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Posts Tagged ‘pago-pago’

Tropical Cyclones Now Come in Pairs

Posted by feww on March 12, 2010

Tropical Cyclones 19P and 20P

Two Active Tropical Cyclones Roam the South Pacific, a Third System May Form Soon (probability in 48 hours ≥ 50 percent—Fire Earth Forecast)


MTSAT-1R image showing the locations of TC 20P and TC 19P in the South Pacific ocean.  Click Image to update.

Tropical Cyclone 20P Currently Over Espiritu Santo,  Vanuatu

Forecast Details on March 12 at 06:00UTC
Position: 14.3S 165.6E
Max Sustaind Winds: 75km/hr (~ 40 kts)
Wind Gusts: 90km/hr (~ 50 kts)
Movement: 270 degrees
Forward Speed: 9km/hr (~ 5 kts)
Location: Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu
Sources: JTWC, Digital Typhoon, CIMSS and others.



Visible/IR images of TC 20P Close to Vanuatu. Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone 20P Currently NW of Western Samoa


Visible/IR images of TC 19P NW of Western Samoa. Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.

Details on March 12 at 03:00UTC

Position:  10.7S 177.4W
Max Sustained Winds:  ~ 70km/hr
Wind Gusts: 90km/hr (~ 50 kts)
Movement: 260 degrees
Forward Speed:  ~ 12km/hr (07 kts)
Location: 890km  (485 NM) WNW of Pago-Pago
Sources: JTWC, Digital Typhoon, CIMSS and others.

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , | 17 Comments »

Cyclone RENE Update 3 (13 Feb)

Posted by feww on February 13, 2010

RENE Heading West

Tropical Cyclone RENE has slowed down and consolidated; it’s intensifying and pummeling American Samoa as it heads west.

Background:


Tropical Cyclone RENE – IR-WV Difference Satellite Image – Source: UW-CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.


Tropical Cyclone RENE – NOAA GOES JSL2 IR CH4 Satellite Image- Date as inset. Click image to enlarge. Click here for the most recent update.

Tropical Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Details

  • Date/Time: 12 February 2010 –  13:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 14.3ºS, 169.8ºW
  • Sustained Movement: 280 degrees
  • Forward speed: 10 km/hr (~ 6 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone RENE has been tracking  WEST over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: ~ 157 km (~ 85 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 195 km/hr (~ 105 kt)

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 9m (26 ft)
  • Location: TC RENE was located about 120 km (~ 70 NM) ENE of Pago-Pago
  • Rene could intensify to a Cat 2B Hurricane [probability of 65 percent] possibly a Cat 3A Hurricane [probability of 45 percent] within the next 72 hours.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

Additional Satellite Imagery

NOAA East Pacific Floater 1 GOES Satellite Imagery – Cyclone FIFTEEN (TC 15P)

See also: UW- CIMSS Cyclone Portal

Recent Disasters in Samoa Islands Region

In September 2009, the Samoa tsunami killed more than 200 people in the Samoan islands and Tonga, destroying dozens of villages.

In January 2004, Cyclone Heta struck Samoa Islands and American Samoa, destroying or damaging more than 4,500 homes in American Samoa. Heta also  destroyed 90 percent of the crops in the region.

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, hurricane, storm, Tropical Cyclone RENE | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments »

Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Update 2 (13 Feb)

Posted by feww on February 13, 2010

RENE Hovering Near PAGO-PAGO

Cyclone RENE continues to intensify, seemingly intent on wreaking havoc in the S Pacific island groups

In fact, based on the available information, there’s little to prevent the cyclone [turning around] tracking west, and targeting Samoa Islands, despite the forecast paths.


Cyclone Rene. NOAA GOES AVNCOLOR Enhancement IR Satellite image. Click image to enlarge.  Click HERE or the Latest Image.  See Enhanced Image.


Political Map of American Samoa and Samoa Islands. Click image to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Details

  • Date/Time: 13 February 2010  at  03:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 13.5ºS, 169.5ºW

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: ~ 130km (~ 70 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 160 km/hr (~ 85 kt)

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 8.5m (25 ft)
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

Additional Satellite Imagery

NOAA East Pacific Floater 1 GOES Satellite Imagery – Cyclone FIFTEEN (TC 15P)

See also:

Posted in cyclone, hurricane, Pacific Ocean, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments »

Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Update 1 (12 Feb)

Posted by feww on February 12, 2010

Slow Forward Motion May Help RENE to Strengthen


Tropical Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) – Water Vapor Satellite Image. Source: UW-CIMSS. Click Image to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Details

  • Date/Time: 12 February 2010 –  01:30 UTC
  • Position:  Near 13.0ºS, 166.0ºW
  • Sustained Movement: 215  degrees
  • Forward speed: 9 km/hr (~ 5 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone RENE has been tracking  SOUTH over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: ~ 110km (~ 60 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 140 km/hr (~ 75 kt)

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 6m (18 ft)
  • Location: TC RENE was located about 500 km (~ 270 NM) ENE of Pago-Pago
  • Rene could intensify to a Cat 2B Hurricane [probability of 65 percent] possibly a Cat 3A Hurricane [probability of 45 percent] within the next 72 hours, depending on its forward motion speed.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

South Pacific and North America are two places to avoid right now!

Additional Satellite Imagery

NOAA East Pacific Floater 1 GOES Satellite Imagery – Cyclone FIFTEEN (TC 15P)

See also:

Posted in cyclone, hurricane, Pacific Ocean, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , | 6 Comments »