan

Eighth Strong Earthquake Measuring 6.6Mw Strikes Japan Region

Background:

• Seventh Powerful Quake Hits Japan Region
• 6th Strong Quake Strikes Near Ryukyu Isles, Japan
• 5th Strong Quake Strikes Japan Region
• 6 to 8 more strong EQs may yet strike region
• Earthquake Forecast: Tokyo, Japan

Referring to an earlier forecast, FEWW Moderators believe an additional series of 5 – 6 quakes measuring ≥ 6.0 Mw could strike Japan region in the coming weeks.

FEWW Moderators had previously anticipated more powerful earthquakes in the region, including as many as 10 additional magnitude 6+ quakes to strike the region in the coming weeks.

Earthquake Information Issued by JMA at 15:15 JST 07 Feb 2010

Occurred at (JST)	Latitude	Longitude	Depth	Mag.	Region Name
15:10 JST 07 Feb 2010	23.4ºN	124.0ºE	10km	6.6Mw	Ishigakijima Kinkai

Approximate distances (USGS)

• 115 km (70 miles) SSW of Ishigaki-jima, Ryukyu Islands, Japan
• 225 km (140 miles) ESE of Hua-lien, Taiwan
• 225 km (140 miles) ESE of Su-ao, Taiwan
• 2055 km (1280 miles) SW of TOKYO, Japan

Note: USGS/EHP has again downgraded the quake by 0.2 order of magnitude to 6.4Mw

Tsunami Forecast/Watch

JMA Issued a Tsunami Forecast at 15:13 JST 07 Feb 2010 for MIYAKOJIMA and YAEYAMA areas saying that tsunami height was expected to be about 0.5 meters.
However, the tsunami watch was later canceled. JMA said: “No tsunami damage at some of the other coasts though there may be slight sea level changes.:

Fire-Earth anticipates intense seismic activity and volcanic unrest/activity in the Japan Region throughout 2010 and beyond.

10-degree Map Centered at 25°N,125°E

Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Map enhanced by FEWW.

Political Map of Japan.

Related Links:

• Seventh Powerful Quake Hits Japan Region [October 30, 2009]
• 6th Strong Quake Strikes Near Ryukyu Isles, Japan [September 29, 2009]
• Strong Quake Strikes Near Shizuoka, Japan [August 11, 2009]
• 5th Strong Quake Strikes Japan Region [August 17, 2009]
• 4th Powerful Quake Strikes Japan Region [August 17, 2009]
• 3rd Powerful Quake in 3 Days Strikes Japan Region [August 13, 2009]
• Strong Quake Strikes Near Shizuoka, Japan [August 10, 2009]
• Powerful Earthquake Strikes Near Izu Islands, Japan [August 9, 2009]
• M 6.4 Quake Strikes SW Ryukkyu Isls, Japan [August 5, 2009]
• Magnitude 6.3 quake strikes Taiwan region
• Earthquakes [Links Page]
• Earthquake Forecast: Tokyo, Japan

Could LUPIT Do a U-Turn?

Could LUPIT Strengthen to a Typhoon AND Do a U-Turn?

The answer is yes and yes, but only just!

FEWW Moderators believe there’s a 30 percent probability that Tropical Cyclone LUPIT could strengthen to a typhoon force again, and it might do a u-turn heading back toward Luzon with a probability of about 10 percent.

As of 4:00 pm local time, October 24, 2009, Tropical Storm LUPIT (“RAMIL”) was located at 22.8°N, 125.9°E, or about 425 km Northeast of Basco, Batanes with maximum winds of 95 km/h and gusts of up to 120 km/h. Nearly all models suggest that LUPIT will move Northeast at 15 km/h.

Typhoon Lupit – DOST-PAGASA MTSAT-EIR Satellite Image frozen at 12:30 UTC  on 24 Oct. 2009. Click image to enlarge and update.

LUPIT Track by UniSys Weather.  Click image to enlarge .

LUPIT Chart. Source: DOST-PAGASA of the Philippines. Click image to enlarge and update.

• LUPIT 3-day projected track.

Satellite Loops/Animation/Images

• Tropical West Pacific – Infrared
• Tropical West Pacific – Enhanced IR
• Tropical West Pacific – Water Vapor
• Tropical West Pacific – Visible

• Northwest Pacific – Water Vapor
• Northwest Pacific – Visible
• Northwest Pacific – Visible (Colorized)
• Northwest Pacific – Infrared
• Northwest Pacific – IR (Aviation Color Enhancement)

• West Pacific – Water Vapor
• West Pacific – Visible
• West Pacific – Visible (Colorized)
• West Pacific – Infrared
• West Pacific – IR (Aviation Color Enhancement)

Other Satellite Images:

• FEWW Satellite Imagery

Related Links:

• Photo of LUPIT Near Northern Luzon
• UPDATE: Typhoon LUPIT Arrives
• Typhoon LUPIT: Cruel, Harsh, or Wicked?

• Super Typhoon LUPIT: The Sauntering Storm
• Typhoon LUPIT Update – 17 Oct 2009
• LUPIT: The Mercy Storm?

• Parma Hampers Recovery Efforts in Vietnam
• Philippines Still Flooded
• Philippines Terminally Impacted?

• Images of the Day: Super Typhoon Melor
• Could Typhoon Melor Drag Parma Back to Philippines?
• When Will Global Food Shortages Begin Biting

• “Twin-engine” hurricanes, “Supercharged” Typhoons
• Super Typhoon Parma May Churn Manila to Vanila
• Philippines Extreme Rain from TS Ketsana

• Manila Flooding Could Trigger Quakes
• Philippines: Worst Floods in Living Memory
• Philippines Worst Ever Flood Casualties Climb a Notch

• Earth undergoing significant geophysical disturbances
• Typhoon Melor Leaves a Trail of Destruction in Japan
• Typhoon Melor Arriving in Japan, Leaving Lasting Impression

Typhoon Melor Arriving in Japan, Leaving Lasting Impression

Typhoon Melor Drenches the Windswept Land of Rising Sun

Wind gusts of up to 60km/h have already been reported in Japan’s Kinki region, about 675km (420 miles) from the center of Typhoon Melor.

Lets hope the overdue large quake which FEWW  forecast for the Tokyo Bay area won’t occur right now, making the typhoon’s impression any deeper.

Typhoon Melor. MTSAT RGB Image. Date and Time as Inset. To enlarge and update, click on image.

• Latest Image

Near Real-Time Animation

• RGB Image Loop (Animations need Java)
• Storm Relative 16km Microwave-Based Total Precipitable Water Imagery

• Storm Relative 16km Geostationary Water Vapor Imagery

• Enhanced Infrared (IR) Imagery (4 km Mercator)
• Rainbow Color Infrared Loop
• RGB Color Infrared Loop

• Infrared Channel 2 Loop

For additional images and animations, visit Satellite Imagery Links Page.

Typhoon Melor Stats as of 00:50 UTC, 7 October 2009

Intensity: Strong
Center of probability circle: N35°05′(35.1°), E136°20′(136.3°)
Direction and speed of movement: NNE 45km/h (23kt)
Central pressure: 960hPa (720.1mmHg)
Maximum wind speed near the center: 40m/s (75kt= 144km/h)
Maximum wind gust speed: 55m/s (105kt = 198km/h)
Radius of probability circle: 160km (85NM)
Storm warning area Wide:  300km (160NM)
Source: JMA
[Conversions by FEWW]

00:00 UTC, Oct 7, 2009

Typhoon Melor 3-day forecast track. Source: JMA. Image may be subject to copyright.

[Valid as of posting] Typhoon Warning and Advisory regions. Source: JMA. Image may be subject to copyright.

For the Latest Warnings and Advisories Click Here!

Related Links:

• Images of the Day: Super Typhoon Melor
• Earthquake Forecast: Tokyo, Japan
• Could Typhoon Melor Drag Parma Back to Philippines?

• When Will Global Food Shortages Begin Biting
• “Twin-engine” hurricanes, “Supercharged” Typhoons
• Super Typhoon Parma May Churn Manila to Vanila
• Philippines Extreme Rain from TS Ketsana
• Manila Flooding Could Trigger Quakes
• Philippines: Worst Floods in Living Memory

6th Strong Quake Strikes Near Ryukyu Isles, Japan

6 to 8 more EQs may yet strike region

Magnitude 5.9 quake strikes near Ryukyu Islands, close to Iwo-Tori-Shima Volcano

Strong earthquake measuring 5.9 Mw struck near Ryukyu Islands, Japan region, at a depth of 10 km on September 28, 2009 at about 19:23 UTC, USGS EHP reported.

The quake struck about 200 km (125 miles) north of Naha, Okinawa, Japan. Japan Meteorological Agency reported an aftershock measuring 4.3 Mw at 07:48 local time (22:48 UTC). JMA issued NO tsunami warning after the mainshock.

This quake was in line with FEWW forecast made on August 17, 2009.

10-degree Map Centered at 30°N,130°E

Earthquake Location Map. Source of the original map: USGS. Map enhanced by FEWW.

Earthquake Details:

• Magnitude: 5.9
• Date-Time: Monday, September 28, 2009 at 19:22:57 UTC  [Tuesday, September 29, 2009 at 04:22:57 AM at epicenter]
• Location: 27.943°N, 127.867°E
• Depth: 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
• Region: RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN
• Distances:
  • 200 km (125 miles) N of Naha, Okinawa, Japan
  • 480 km (300 miles) SSW of Kagoshima, Kyushu, Japan
  • 535 km (335 miles) NE of Ishigaki-jima, Ryukyu Islands, Japan
  • 1410 km (880 miles) SW of TOKYO, Japan
• Location Uncertainty:  horizontal +/- 7.1 km (4.4 miles)
• Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
• Event ID:  us2009mcbr

Related Links:

• 4th Powerful Quake Strikes Japan Region
• 3rd Powerful Quake in 3 Days Strikes Japan Region

• Strong Quake Strikes Near Shizuoka, Japan
• 5th Strong Quake Strikes Japan Region
• Strong Quake Strikes Near Shizuoka, Japan [August 10, 2009]
• Powerful Earthquake Strikes Near Izu Islands, Japan [August 9, 2009]
• M 6.4 Quake Strikes SW Ryukkyu Isls, Japan [August 5, 2009]
• Earthquake Forecast: Tokyo, Japan

• Earthquakes [Links Page]

• Volcanoes
• FEWW Volcano Links