FIRE-EARTH Presentation: Scorpion Typhoon, Vulture Hurricane

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• UUT
• OCT

FIRE-EARTH Presentation:

Scorpion Typhoon, Vulture Hurricane

Prepared by FIRE-EARTH Science, available via FIRE-EARTH PULSARS.

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Typhoon MUJIGAE Strikes South China

TY 22W Lashes South China, Authorities on ‘Red Alert’

MUJIGAE made landfall near the coastal city of Zhanjiang in Guangdong province at about 14:10 local time on Sunday, said the provincial meteorological observatory, the official new agency Xinhua reported.

The typhoon, with winds gusts of up to 180 km/hr, triggered severe flooding, leaving a trail of destruction and prompting authorities to issue their highest emergency response, “red alert.”

The typhoon was forecast to track northwest at a speed of about 20 km/hr reaching the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region Sunday night, said the report.

Details of any casualties or damages were unknown, as of posting.

Powerful Rainstorms Pound E. US, N. Philippines, much of Japan

Heavy rainfall and flash flooding affecting parts of East Coast

Hurricane JOAQUIN a double whammy regardless of track

Many parts of the eastern U.S. are currently experiencing heavy rains and gusty winds associated with a frontal system. These rainstorms could continue for the next few days, even if the center of Hurricane JOAQUIN stays offshore. The resulting inland flood potential could complicate preparations for JOAQUIN, specially if heads toward the coast, where even more substantial inland flooding could occur. —NOAA

Philippines

Tropical Storm KABAYAN, packing strong winds, dumped heavy rain within a 300-km radius of the center of storm, before exiting landmass.

At 11:00 AM on 02 October 2015 the storm center was located at 16.5°N, 119.6°E about 95 km Northwest of Dagupan City, Pangasinan. The storm was headed toward West Philippine Sea.

Japan

Powerful rainstorms with typhoon-strength winds, generated by a broad low pressure system, pumelled most of Japan overnight, causing major diruptions in transportation and forcing flight and train cancellations.

Strong gusts and heavy rain from the system are forecast to continue until Friday afternoon, said the local forecasters.

Typhoon SOUDELOR Leaves a Trail of Death in Taiwan, E China

Deadly typhoon dumps up to 645mm of rain in E. China

After battering Taiwan, SOUDELOR slammed Fujian Province on Saturday night, affecting also the neighboring Jiangxi and Zhejiang provinces.

SOUDELOR killed at least 6 people in Taiwan, left others missing and more than 100 injured.

The typhoon dumped 645mm of rain in Wencheng county, the heaviest in a hundred years, said an official report.

“In the provincial capital of Fuzhou, much of the downtown area was waterlogged. More than 10,000 trees had fallen and traffic stalled on flooded streets.”

The storm forced three airports to close, with more than 530 flights canceled. Six expressways were closed due to flooding, and 191 high-speed trains were cancelled, said the report.

 

Deadly Typhoon NANGKA Striking Japan

Deadly NANGKA barrels toward Shikoku, Japan

Typhoon NANGKA, the season’s 11th typhoon, is making landfall on Japan’s Shikoku island, prompting the authorities to evacuate up to a third of a million people in 11 prefectures, with more than 1.5 million others on standby to evacuate their homes, if necessary.

Flash floods triggered by the powerful typhoon have already killed at least two people, and left about 20 others injured, locals have reported.

Torrential rains brought by NANGKA [Malaysian name for the Jack fruit, no reason given for the choice of name,] have already caused multiple landslides in several prefectures, and forced Japan Airlines and All Nippon Airways to cancel hundreds of domestic flights. Many train cancellations were also reported.

Japan’s weather agency has issued Warnings or Advisories for the entire country, with storm, high waves, heavy rain,
flooding, storm surge, thunderstorm and/or ground-loosening inundation topping the typhoon’s list of impacts.

NANGA was on course to hit the island of Shikoku at about midnight local time [UTC+ 9.00  hrs,] before slamming the main island of Honshu, on Friday.

TY 1511 (NANGKA) – issued by Japan’s weather agency at 12:50UTC on July 16, 2015

Scale: Large
Intensity: Strong
Center position: N33°00′(33.0°), E134°20′(134.3°)
Direction and movement speed: N 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure: 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center: 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust: 50m/s(100kt)

The weather agency has forecast total rainfall amounts of up to 800mm on Shikoku, 600mm in nearby prefectures of Osaka, Nagoya and the neighboring areas, as well as 300mm in the Tokyo region in the 24 hours through noon Friday.

Super Typhoon MAYSAK Turns Deadly

State of Emergency Declared in Chuuk, FSM

Super Typhoon MAYSAK cut a swath of devastation across the central Pacific, killing at least eight people and prompting the governor to declare a state of emergency for the Micronesian state, said the FSM President Manny Mori.

MAYSAK has destroyed crops and contaminated water supplies, causing extensive damage to “schools, health facilities, public utilities, private residences”, he said, adding that the super typhoon was also responsible for “the sinking of several fishing, passenger and dive ships.”

It struck Chuuk Sunday night with sustained winds of 260 km/h before crossing the vast Federated States of Micronesia (FSM), battering the Yap group of islands on Wednesday and heading out to sea towards the Philippines, said reports.

Meantime, PAGASA  said the eye of MAYSAK, now downgraded to a Cat. 4-equivalent typhoon, had been located at 11.3°N, 136.4°E, or 1,165 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar  at 16:00 local time today. It  had maximum sustained winds of 190 km/h near the center with gusts of up to 225 km/h, and was moving WNW at 20 km/h.

Related Links

• MAYSAK Morphs into Super Typhoon on March 31, 2015

TYPHOON 22W: Hundreds of Thousands Evacuated in Philippines

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
SUPER TYPHOON
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
STORM SURGES
COASTAL FLOODING
MASS EVACUATIONS
CROP DISASTERS
MAIN SCENARIOS: 900, 888, 808, [500,] 477, 444, 117, 111, 097, 071, 070, 047, 033, 027, 025, 023, 022, 012, 011, 09, 02
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500,000+ Evacuated in C. Philippines as TY HAGUPIT approaches

At least 500,000 people, or more than 100,000 families, have been evacuated as Typhoon HAGUPIT, locally known as “RUBY,” continued to threaten the Philippines, according to the government.

22W is expected to slam the coast of Eastern Samar, or Northern Samar in central Philippines Saturday evening local time, said  the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA),

HAGUPIT was packing maximum sustained winds of about 190 km/hr, according to FIRE-EARTH models, as of posting.

Related Links

• HAGUPIT Becomes a Super Typhoon December 4, 2014
• Typhoon HAGUPIT Targets the Philippines December 3, 2014

HAGUPIT Becomes a Super Typhoon

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
SUPER TYPHOON
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
STORM SURGES
COASTAL FLOODING
MASS EVACUATIONS
CROP DISASTERS
MAIN SCENARIOS: 900, 888, 808, [500,] 477, 444, 117, 111, 097, 071, 070, 047, 033, 027, 025, 023, 022, 012, 011, 09, 02
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Super Typhoon 22W could cause widespread destruction in the  Philippines

Typhoon 22W [aka, HAGUPIT, locally called “RUBY”] was positioned near 10.2N 133.3E, about 800km east of Surigao City , packing sustained winds of about 305 km/h, at 05.00UTC on Thursday, December 4, according to FIRE-EARTH models.

• Movement and Forward Speed: WNW at about 25 km/h
• Max. Wind Gusts: 370 km/h
• Max. Significant Wave Heights: ~ 20m

The super typhoon is forecast to reach within 30 km northeast of Borongan, Eastern Samar and make landfall over the Samar area before noon on Saturday, according to PAGASA/DOST.

Most Probable Track of Typhoon 22W. Source: PAGASA/DOST.

Authorities have placed at least 10 provinces under Storm Signal No. 1 as of posting:

Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Leyte , Southern Leyte,  Surigao del Norte including Siargao Island, Surigao del Sur, and Dinagat.

The super storm may dump heavy – intense rain of up to 20 mm/hr over a 700-km diameter of the typhoon.

Storm surges, extreme rain events, flash floods,and landslides are expected to worsen what could be yet another major catastrophe.

In November 2013, Typhoon HAIYAN devastated Eastern Samar and the island of Leyte, leaving up to 8,000 people dead or missing, tens of thousands injured and about 5 million homeless.

 

Related Links

Typhoon HAGUPIT Targets the Philippines December 3, 2014

Typhoon HAGUPIT Targets the Philippines

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
MAJOR TYPHOON
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
STORM SURGES
COASTAL FLOODING
MASS EVACUATIONS
CROP DISASTERS
MAIN SCENARIOS: 900, 888, 808, [500,] 477, 444, 117, 111, 097, 071, 070, 047, 033, 027, 025, 023, 022, 012, 011, 09, 02
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Typhoon 22W packing 200km/h winds; headed WNW

Typhoon 22W [aka, HAGUPIT, locally called “RUBY”] was positioned near 9.1°N 135.9°E, about 1,100km east of Hinatuan Surigao del Sur, packing sustained winds of over 200km/h, at 14.32UTC, according to FIRE-EARTH models.

• Movement and Forward Speed; WNW at about 30km/h
• Max. Significant Wave Heights: ~ 15m

Typhoon 22W [aka, HAGUPIT,”RUBY”] Image Source: NOAA/SSD/ West Pacific Imagery

Most probably track for TY 22W, as of posting:

Track of Typhoon 22W. Source: PAGASA/DOST.

 

NURI Becomes Seventh Super Typhoon of 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
SUPER TYPHOON
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
MAJOR STORM SURGES
COASTAL FLOODING
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS  444, 111, 088, 070, 066, 033, 025, 024, 023, 022, 09, 02
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Super Typhoon NURI Moving NNE

Super typhoon NURI (Typhoon 20W) was expected to peak Monday PM with sustained winds of 315 km/hr (196mph), and gusts of 380 km/hr (236 mph), according to earlier projections by JTWC, and become the most powerful storm ever recorded.

 Super Typhoon NURI (TY 20W) – JTWC FORECAST
November 03, 2014 @ 18:00UTC
Position: 20.4°N 133.9°E
Max Sustained Winds: 305 km/hr (165 kt)
Max Wind Gusts:  370 km/hr (200 kt)
Max Significant Wave Height:  15m (50 feet)

 Related Links

https://feww.wordpress.com/satellite-imagery/

 

TY VONGFONG Batters the Radioactive Islands

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
TYPHOON
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
STORM SURGES, COASTAL FLOODING, FLASH FLOODS, MUDSLIDES
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS  444, 111, 088, 070, 066, 033, 025, 024, 023, 022, 09, 02
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VONGFONG  kills at least two, injures 100 in Japan

After the Mt Ontake debacle, Japanese officials left nothing to chance issuing evacuation orders and advisories for up to a million people in at least 7 prefectures as the typhoon swept the along the radioactive islands.

VONGFONG [“the wasp” in Cantonese,] which was a super typhoon before striking Okinawa, landed near Makurazaki in Kagoshima Prefecture at about 8:30 AM local time on Monday, and was later downgraded to a severe tropical storm.

The typhoon caused substantial damage to property in numerous areas due to flooding and storm surges. Torrential rains brought by the storm triggered flash flooding and mudslides, inundating many homes and businesses.

[Note: Failure by the Japanese authorities to issue a warning before Mt Ontake eruption late September, despite the enhanced seismic activity at the volcano, led to at least 56 fatalities with 7 others still missing.  —Editor]

Related Links

• ANGRY Mt. Ontake Erupts in Central Japan September 27, 2014
•  Typhoon PHANFONE Battering Japan  October 5, 2014

Typhoon PHANFONE Battering Japan

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
POWERFUL TYPHOON
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
MAJOR STORM SURGES
COASTAL FLOODING
MUDSLIDES
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS  444, 111, 088, 070, 066, 033, 025, 024, 023, 022, 09, 02
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Powerful typhoon heads north after buffeting Kyushu region

PHANFONE (TY 18W) is expected to make landfall on Japan’s main island of Honshu Monday.

The typhoon is dumping up to 125mm of rain per hour over areas along the Pacific coast from western to northeastern Japan, while generating large storm surges along the coastal areas.

At14:59UTC on Sunday typhoon PHANFONE (TY 18W) was located near 32.2N 134.6E, according to JTWC.

The powerful storm was tracking northeastward at about 20km/h [according to local information] packing sustained winds of about 170km/h with wind gusts exceeding 205km/h [Fire-Earth Models.]

Maximum significant wave height was 13 meters (42 feet), according to JTWC.

Multiple Warnings

Local authorities have issued multiple warnings for destructive winds, major storm surges, flooding and  mudslides along the typhoon’s predicted path.

Typhoon VONGFONG (TY 19W)

Typhoon VONGFONG (TY 19W), which is following PHANFONE, could become a super typhoon within the next few days, according to various models.

Position at 14:59UTC on Sunday, October 5, 2014: Near 14.1N 145.9E [JTWC]
Tracking  west-northwestward at 25 km/h
Max sustained wind: 175km/h
Max wind gusts: 240km/h
Max significant wave height: 11m (33feet)

The Most Powerful Typhoon Ever Recorded?

VONGFONG, should favorable conditions continue, could become one of the most powerful storms ever recorded on earth, with maximum sustained winds of up to 300 km/h [Probability: 0.65  as of posting —FIRE-EARTH Models.]

Related Links

• PHANFONE Meanders Toward Japan October 3, 2014
• Typhoon HALONG Hammers Japan August 10, 2014
• Billion-Dollar Typhoon Kills Many in Philippines, China July 20, 2014
• NEOGURI Becomes Super Typhoon July 7, 2014
• Massive Typhoon Targets Japan July 6, 201

 

PHANFONE Meanders Toward Japan

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
POWERFUL TYPHOON
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
MAJOR STORM SURGE
COASTAL FLOODING
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS  444, 111, 088, 070, 066, 033, 024, 023
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Typhoon PHANFONE  (18W) to Impact Coastal Japan

Typhoon PHANFONE (TY 18W) was positioned near 26.0N 133.0E at 14:00UTC on October 3, 2014 packing sustained winds of about 225km/hr with maximum wind gusts of up to 270km/hr, according to FIRE-EARTH models.

Typhoon PHANFONE. VIS-SWIR [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] Satellite Image at 13:32UTC, Ocober 3,2014. Source of original image: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC

Related Links

• Typhoon HALONG Hammers Japan August 10, 2014
• Billion-Dollar Typhoon Kills Many in Philippines, China July 20, 2014
• NEOGURI Becomes Super Typhoon July 7, 2014
• Massive Typhoon Targets Japan July 6, 2014

80 Million Chinese Affected by ‘Natural Disasters’ in July

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
RISING TEMPERATURES, EXTREME DROUGHT, EARTHQUAKE, LANDSLIDE, HAIL, FLOODING, TYPHOON
SCENARIOS 900,  888, 555, 444, 178, 111, 109, 100, 088, 066, 033, 024, 023, 09, 08, 03, 02
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Disasters in China cause direct economic losses of $16.34 billion in July

‘Natural disasters’ in July affected more than 80 million Chinese, about 6 percent of the population, forcing at least two million people to relocate and leaving 302 dead, with 64 still missing, said the Ministry of Civil Affairs (MCA).

In July, China was hit by typhoons, floods and drought. “Hails, earthquakes, mountain collapses, landslides, fires in forests and prairie, and storm tides also occurred during the month,” reported Xinhua.

“Over 107,000 buildings collapsed due to natural disasters, and 8.653 million hectares crops were affected, including 943,100 hectares completely destroyed, with direct economic losses of 100.6 billion yuan (16.34 billion U.S. dollars), the MCA said.”

Japan Battered by Heavy Rains from NEOGURI

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
DEADLY STORMS
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS 444, 111, 070, 066, 033
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NEOGURI unleashes flash floods, deadly mudslides as it sweeps across Japan

The fierce storm dumped more than 300mm of rain in less than 48 hours over parts of Japan.

“There are some places that may get as much as a month’s worth of rain over the next 24 hours,” said the local forecasters.

The massive storm left at least 3 people dead and dozens more injured. The system was downgraded from a Super Typhoon as it entered cooler waters north of Okinawa earlier.

A deadly mudslide caused by heavy rains from Ex-Typhoon NEOGURI destroyed buildings, bridges and vehicles in Nagiso town, Nagano prefecture, Japan. Photo taken by Kyodo July 10, 2014.  Credit: Reuters/Kyodo

Related Links

• NEOGURI Becomes Super Typhoon July 7, 2014
• Massive Typhoon Targets Japan July 6, 2014

NEOGURI Becomes Super Typhoon

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
SUPER TYPHOON
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS 444, 111, 070, 033
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Super Typhoon NEOGURI racing toward Okinawa with winds of 260 km/h

NEOGURI (TY 08W) has intensified to Super Typhoon force with sustained winds of about 260 km/h and maximum gusts of over 315 km/h. The giant storm was located about 500km S of Naha, the capital city of Okinawa Prefecture, Japan, racing NW at about 30 kph, and generating maximum significant wave height of about 20m at 14:00UTC, July 7, 2014, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.

• Max Sustained Winds: 260 km/h
• Gusts: 315 km/h

NEOGURI is forecast to further intensify packing sustained winds in excess of 290 km/h and maximum gusts of at least 340 km/h as it approaches Okinawa.

Super Typhoon NEOGURI. IR MTSAT-2 satellite image at 12:00UTC, July 7, 2014. Source: Digital Typhoon

Super Typhoon NEOGURI (“The Roadrunner Typhoon.”) VIS-SWIR Satellite Image at 11:32UTC, July 7,2014. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC

Related Links

• Massive Typhoon Targets Japan July 6, 2014

 

Massive Typhoon Targets Japan

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
INTENSIFYING MAJOR TYPHOON
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS 444, 111, 070, 033
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Typhoon NEOGURI Racing Toward Okinawa

Typhoon NEOGURI (08W) was located about 970km SSE of Naha, the capital city of Okinawa Prefecture, Japan, tracking WNW at about 30 kph, and generating maximum significant wave height of about 15m at 05:00UTC, July 6, 2014, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.

• Max Sustained Winds: 235 km/h
• Gusts: 280 km/h

NEOGURI is forecast to become a super typhoon before reaching Okinawa.

Major Typhoon NEOGURI. IR-WV Diff Satellite Image at 13:32UTC, July 6,2014. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC

Major Typhoon NEOGURI (and its “ghosts”). IR MTSAT-2 satellite image at 06:00UTC. Source: Digital Typhoon

Disaster Toll for China in November

Disasters affected 5+ million people across China in November: Officials

[Human-enhanced] natural disasters across China left 330,000 people displaced, dozens dead, and an unknown number of others injured in November, according to official figures.

Official Toll

• Number of People Affected: More than five million
• Displaced: 330,000
• Fatalities: 24
• Injured: Not known
• No. of homes destroyed or damaged: 255,000 dwellings
• Crop area affected: 661,900 hectars (ha)
• Cropland destroyed: 67,600 ha
• Direct economic losses:  6.81 billion yuan ($1.12 billion)

Source: the Ministry of Civil Affairs and the National Commission for Disaster Reduction/via Xinhua.

“Natural disasters last month were mainly earthquakes and typhoons, while droughts, floods and snowstorms also played their part. The overall damages were heavier than those from the same period last year,” the report said.

Extraterrestrial Typhoon Force Generating 20-Meter “Tsunami”

Super Typhoon HAIYAN, Probably the Strongest Storm in Modern Era, Strikes the Philippines

FIRE-EARTH Models show storm surges of up to 20 meters high, generated by the Super Typhoon, striking coastal areas in the Bicol Peninsula.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN made landfall over Guiuan (population: 50,000) in Eastern Samar Province at 04:40 local time, and is forecast to remain a Cat 5 storm force as it rakes  across the country.

Powerful winds and torrential rains brought by the Super Typhoon could trigger flash flooding and landslides causing large-scale fatalities and catastrophic damage along the typhoon’s path. See also links below for FEWW’s earlier forecasts.

Up to 1.9 million people have been evacuated in hundreds of villages, towns and cities.

In Calabarzon region, which include the provinces of Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, and Quezon, disaster officials are monitoring 84 towns prone to landslides and flooding, said a local report.

In Albay province, about 700,000  people living in coastal villages in 14 towns and three cities were evacuated.

Up to a million people have been evacuated in the Bicol Region.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN- Water Vapor [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] Satellite Image – recorded at 22:30UTC on November 7, 2013.

MTSAT IR1 image: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/sat_images/satpic.jpg

Super Typhoon HAIYAN (TY 1330; TY31W)

• Time: 18:00UTC – November 7, 2013
• Movement: W (280 degrees) at 40 km/hr
• Position: Near 10.6ºN, 127.0ºE
• Max Sustained Winds: 315 km/hr
• Max Wind Gusts: 380 km/hr
• Source: JTWC

Previous Typhoons Toll

Since 2011, several typhoons including WASHI, BOPHA and KROSA have affected millions of people in the Philippines, flattening coastal towns, killing more than 3,000 people, destroying crops, razing tens of thousands of homes, and causing up to $2billion worth of damage to public infrastructure.

Details of the most destructive typhoons to strike the Philippines can be found on this blog.

More details to follow…

Typhoon List 2013 – Stats for NW Pacific Basin

• The 60 year average (1951-2010) No of Typhoons by 4 November: 23
• No of typhoons so far this year: 30
• Percent Increase: 30.4 [Calculated by FIRE-EARTH blog]

Related Links

• Super Typhoon HAIYAN’S Arm Battering the Philippines November 7, 2013
• “Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN – Image Update November 6, 2013
• HAIYAN Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Levels November 6, 2013
• Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines November 4, 2013
• Typhoon KROSA Destroys or Damages 19,000 Homes in Philippines  November 2, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Super Typhoon HAIYAN’S Arm Battering the Philippines

UPDATED AT 07:00UTC – November 7, 2013

Eric Schmidt you’re a LIAR!

DON’T BLAME GOOGLE’S COMMERCIALLY MOTIVATED  CENSORSHIP AND CORPORATE THEFT ON NSA.

Search term “Super Typhoon HAIYAN” does not list FIRE-EARTH on Google (we tried the first 12 pages), even though FEWW was the first source in the world to forecast Super Typhoon status for HAIYAN.

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“Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN, the most powerful storm of 2013, continues to intensify

At 5:30UTC on November 7, 2013 Super Typhoon HAIYAN was located about 690km ESE (106 degrees) of Homonhon Island (Eastern Samar, Philippines), moving WNW (285 degrees) at an average speed of about 30 km/hr.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN could cause large-scale destruction along its path, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.

HAIYAN is forecast to dump up to 500mm of rain on some parts of the Philippines.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN  (TY 1330)

• Time: 05:30UTC – November 7, 2013
• Movement: WNW (285 degrees) at 30 km/hr
• Position: Near 8.9ºN, 132.0ºE
• Location: About 690km ESE (106 degrees) of Homonhon Island (Eastern Samar, Philippines)
• Max Sustained Winds: 290km/hr [increasing to about 300 km/hr —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
• Max Wind Gusts: 340km/hr [increasing to about 350 km/hr —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
• Significant Wave Height: 16m [Expected to rise —FIRE-EARTH Forecast]
• Source: FIRE-EARTH and others

Tens of thousands of people have been evacuated in the Philippines ahead of the Super Typhoon’s arrival. The typhoon, locally named “YOLANDA,” is expected to make landfall as a Cat. 4C storm force in eastern Visayas, Philippines on Friday.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN Special Message.

VISIBLE/INFRARED  [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image  – recorded at 04:30UTC on November 7, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Since 2011, several typhoons including WASHI, BOPHA and KROSA have affected millions of people in the Philippines, flattening coastal towns, killing more than 3,000 people, destroying crops, razing tens of thousands of homes, and causing up to $2billion worth of damage to public infrastructure.

Details of the most destructive typhoons to strike the Philippines can be found on this blog.

More details to follow…

Typhoon List 2013 – Stats for NW Pacific Basin

• The 60 year average (1951-2010) No of Typhoons by 4 November: 23
• No of typhoons so far this year: 30
• Percent Increase: 30.4 [Calculated by FIRE-EARTH blog]

Related Links

• “Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN – Image Update November 6, 2013
• HAIYAN Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Levels November 6, 2013
• Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines November 4, 2013

• Typhoon KROSA Destroys or Damages 19,000 Homes in Philippines  November 2, 2013

• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

“Extraterrestrial” Typhoon HAIYAN – Image Update

Super Typhoon HAIYAN moving closer to Palau

At 14:30UTC on November 6, 2013 Super Typhoon HAIYAN was located ENE of Palau (Area: 460 km²; Population: 21,000), moving west (280 degrees) at an average speed of about 33 km/hr.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN. SW/IR  [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image (recorded at 13:30UTC on November 6, 2013). Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Related Links

• HAIYAN Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Levels November 6, 2013
• Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines November 4, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Potential Super Typhoon Headed for the Philippines

Tropical Storm HAIYAN Could Become a Super Typhoon

HAIYAN, the 30th tropical storm of the NW Pacific Basin so far this year, could develop into a super typhoon over the next few days before striking the Philippines.

Tropical Storm HAIYAN Chasing Tropical Depression WILMA (formerly TD Thirty) –  IR/WV DIFF Satellite Image recorded at 12:30UTC on November 4, 2013.  Image enhanced by FIRE-EARTH.  Source of the original image: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Meantime, Tropical Depression WILMA weakened into a low pressure area (LPA) after making landfall earlier on Monday, reported the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).

Visayas and the regions of Zamboanga Peninsula, northern Mindanao and Caraga will have moderate to heavy rains and thunderstorms that may trigger flash floods and landslides, said PAGASA.

Typhoon List 2013 – Stats for NW Pacific Basin

• The 60 year average (1951-2010) No of Typhoons by 4 November: 23
• No of typhoons so far this year: 30
• Percent Increase: 30.4 [Calculated by FIRE-EARTH blog]

Related Links

• Typhoon KROSA Destroys or Damages 19,000 Homes in Philippines November 2, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

70,000 People Told to Evacuate as FRANCISCO Pounds Japan

All Izu Oshima island residents told to evacuate

Authorities in Japan have also instructed 19,000 households in seven prefectures to evacuate as Tropical Storm FRANCISCO continues to pound the Pacific coast of Japan.

Heavy rain and high winds brought by severe tropical storm FRANCISCO is expected to batter the island by early Saturday.

Typhoon WIPHA hit the volcanic island of Izu Oshima last week, dumping large amounts of rain, which triggered massive landslides, leaving 31 people dead and at least 13 others missing.

FRANCISCO was located near 29.9ºN, 134.9ºE, about 420 km south of Tanabe, Japan, heading northeast at a forward speed of about 33 km/hr, dumping heavy rains on western Japan.  Some areas have reported rainfalls in excess of 600mm, as of 14:00UTC on Friday, October 25.

Severe Tropical Storm FRANCISCO and Typhoon LEKIMA.  VISIBLE/INFRARED satellite image (FIRE-EARTH Enhancement) recorded at 13:30UTC on October 25, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

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Back to the Dark Empire Days

Japan’s desperate Prime Minister Abe’s government is reportedly planning a state secrets act meant to curtail public access to information on wide ranging issues including the Fukushima nuclear crisis and tensions with China, said a report.

Under the act whistleblowers could go to prison for up to 10 years. Journalist and other non-governmental persons would receive sentences of up to  five years for encouraging leaks.

“Japan’s harsh state secrecy regime before and during World War Two has long made such legislation taboo, but the new law looks certain to be enacted since Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party-led bloc has a comfortable majority in both houses of parliament and the opposition has been in disarray since he came to power last December.” The report said.

“There is a demand by the established political forces for greater control over the people,” said Lawrence Repeta, a law professor at Meiji University. “This fits with the notion that the state should have broad authority to act in secret.”

Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Plant

The operator of the crippled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant is running out of options to store radioactive contaminated rainwater as a very wet FRANCISCO approaches.

Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO) has started  transferring contaminated rainwater into underground pools, originally deemed too leaky. The precipitation from recent typhoons and extreme rain events have been accumulating in barriers around radioactive waste water tanks, reported NHK.

TEPCO has been storing the most contaminated rainwater in tanks and in the basement of a turbine building. But the tanks are now full, the report said.

Related Links

• Coldest Place on or Near the Earth October 24, 2013
• FRANCISCO Drenches Okinawa, Moves Northeast October 24, 2013
• FRANCISCO to Bring More Rain to Sodden Coastal Japan October 23, 2013
• Crimes Against Nature: Water Overflows from 12 Fukushima Barriers October 21, 2013

• Typhoon FRANCISCO and TD 27 Headed for Tokyo October 20, 2013
• FRANCISCO Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Storm Force  October 19, 2013
• FRANCISCO Shifts Up Into Major Typhoon Gear October 18, 2013
• Typhoon FRANCISCO Inching Toward Japan October 17, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Links to Typhoon WIPHA

• Typhoon WIPHA Dumps 800mm of Rain Over Tokyo October 16, 2013
• Typhoon WIPHA Targets Tokyo October 15, 2013
• Typhoon NARI Chased by TS WIPHA October 12, 2013
• Vietnam Evacuates 250,000 ahead of NARI October 14, 2013

FRANCISCO to Bring More Rain to Sodden Coastal Japan

Typhoon FRANCISCO to Swipe Japan’s Pacific Coast

FRANCISCO, the 27th Typhoon of 2013, would likely follow a somewhat similar path to typhoon WIPHA, which dumped more than 800 millimeter of rain over Izu Ōshima Island in 24 hours, as it swiped Tokyo region.

WIPHA unleashed massive landslides on the volcanic Island, killing dozens of people (29 confirmed dead , 16 others missing presumed dead), destroying or damaging hundreds of homes and forcing thousands to evacuate last Wednesday.

FIRE-EARTH Models show FRANCISCO making landfall with probability of about 55 percent, as of 03:00UTC on October 23, 2013.

Typhoon FRANCISCO moves closer to southern Japan, watched by Super Typhoon LEKIMA. VISIBLE/INFRARED satellite image (FIRE-EARTH Enhancement) recorded at 01:30UTC on October 23, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Typhoon FRANCISCO

• Time: 03:00UTC – October 23, 2013
• Movement: NW (305 degrees) at 15km/hr
• Position: Near 24.3ºN, 131.1ºE
• Location: About 270km Southeast (118 degrees) of Naha, Okinawa, Japan
• Max Sustained Winds: 140km/hr
• Max Wind Gusts: 215km/hr
• Significant Wave Height:   10m
• Source: FIRE-EARTH and others

Projected paths of Typhoon FRANCISCO and Super Typhoon LEKIMA as of 01:30UTC on October 23, 2013. Original images sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. Enhanced by FIRE-EARTH

Typhoon Stats for NW Pacific

• The 60 year average (1951-2010) No of Typhoons: 20.9
• No of typhoons so far this year: 28
• Percent Increase: 34 [Calculated by FIRE-EARTH blog]

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Nansei Sekiyu KK, a Japanese refiner owned by Petrobras, has shut down marine operations at its 100,000 barrels-per-day refinery in Okinawa, due to typhoon FRANCISCO, said a report.

More details to follow…

Related Links

• Typhoon FRANCISCO and TD 27 Headed for Tokyo October 20, 2013
• FRANCISCO Intensifying to “Extraterrestrial” Storm Force  October 19, 2013
• FRANCISCO Shifts Up Into Major Typhoon Gear October 18, 2013
• Typhoon FRANCISCO Inching Toward Japan October 17, 2013
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale
• Satellite Imagery

Links to Typhoon WIPHA

• Typhoon WIPHA Dumps 800mm of Rain Over Tokyo October 16, 2013
• Typhoon WIPHA Targets Tokyo October 15, 2013
• Typhoon NARI Chased by TS WIPHA October 12, 2013
• Vietnam Evacuates 250,000 ahead of NARI October 14, 2013

Typhoon WIPHA Targets Tokyo

WIPHA Currently Large and Strong

WIPHA, the 26th typhoon of the year, was located about 1,040km SSW of Yokohama (211 degrees), Japan, tracking N at about 25km/hr. [Timed at 00:15UTC on October 15, 2013]

Typhoon WIPHA

• Time: 00:15UTC – October 15, 2013
• Movement: N (05 degrees) at 25km/hr
• Position: Near 27.26ºN, 133.94E
• Location: Near 1,040km SSW of Yokohama (211 degrees), Japan
• Max Sustained Winds: 170km/hr [Cat 2B on FEWW Scale]
• Max Wind Gusts: 210km/hr
• Significant Wave Height: ~ 15m
• Source: FIRE-EARTH and others

WIPHA is expected to weaken to a cat 1 storm force before landfall. (Probability of WIPHA making landfall is about 78 percent, as of posting—FIRE-EARTH projection.)

Typhoon Stats for NW Pacific

• The 60 year average (1951-2010) No of Typhoons: 20.9
• No of typhoons so far this year: 26
• Percent Increase: 24.4 [Calculated by FIRE-EARTH blog]

Typhoon WIPHA. Visible/Shortwave IR satellite image recorded at 23:32UTC on October 14, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. Enhanced by FIRE-EARTH.

Typhoon WIPHA. Water Vapor (FIRE-EARTH Enhancement) satellite image recorded at 00:32UTC on October 15, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

Typhoon WIPHA. MTSAT-2 IR satellite image (FIRE-EARTH Enhancement)  recorded at 02:00UTC on October 15, 2013. Source: Digital Typhoon

More details to follow…

Related Links

• Typhoon NARI Chased by TS WIPHA October 12, 2013
• Vietnam Evacuates 250,000 ahead of NARI October 14, 2013