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Posts Tagged ‘PAGASA’

Typhoon KOPPU Intensifies, Slows Down

Posted by feww on October 17, 2015

KOPPU menacing N. Philippines

Typhoon KOPPU (TY 24W), Locally known as “LANDO,” currently packing sustained winds of about 220 km/h, is forecast to intensify further.

October 17 @ 12;00UTC

Max sustained winds:  ~ 220 km/h
Max wind gusts: 265 km/h
Max significant wave height: ~ 15m
Position and movement: Near 15.7N, 123.0E (Moving W. at about 10km/h toward Aurora Province)
Location: 320 km ENE of Manila, Philippines

ty 24w
Nightmare scenario? Typhoon KOPPU (TY 24W) tracking west toward the Philippines, chased by Typhoon CHAMPI (TY 25W). Image source: MTSAT/ NOAA

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Major Typhoon AND Restive Volcano Threaten Philippines

Posted by feww on May 8, 2015

Bulusan volcano spewing ash, typhoon NOUL dumping heavy rain

The Bulusan volcano (12.7667°N, 124.0500°E), restive for eight days, has been spewing out steam and ash in central Sorsogon province, Philippines.

At 9:46 PM on May 6, 2015, Bulusan Volcano (12.7667°N, 124.0500°E) in Sorsogon Province generated a steam-driven explosion from a vent on its northwest upper slopes that propelled an ash plume approximately 250 m high before it drifted west. The explosion event lasted 3.5 minutes based on the seismic records. Traces of ash were observed in Sitio Tulay of Brgy. Bagsangan, Cogon, Monbon, and Tinampo in Irosin, Sorsogon. This event was preceded by a similar steam-driven explosion from the same vent on May 1, 2015 that lasted 5 minutes. Such  explosions are typical to Bulusan during restive periods, when its hydrothermal system is disturbed or when steam accumulates and pressurizes at the shallow levels of the volcanic edifice. Based on past records,  more explosions can be expected to occur with varying intensity, duration and distribution of ash. DOST-PHIVOLCS

Meantime, major typhoon NOUL, the fourth to strike the country so far this year, is forecast to dump up to 30cm of rain along its path threatening to unleash lahar around Mt Bulusan, officials said.

NOUL Location as of 4:00pm Local Time
The typhoon (locally known  as DODONG) was about 510 km East of Sorsogon City (12.9°N, 128.7°E), forecast to make landfall as a category four storm at the weekend, said the official agency PAGASA.

NOUL was packing maximum sustained winds of about 150 kp/h with maximum wind gusts of up to 185 kp/h, moving WNW at about 17km/h, according to several models.

The typhoon is dumping “heavy to intense rainfall amount” within its 300-km diameter, said PAGASA.

NOUL-01
Typhoon NOUL – Image source: DOST/PAGASA

MT Bulusan

On Thursday, DOST-PHIVOLCS issued an Alert Level 1 for Mt Bulusan after an explosion late Wednesday, warning “hydrothermal processes may be underway beneath the volcano that may lead to more steam-driven eruptions.”

“The local government units and the public are reminded that entry to the four-kilometer radius Permanent Danger Zone (PDZ) is strictly prohibited due to the possibility of sudden and hazardous steam-driven or phreatic eruptions,” the agency said in its latest bulletin.

 

Mayon Volcano Status

BULLETIN 08 May 2015 8:00 A.M.

Mayon Volcano’s seismic monitoring network recorded five (5) volcanic earthquakes during the past 24 hours. Very weak to moderate emission of white steam plumes that crept downslope towards southwest was observed. The summit was visible but no crater glow was observed last night. Precise leveling surveys on April 30 – May 4, 2015 indicated slight deflation of the edifice relative to the March 2015 surveys, although the edifice remains inflated relative to baseline levels.

Mayon Volcano’s alert status is currently at Alert Level 2. This means the volcano is at a moderate level of magmatic unrest. Although the volcano is currently exhibiting low-level of seismic activity, ground deformation data indicates that eruptible magma had already accumulated the previous year beneath the edifice. Current conditions may still change and eventually lead to hazardous eruption. The public is still reminded to avoid entry into the 6-km Permanent Danger Zone or PDZ due to perennial hazards of rockfalls, avalanche, ash puffs and sudden steam-driven or phreatic eruptions at the summit area. Furthermore, people living in valleys and active river channels are cautioned to remain vigilant against sediment-laden streamflows and lahars in the event of prolonged and heavy rainfall. PHIVOLCS-DOST is closely monitoring Mayon Volcano’s activity and any new development will be immediately posted to all concerned. DOST-PHIVOLCS

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Typhoon HAGUPIT Targets the Philippines

Posted by feww on December 3, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
MAJOR TYPHOON
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
STORM SURGES
COASTAL FLOODING
MASS EVACUATIONS
CROP DISASTERS
MAIN SCENARIOS: 900, 888, 808, [500,] 477, 444, 117, 111, 097, 071, 070, 047, 033, 027, 025, 023, 022, 012, 011, 09, 02
.

Typhoon 22W packing 200km/h winds; headed WNW

Typhoon 22W [aka, HAGUPIT, locally called “RUBY”] was positioned near 9.1°N 135.9°E, about 1,100km east of Hinatuan Surigao del Sur, packing sustained winds of over 200km/h, at 14.32UTC, according to FIRE-EARTH models.

  • Movement and Forward Speed; WNW at about 30km/h
  • Max. Significant Wave Heights: ~ 15m

22W - NOAA
Typhoon 22W [aka, HAGUPIT,”RUBY”] Image Source: NOAA/SSD/ West Pacific Imagery

Most probably track for TY 22W, as of posting:

track 22w - dost pagasa
Track of Typhoon 22W. Source: PAGASA/DOST.

 

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Tropical Depression ZORAIDA Striking Mindanao, Philippines

Posted by feww on November 11, 2013

ZORAIDA is packing sustained winds of about 55 km/hr

At 6:00 p.m. local time (UTC +8 hours) on November 11, 2013, Tropical Depression ZORAIDA was positioned near 5.8°N, 131.2°E, about 612 km Southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao Del Sur, moving WNW at 30 km/hr, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). 

Forecast: The regions of Davao, Caraga and Northern Mindanao will have rains with gusty winds with moderate to rough seas. Palawan, Visayas and the rest of Mindanao will experience cloudy skies with light to moderate rainshowers and thunderstorms. Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with light rains. Moderate to strong winds blowing from the northeast to east will prevail over Luzon and Visayas and coming from the northeast to north over the rest of Mindanao. The coastal waters throughout the archipelago will be with moderate to rough.

zor
Tropical Depression ZORAIDA. IR/Water Vapor Difference [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image also showing remnants of super typhoon HAIYAN dissipating over southern China, Japan and beyond (recorded at 13:30UTC on November 11, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

TD Z and Remnants of SupTy HAIYAN-
Tropical Depression ZORAIDA. INFRARED [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image also showing remnants of super typhoon HAIYAN dissipating over southern China, Japan and beyond (recorded at 13:30UTC on November 11, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

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