UNSTOPPABLE SUPER TYPHOON MANGKHUT BARRELLING TOWARDS N. LUZON, PHILIPPINES

UPDATE 03

SUPER TYPHOON MANGKHUT (26W) PACKING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 270 KM/H

SUMMARY OF STATUS @ 13:32 091302

• MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 270 km/h [SUPER TYPHOON]
• MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS: 325+ km/h
• POSITION: NEAR 15ºN, 129ºE

LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 900KM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES,
TRACKING WESTWARD AT 20 KM/H
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT 18 METERS

[Estimate based on data acquired from various sources]

• Updates available at 120-minute intervals via FIRE-EARTH PULSARS.

Ferocious Typhoon Nearing Philippines Ground Zero Hit by HAIYAN

MELOR could become a super typhoon

MELOR is currently packing sustained winds of about 230 km/hr and could become a super typhoon as it continue strengthen within the next 8 hours, with winds of about 260 km/hr (max. gusts of 320 km/hr). 

The typhoon is expected to bring torrential rains of about 30cm to areas within a 300-km of its diameter.

MELOR is headed toward Philippines ground zero the area devastated by HAIYN, which killed more than 6,300 people and left about 1.5 million homeless, in November 2013.

Super Typhoon NOUL – UPDATE 100300UTC

NOUL packing sustained winds of 265km/hr

Update 100300UTC [Based on FIRE-EARTH Models using the available satellite data]

Position: Near 16.9ºN, 122.7ºE
Location: About 320km NE of Manila, Philippines
Max. Sustained Winds: 265km/hr
Max. Wind Gusts: 320km/hr
Max. Significant Wave Height: 15 meters
Movement: NNW (330 degrees) at 17 km/hr

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #13-A (DOST AGASA)

• Typhoon NOUL [“DODONG”]  is expected to make landfall over Sta. Ana Pt., Cagayan this afternoon or early evening (local time), May 10, and will exit the Philippines Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Tuesday morning, May 12.

• Residents in low lying and mountainous areas of the provinces with Public Storm Warning Signals are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.

• Storm surges of up to 1.5 meters are possible over the eastern coast of Isabela and Cagayan.

Related Links

•  Major Typhoon AND Restive Volcano Threaten Philippines May 8, 2015

MAYSAK Morphs into Super Typhoon

Super Typhoon MAYSAK to make landfall over central or southern Luzon

The Category 5-equivalent Super Typhoon “MAYSAK” is expected to make landfall over central or southern Luzon by Sunday afternoon, reported the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).

MAYSAK is currently packing packing sustained winds of about 260 km/h with gusts of more than 315 km/h at its center.

The first super typhoon of the northwest Pacific’s season is forecast to reach maximum strength Wednesday afternoon, peaking at sustained winds of about 290 km/h, with gusts of near 355-km/h, as it exits Yap State and heads toward northern Luzon island, according to JTWC and other models.

 

NURI Becomes Seventh Super Typhoon of 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
SUPER TYPHOON
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
MAJOR STORM SURGES
COASTAL FLOODING
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS  444, 111, 088, 070, 066, 033, 025, 024, 023, 022, 09, 02
.

Super Typhoon NURI Moving NNE

Super typhoon NURI (Typhoon 20W) was expected to peak Monday PM with sustained winds of 315 km/hr (196mph), and gusts of 380 km/hr (236 mph), according to earlier projections by JTWC, and become the most powerful storm ever recorded.

 Super Typhoon NURI (TY 20W) – JTWC FORECAST
November 03, 2014 @ 18:00UTC
Position: 20.4°N 133.9°E
Max Sustained Winds: 305 km/hr (165 kt)
Max Wind Gusts:  370 km/hr (200 kt)
Max Significant Wave Height:  15m (50 feet)

 Related Links

https://feww.wordpress.com/satellite-imagery/

 

Typhoon PHANFONE Battering Japan

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
POWERFUL TYPHOON
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
MAJOR STORM SURGES
COASTAL FLOODING
MUDSLIDES
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS  444, 111, 088, 070, 066, 033, 025, 024, 023, 022, 09, 02
.

Powerful typhoon heads north after buffeting Kyushu region

PHANFONE (TY 18W) is expected to make landfall on Japan’s main island of Honshu Monday.

The typhoon is dumping up to 125mm of rain per hour over areas along the Pacific coast from western to northeastern Japan, while generating large storm surges along the coastal areas.

At14:59UTC on Sunday typhoon PHANFONE (TY 18W) was located near 32.2N 134.6E, according to JTWC.

The powerful storm was tracking northeastward at about 20km/h [according to local information] packing sustained winds of about 170km/h with wind gusts exceeding 205km/h [Fire-Earth Models.]

Maximum significant wave height was 13 meters (42 feet), according to JTWC.

Multiple Warnings

Local authorities have issued multiple warnings for destructive winds, major storm surges, flooding and  mudslides along the typhoon’s predicted path.

Typhoon VONGFONG (TY 19W)

Typhoon VONGFONG (TY 19W), which is following PHANFONE, could become a super typhoon within the next few days, according to various models.

Position at 14:59UTC on Sunday, October 5, 2014: Near 14.1N 145.9E [JTWC]
Tracking  west-northwestward at 25 km/h
Max sustained wind: 175km/h
Max wind gusts: 240km/h
Max significant wave height: 11m (33feet)

The Most Powerful Typhoon Ever Recorded?

VONGFONG, should favorable conditions continue, could become one of the most powerful storms ever recorded on earth, with maximum sustained winds of up to 300 km/h [Probability: 0.65  as of posting —FIRE-EARTH Models.]

Related Links

• PHANFONE Meanders Toward Japan October 3, 2014
• Typhoon HALONG Hammers Japan August 10, 2014
• Billion-Dollar Typhoon Kills Many in Philippines, China July 20, 2014
• NEOGURI Becomes Super Typhoon July 7, 2014
• Massive Typhoon Targets Japan July 6, 201

 

Typhoon HAIYAN Strikes Northern Vietnam Near China Border

Deadly HAIYAN makes landfall in northern Vietnam as a Cat. 1 storm

The once super typhoon was downgraded to a severe tropical storm as of posting, but was expected to dump up to 400mm of rain on parts of northern Vietnam and southern China.

Vietnam had reportedly evacuated about 900,000 people from coastal areas including 600,000 from the country’s northern region. China has  issued a typhoon alert for Hainan island, Guangdong and Guangxi provinces.

The typhoon had earlier swept over Vietnam’s Con Co island, forcing the residents to evacuated to underground shelter(!)

HAIYAN has already killed about a dozen people in Vietnam.

Severe Tropical Storm HAIYAN. IR/Water Vapor Difference [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image (recorded at 00:30UTC on November 11, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

The once Super Typhoon, HAIYAN has now transformed into a “rain machine,” expected to dump up to 400mm of rain over parts of northern Vietnam and southern China.

This post would be updated throughout the day, if further news becomes available.

Related Links

• Philippine Disaster Zone: “It’s Like the End of the World.” November 10, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN – NOV 10 Update November 10, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Casualties Could Top Many Thousands November 9, 2013
• Extraterrestrial Typhoon Force Generating 20-Meter “Tsunami” November 8, 2013
• Super Typhoon HAIYAN’S Arm Battering the Philippines November 7, 2013
• “Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN – Image Update November 6, 2013
• HAIYAN Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Levels November 6, 2013
• Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines November 4, 2013
• Typhoon KROSA Destroys or Damages 19,000 Homes in Philippines  November 2, 2013

• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Extraterrestrial Typhoon Force Generating 20-Meter “Tsunami”

Super Typhoon HAIYAN, Probably the Strongest Storm in Modern Era, Strikes the Philippines

FIRE-EARTH Models show storm surges of up to 20 meters high, generated by the Super Typhoon, striking coastal areas in the Bicol Peninsula.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN made landfall over Guiuan (population: 50,000) in Eastern Samar Province at 04:40 local time, and is forecast to remain a Cat 5 storm force as it rakes  across the country.

Powerful winds and torrential rains brought by the Super Typhoon could trigger flash flooding and landslides causing large-scale fatalities and catastrophic damage along the typhoon’s path. See also links below for FEWW’s earlier forecasts.

Up to 1.9 million people have been evacuated in hundreds of villages, towns and cities.

In Calabarzon region, which include the provinces of Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, and Quezon, disaster officials are monitoring 84 towns prone to landslides and flooding, said a local report.

In Albay province, about 700,000  people living in coastal villages in 14 towns and three cities were evacuated.

Up to a million people have been evacuated in the Bicol Region.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN- Water Vapor [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] Satellite Image – recorded at 22:30UTC on November 7, 2013.

MTSAT IR1 image: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/sat_images/satpic.jpg

Super Typhoon HAIYAN (TY 1330; TY31W)

• Time: 18:00UTC – November 7, 2013
• Movement: W (280 degrees) at 40 km/hr
• Position: Near 10.6ºN, 127.0ºE
• Max Sustained Winds: 315 km/hr
• Max Wind Gusts: 380 km/hr
• Source: JTWC

Previous Typhoons Toll

Since 2011, several typhoons including WASHI, BOPHA and KROSA have affected millions of people in the Philippines, flattening coastal towns, killing more than 3,000 people, destroying crops, razing tens of thousands of homes, and causing up to $2billion worth of damage to public infrastructure.

Details of the most destructive typhoons to strike the Philippines can be found on this blog.

More details to follow…

Typhoon List 2013 – Stats for NW Pacific Basin

• The 60 year average (1951-2010) No of Typhoons by 4 November: 23
• No of typhoons so far this year: 30
• Percent Increase: 30.4 [Calculated by FIRE-EARTH blog]

Related Links

• Super Typhoon HAIYAN’S Arm Battering the Philippines November 7, 2013
• “Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN – Image Update November 6, 2013
• HAIYAN Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Levels November 6, 2013
• Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines November 4, 2013
• Typhoon KROSA Destroys or Damages 19,000 Homes in Philippines  November 2, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Super Typhoon HAIYAN’S Arm Battering the Philippines

UPDATED AT 07:00UTC – November 7, 2013

Eric Schmidt you’re a LIAR!

DON’T BLAME GOOGLE’S COMMERCIALLY MOTIVATED  CENSORSHIP AND CORPORATE THEFT ON NSA.

Search term “Super Typhoon HAIYAN” does not list FIRE-EARTH on Google (we tried the first 12 pages), even though FEWW was the first source in the world to forecast Super Typhoon status for HAIYAN.

.

“Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN, the most powerful storm of 2013, continues to intensify

At 5:30UTC on November 7, 2013 Super Typhoon HAIYAN was located about 690km ESE (106 degrees) of Homonhon Island (Eastern Samar, Philippines), moving WNW (285 degrees) at an average speed of about 30 km/hr.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN could cause large-scale destruction along its path, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.

HAIYAN is forecast to dump up to 500mm of rain on some parts of the Philippines.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN  (TY 1330)

• Time: 05:30UTC – November 7, 2013
• Movement: WNW (285 degrees) at 30 km/hr
• Position: Near 8.9ºN, 132.0ºE
• Location: About 690km ESE (106 degrees) of Homonhon Island (Eastern Samar, Philippines)
• Max Sustained Winds: 290km/hr [increasing to about 300 km/hr —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
• Max Wind Gusts: 340km/hr [increasing to about 350 km/hr —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
• Significant Wave Height: 16m [Expected to rise —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
• Source: FIRE-EARTH and others

Tens of thousands of people have been evacuated in the Philippines ahead of the Super Typhoon’s arrival. The typhoon, locally named “YOLANDA,” is expected to make landfall as a Cat. 4C storm force in eastern Visayas, Philippines on Friday.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN Special Message.

VISIBLE/INFRARED  [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image  – recorded at 04:30UTC on November 7, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Since 2011, several typhoons including WASHI, BOPHA and KROSA have affected millions of people in the Philippines, flattening coastal towns, killing more than 3,000 people, destroying crops, razing tens of thousands of homes, and causing up to $2billion worth of damage to public infrastructure.

Details of the most destructive typhoons to strike the Philippines can be found on this blog.

More details to follow…

Typhoon List 2013 – Stats for NW Pacific Basin

• The 60 year average (1951-2010) No of Typhoons by 4 November: 23
• No of typhoons so far this year: 30
• Percent Increase: 30.4 [Calculated by FIRE-EARTH blog]

Related Links

• “Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN – Image Update November 6, 2013
• HAIYAN Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Levels November 6, 2013
• Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines November 4, 2013

• Typhoon KROSA Destroys or Damages 19,000 Homes in Philippines  November 2, 2013

• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

“Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN – Image Update

Super Typhoon HAIYAN moving closer to Palau

At 14:30UTC on November 6, 2013 Super Typhoon HAIYAN was located ENE of Palau (Area: 460 km²; Population: 21,000), moving west (280 degrees) at an average speed of about 33 km/hr.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN. SW/IR  [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image (recorded at 13:30UTC on November 6, 2013). Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Related Links

• HAIYAN Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Levels November 6, 2013
• Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines November 4, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

HAIYAN Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Levels

Super Typhoon HAIYAN could cause large-scale destruction along its path

HAIYAN became a Super Typhoon at about 04:00UTC on November 6, 2013, according to FIRE-EARTH models, with sustained winds exceeding 250 km/hr, and gusts of up to 310 km/hr.

Our models also show the typhoon further strengthening to an “Extraterrestrial Storm Force,” with sustained winds of about 300 km/hr and wind gusts of up to 350 km/hr over the next 12 hours.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN  (TY 1330)

• Time: 04:00UTC – November 6, 2013
• Movement: W (280 degrees) at 30 km/hr
• Position: Near 7.7ºN, 138.5ºE
• Location: About 430km east of Ngerulmud, Palau
• Max Sustained Winds: 250km/hr [increasing to 300 km/hr —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
• Max Wind Gusts: 315km/hr [increasing to 350 km/hr —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
• Significant Wave Height: 15m [Expected to rise —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
• Source: FIRE-EARTH and others

INFRARED/Water Vapor Difference [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image (recorded at 03:30UTC on November 6, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Projected Path of Super Typhoon HAIYAN

Projected Path of Super Typhoon HAIYAN. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.  

The typhoon, locally named “YOLANDA,” is expected to make landfall as a Cat. 4C storm force in eastern Visayas, Philippines on Friday.

Additional Satellite Images

• http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/sat_images/IR110604.jpg

Related Links

• Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines November 4, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines

Tropical Storm HAIYAN Could Become a Super Typhoon

HAIYAN, the 30th tropical storm of the NW Pacific Basin so far this year, could develop into a super typhoon over the next few days before striking the Philippines.

Tropical Storm HAIYAN Chasing Tropical Depression WILMA (formerly TD Thirty) –  IR/WV DIFF Satellite Image recorded at 12:30UTC on November 4, 2013.  Image enhanced by FIRE-EARTH.  Source of the original image: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Meantime, Tropical Depression WILMA weakened into a low pressure area (LPA) after making landfall earlier on Monday, reported the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).

Visayas and the regions of Zamboanga Peninsula, northern Mindanao and Caraga will have moderate to heavy rains and thunderstorms that may trigger flash floods and landslides, said PAGASA.

Typhoon List 2013 – Stats for NW Pacific Basin

• The 60 year average (1951-2010) No of Typhoons by 4 November: 23
• No of typhoons so far this year: 30
• Percent Increase: 30.4 [Calculated by FIRE-EARTH blog]

Related Links

• Typhoon KROSA Destroys or Damages 19,000 Homes in Philippines November 2, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Typhoon FRANCISCO and TD 27 Headed for Tokyo

FRANCISCO back into fourth gear

Typhoon FRANCISCO is currently targeting Tokyo area, but will significantly weaken before potentially making a landfall. FIRE-EARTH Models show the two system still likely to interact, if favorable conditions continue.

Typhoon FRANCISCO

• Time: 14:00UTC – October 20, 2013
• Movement: NW (305 degrees) at 08km/hr
• Position: Near 18.9ºN, 136.8E
• Location: About 1,240km Southeast (130degrees) of Okinawa, Japan
• Max Sustained Winds: 235km/hr [Cat 4B on FIRE-EARTH Scale]
• Max Wind Gusts: 280km/hr
• Significant Wave Height:   18m
• Source: FIRE-EARTH and others

Typhoon FRANCISCO. VISIBLE/INFRARED satellite image (FIRE-EARTH Enhancement) recorded at 13:32UTC on October 20, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. 

Projected Paths of TY FRANCISCO and TD TWENTYSEVEN (FIRE-EARTH Enhancement). Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. 

More details to follow…

Related Links

• FRANCISCO Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Storm Force  October 19, 2013
• FRANCISCO Shifts Up Into Major Typhoon Gear October 18, 2013
• Typhoon FRANCISCO Inching Toward Japan October 17, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

FRANCISCO Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Storm Force

Super Typhoon FRANCISCO shifting to overdrive

Super Typhoon FRANCISCO, currently packing sustained winds of about 260km/hr, is expected to continue intensifying, gaining wind speeds of about 280km/hr.

Super Typhoon FRANCISCO

• Time: 09:00UTC – October 19, 2013
• Movement: NW (305 degrees) at 15km/hr
• Position: Near 16.9ºN, 139.5E
• Location: About 920km South of Iwo To (Iwo Jima), Japan
• Max Sustained Winds: 260km/hr [increasing to 280km/hr —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
• Max Wind Gusts: 315km/hr [increasing to 335km/hr —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
• Significant Wave Height:   18m [Expected to rise —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
• Source: FIRE-EARTH and others

Super Typhoon FRANCISCO. VISIBLE/INFRARED satellite image (FIRE-EARTH Enhancement) recorded at 09:32UTC on October 19, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.  [Image added at 11:30UTC on October 19, 2013.]

Super Typhoon FRANCISCO is closely followed by Tropical Depression 27W [JTWC nomenclature.] FIRE-EARTH models show the two systems could interact, with a probability of about 60 percent, under favorable conditions.

Super Typhoon FRANCISCO’s Projected Path.  At 09:32UTC on October 19, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.  [Image added at 11:30UTC on October 19, 2013.]

More details to follow…

Related Links

• FRANCISCO Shifts Up Into Major Typhoon Gear October 18, 2013
• Typhoon FRANCISCO Inching Toward Japan October 17, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Typhoon SOULIK Covers 1 Million Sq Km

Rain Monster SOULIK continues to grow

Dangerous Typhoon SOULIK has grown to about 1 million km² covering an area 27 times the size of  Taiwan.

Typhoon Stats as of 00:32UTC on July 12, 2013

• Approximate position: 22.8ºN, 125.7ºE
• Movement: 280 degrees @ 12 NMPH  (~22 km/h)
• Max. Sustained Winds: 100  NMPH (185 km/h)
• Max. Wind Gusts: 125 NMPH (232 km/h)

As of 02:30UTC Friday, SOULIK was 420 km east of Yilan county on the NE coast of Taiwan.

The typhoon could make landfall in Yilan or Hualien counties on the country’s NE coast about 20:00UTC Friday, according to several models.

Typhoon  SOULIK.  MTSAT – Floater SW/IR Sat Image – NOAA/SSD – FIRE-EARTH Enhancement – Jul 12, 2013 @ 01:32UTC

Typhoon SOULIK projected path superimposed on a sea surface temperature map. Image credit: CIMSS

High Probability of Landslides

Taiwan authorities have warned about potential disaster in the areas most prone to landslides.

“The central region of Taiwan has experienced two earthquakes with magnitude six or above on 27 March and 2 June, loose soil after seismic activities are potential disaster areas under heavy rainfall,” they warned in a statement.

Related Links

• SOULIK Continues to Gain Mass July 11, 2013
• Typhoon SOULIK Targets Taipei, Taiwan July 10, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale

SOULIK Continues to Gain Mass

Gigantic Typhoon SOULIK growing bigger, slower

Typhoon Stats as of 00:32UTC on July 11, 2013

• Approximate position: 22.5ºN, 130.6ºE
• Movement: 280 degrees @ 12 NMPH  (24 km/h)
• Max. Sustained Winds: 120  NMPH (222 km/h)
• Max. Wind Gusts: 145 NMPH (270 km/h)

Tropical Cyclone SOULIK continues moving WNW in Northwest Pacific – IR satellite image with the typhoon’s projected path. Image Credit: CIMSS

Ty SOULIK  in Northwest Pacific – IR satellite image (NHC Enhancement). Image Credit: CIMSS

Related Links

• Typhoon SOULIK Targets Taipei, Taiwan July 10, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale

Typhoon SOULIK Targets Taipei, Taiwan

SOULIK Intensifies to a powerful Cat 4 storm, heading toward Taipei, N. Taiwan

Dangerous SOULIK powers on with sustained winds of 232 km/h.

FIRE-EARTH models show SOULIK could intensify to a SUPER Typhoon with sustained winds of >250 km/h with a probability of about 64% .

Typhoon Stats as of 10:00UTC on July 10, 2013

• Approximate position: 21.1ºN, 135.8ºE
• Movement: 290 degrees @ 13 NMPH  (24 km/h)
• Max. Sustained Winds: 125  NMPH (232 km/h)
• Max. Wind Gusts: 150 NMPH (278 km/h)

Tropical Cyclone SOULIK in Northwest Pacific – IR satellite image with the typhoon’s projected path. Image Credit: CIMSS

Symmetrically perfect Typhoon SOULIK – VIS/IR satellite image. Image Credit: CIMSS

Related Links

• FEWW New Hurricane Scale

BOPHA Strikes Philippines

Typhoon BOPHA struck Baganga, Mindanao

BOPHA [“PABLO”] made landfall in eastern Mindanao, having earlier intensified to a Category 5 Super Typhoon, with winds of more than 250km/hr.

BOPHA – Enhanced IR satellite image captured December 4, 2012 @ 01:30UTC. Source: CIMSS

• Rainfall amounts of up to 30 mm of rain per hour within the 600 km diameter of the Typhoon is expected, the local weather office (PAGASA) said.

• Philippines authorities have issued multiple warnings for destructive winds, possible flashfloods and landslides.

•  Residents in coastal areas have also been warned against storm surges and waves as high as 6m.

BOPHA track and projected path –  IR satellite image. Source: CIMSS

• BOPHA Intensity Estimation  December 3, 2012
• BOPHA to Plow thru Palau Posted December 2, 2012
• Super Typhoon BOPHA Targets Philippines  Posted December 1, 2012

Related Links

• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Super Typhoon Headed Towards Taiwan, Okinawa

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,268 Days Left

[September 25, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. 

• SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,268 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

• Symbolic countdown to the ‘worst day’ in human history began on May 15, 2011 ...

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Global Disasters/ Significant Events

JELAWAT Intensifies to a Super Typhoon with 265kph Winds

Super Typhoon JELAWAT, described as “violent,” is currently packing maximum sustained winds of about 265 kilometer  per hour (kph), with wind gusts exceeding 325 kph, moving NNW in the Philippines Sea at forward speeds of about 12kph.

• The Super Storm could top maximum sustained winds of 280kph in the next 12 hours, according to models.

SUPER TYPHOON JELAWAT  – Vis/IR Sat Image.  Source: CIMSS

Other Disasters, Significant Events

• California, USA. A wildfire 50 miles east of San Diego has destroyed at least 3 dozen buildings including 20 houses, threatening more homes and forcing hundreds of residents to evacuate.
  • At least a dozen other homes have reportedly been damaged by the fire.
  • The 3,000-acre blaze may have started in Mexico, officials said.

• Philippines Sea. Typhoon EWINIAR (TY 19W), currently positioned NNW of Mariana Islands, is heading north towards Tokyo, Japan with sustained winds of about 75kph.

• Pacific Ocean.  MIRIAM, a category 2Bg hurricane, targets Baja, California.

Global

• Island Nations.  Ocean-Based Food Security Threatened in a High CO2 World (PDF file)

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

• The First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities
• Back to the Primordial Future
• The Fate of Energy Dinosaurs
• Mass Die-offs

• 2010 Disasters [Links to 2010 Disaster Calendar]
• Mega Disasters
• 2011 Disaster Calendar
• 2012 Disaster Calendar

GLOBAL WARNING

• WARNING: Human impact 2.85 x Earth’s diminishing carrying capacity
• WARNING: RAPID DECLINE IN PROGRESS!

TEMBIN Could Hit Taiwan Multiple Times

Typhoon TEMBIN moves into Taiwan Strait after making first landfall

TEMBIN made landfall in Pingtung County, southern Taiwan, early Friday, having dumped 500 mm of rain on parts of  southern and southeastern Taiwan over a 10-hour period, before moving out to sea shortly after.

TY TEMBIN – Vis/IR satellite image @ 03:32UTC – August 24, 2012. Source: UW/CIMSS

The storm could turn toward Taiwan again and dump more rain this weekend, according to the country’s Central Weather Bureau.

TEMBIN could interact with the approaching Typhoon BOLAVEN, by which time the latter, now a category 3 typhoon, could have intensified to a super storm.

Typhoon TEMBIN track and projected path. Source: UW/CIMSS

Typhoon BOLAVEN track and projected path. Source: UW/CIMSS

Related Links

• TYPHOONS Raging in NW Pacific

Typhoon MA-ON Races Toward Japan

MA-ON weakens slightly, still packing winds of about 205km/hr

Typhoon MA-ON has weakened slightly to Cat 3C Storm with winds of about 205km/hr, and gusts of up to 250km/hr

Heavy rain caused by the outer bands of the massive 2,000-km wide typhoon has already drenched most of the island of Shikoku.

MA-ON is completing an Eyewall Replacement Cycle (ERC), and should resume re-intensification in the warm waters that extend all the way to coastal areas of Japan, and in the absence of strong vertical wind shear, JTWC reported.

Typhoon MA-ON – VIS/IR satellite image [4-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Typhoon MA-ON – IR satellite image [4-km res] with projected path superimposed. Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

MA-ON Animation

• Last 24 Hours : MPEG / WMV
• Last 120 Hours : MPEG / WMV
• Last 240 Hours : MPEG / WMV

Related Links:

• Typhoon MA-ON Making Her MI-ND Up
• MA-ON Stregthens to Cat 4A Typhoon
• MA-ON Racing to Super Typhoon Status Posted on July 14, 2011
• Satellite Imagery
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale

Typhoon MA-ON Making Her MI-ND Up

MA-ON Still a Cat 4A Storm

Some models suggest MA-ON may avoid making Japan landfall.

Compared with the damage caused as a result of a direct hit, the typhoon could inflict more harm by moving close along Japan’s coastline.

Typhoon MA-ON with model forecasts tracks superimposed – VIS/IR satellite image [8-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Typhoon MA-ON Summary of Details (as of posting)

• Location: ~ 1,470km South of Osaka, Japan
• Position: ~ 21.8N 137.4E
• Movement and speed: moving west (275 degrees,) at a forward speed of about 15 km/hr
• Maximum sustained winds: 220 km/hr [SATCON]
  
• Wind gusts: up to 270 km/hr
• Estimated time of [first] landfall: July 19 @ 20:00UTC [See daily updates]
• Remarks: MA-ON will likely become a super typhoon as it heads NW moving over warmer waters. The typhoon could make a second landfall on the Honshu Island before it exits land, returning to the Pacific Ocean. (FIRE-EARTH forecast based on data from various sources.)  [See daily updates]

Typhoon MA-ON – MTSAT2 [July 16 @ 10:00UTC] – Source: Digital Typhoon. Click image to enlarge.

MA-ON Animation

• Last 24 Hours : MPEG / WMV
• Last 120 Hours : MPEG / WMV
• Last 240 Hours : MPEG / WMV

Related Links:

• MA-ON Stregthens to Cat 4A Typhoon
• MA-ON Racing to Super Typhoon Status Posted on July 14, 2011
• Satellite Imagery
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale

MA-ON Stregthens to Cat 4A Typhoon

Typhoon MA-ON Intensifies to a Cat 4A Storm with winds of about 220km/hr

Most models forecast MA-ON making landfall on the island of Shikoku [see daily updates.]

Typhoon MA-ON with the latest projected track based on several models – IR satellite image [8-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Typhoon MA-ON Summary of Details (as of posting)

• Location: ~ 445km SE of IWO TO, Japan
• Position: ~ 20.7N 140.7E
• Movement and speed: moving west (275 degrees,) at a forward speed of about 15 km/hr
• Maximum sustained winds: 220 km/hr
• Wind gusts: up to 270 km/hr
• Estimated time of [first] landfall: July 19 @ 20:00UTC [See daily updates]
• Remarks: MA-ON will likely become a super typhoon as it heads NW moving over warmer waters. The typhoon could make a second landfall on the Honshu Island before it exits land, returning to the Pacific Ocean. (FIRE-EARTH forecast based on data from various sources.)

Typhoon MA-ON – MTSAT2 –Full View – IR Satellite Image.  Source: Digital Typhoon. Click image to enlarge. Click HERE to update.

Typhoon MA-ON with the latest projected track based on several models – WV satellite image [8-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Typhoon MA-ON – MTSAT2 – Source: Digital Typhoon. Click image to enlarge.

MA-ON Animation

• Last 24 Hours : MPEG / WMV
• Last 120 Hours : MPEG / WMV
• Last 240 Hours : MPEG / WMV

Related Links

• MA-ON Racing to Super Typhoon Status Posted on July 14, 2011
• Satellite Imagery
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale

MA-ON Racing to Super Typhoon Status

Typhoon MA-ON (08W) Intensifies to a Cat 3A Storm

Typhoon MA-ON is targeting Japan and could make landfall on Kyūshū Island with winds approaching 270 km/h and gusts in excess of 320 km/h [FIRE-EARTH estimates.]

Typhoon MA-ON with the latest projected track based on several models – Vis/IR satellite image [8-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Typhoon MA-ON Summary of Details (as of posting)

• Location: ~ 680km SE of IWO TO, Japan
• Position: ~ 20.1N, 145.9E
• Movement and speed: moving west (275 degrees,) at a forward speed of about 15 km/hr
• Maximum sustained winds: 185 km/hr
• Wind gusts: up to 230 km/hr
• Estimated time of landfall: July 19 @ 20:30UTC [See updates]
• Remarks: MA-ON will likely become a super typhoon as it heads NW moving over warmer waters. (FIRE-EARTH forecast based on data from various sources.)

Typhoon MA-ON – IR/WV Diff satellite image [2-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge

Typhoon MA-ON – MTSAT2 – Source: Digital Typhoon. Click image to enlarge

Typhoon MA-ON – MTSAT2 – Source: Digital Typhoon. Click image to enlarge

MA-ON Animation

• Last 24 Hours : MPEG / WMV
• Last 120 Hours : MPEG / WMV
• Last 240 Hours : MPEG / WMV

Related Links

• FEWW New Hurricane Scale