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Potentially deadly Arctic air to affect 250 million in U.S. —FIRE-EARTH
Massive pulses of brutally cold Arctic air are sinking southward from Canada into the central and eastern U.S., affecting the western High Plains to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast U.S. for the next few days, said NWS. “Widespread subzero overnight lows are forecast for the Dakotas, Upper Midwest, Great Lakes, and interior New England.”
Temperatures will be as much as 30 degrees (F) below average for parts of the Plains, Mississippi Valley, and Ohio Valley…
Hard Freeze Warnings, Freeze Warnings and multiples of other Weather Hazard Warnings, Watches and Advisories are in effect throughout the eastern two-thirds of the country, extending into the deep South and spanning along almost the entire Gulf Coast.
Up to 250 million people in 40 states could be affected by the Arctic blasts, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.
Temperatures fall as much as 20 degrees below normal over Northern Plains
A powerful cold front has brought freezing temperatures to the central and eastern U.S. —NWS
Freezing temperatures will dive into the Deep South and to the Mid-Atlantic through Wednesday morning. This will be damaging to sensitive vegetation. Numerous Frost Advisories and Freeze Warnings are in effect. —NOAA
EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS .
Severe thunderstorms forecast for parts of Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Virginia
Unseasonably cold across the central and eastern U.S. prompt Freeze Warning across parts of at least 22 states.
Other warnings associated with the “ET” front include Winter Storm Warning, Storm Warning, Flood Warning, Gale Warning, Hard Freeze Warning and Freeze Warning.
Widespread showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast from the Deep South to the Northeast U.S. on Tuesday as moisture from the Gulf of Mexico continues to advance northward into the region ahead of a strong cold front. —NOAA
EXTREME WEATHER AND CLIMATIC EVENTS
STATES OF EMERGENCY
DEADLY ICE & SNOWSTORM .
Major Storm Continues to Pound U.S. Northeast
States of emergency have now been declared for 12 states in the south, southeast and northeast since the weekend, as a deadly storm continues to track up U.S. Northeast.
New York: Gov. Cuomo declared a state of emergency Thursday, his fifth so far this year, as the deadly snowstorm impacted much of New York and the East Coast.
Cuomo’s declaration is for Clinton, Essex, Franklin and St. Lawrence counties and covers the mid-to-lower Hudson Valley, New York City and Long Island, as well as the North Country, central New York and the Capital Region.
“The roads are dangerous,” declared Cuomo!
Connecticut: Gov. Malloy declared a State of Emergency in Vermont as the storm dumped up to 12 inches of snow on parts of the states, straining Vermont’s reserves of road salt.
Additional snow was forecast to fall early morning Friday, keeping schools closed.
120 Million of People Affected
The massive storm system has affected an estimated 120 millions people in 22 states from Texas to Maine, leaving at least 14 people dead and many injured, as of posting.
Winter Storm Warnings, Watches and Advisories were in effect from Georgia to Maine, Tuesday through Friday. Forecasters have warned the powerful system could dump up to 18 inches (46 cm) of snow over the Atlantic Coast through Saturday.
The same storm that brought heavy snow and significant ice accumulations to the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic has moved up the East Coast, bringing significant winter weather to the Northeast. Heavy snow and gusty winds are expected in parts of the Appalachians and New England into Friday. Conditions will begin to improve as the storm pulls away into the Canadian Maritimes by Friday afternoon.
U.S. Weather Hazards Map (Hazmap) for Thursday, February 14, 2014. Issued at 3:32UTC. Source: NWS. UPDATE
States of Emergency Declared for 12 States
Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, Tennessee, New York and Connecticut have now declared States of Emergency due to the massive storm.
“This is not the storm we had two weeks ago, where we were playing in the snow and building snowmen. This is an ice storm,” said Gov Haley, as she declared a State of Emergency for South Carolina.
Flight Cancellations and Delays
More than 12,000 flights into, within, or from the United States have been canceled and thousands more delayed Tuesday through early Friday. The trend is expected to continue through weekend.
Federal Emergency Disaster Declared for the State of Georgia
The White House has declared a federal emergency in the State of Georgia resulting from a severe winter storm beginning on February 10, 2014, and continuing.
The emergency disaster declaration will provide federal disaster relief to “lessen or avert the threat of a catastrophe” in the counties of Banks, Barrow, Bartow, Carroll, Catoosa, Chattooga, Cherokee, Clarke, Cobb, Dade, Dawson, DeKalb, Douglas, Elbert, Fannin, Floyd, Forsyth, Franklin, Fulton, Gilmer, Gordon, Gwinnett, Habersham, Hall, Haralson, Hart, Jackson, Lincoln, Lumpkin, Madison, Murray, Oconee, Oglethorpe, Paulding, Pickens, Polk, Rabun, Stephens, Towns, Union, Walker, Walton, White, Whitfield, and Wilkes.
White House Issues Federal Emergency Disaster Declaration for South Carolina
The White House has declared a Federal Emergency Disaster in the State of South Carolina resulting from a severe ice and snowstorm beginning on February 10, 2014, and continuing.
Energy Emergency
The U.S. Department of Transportation’s Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) extended on Wednesday the regional States of Emergency Declarations, Waivers, Exemptions & Permits for transporting propane throughout the United States.
A total of at least 36states and District of Columbia are currently impacted by shortages of propane and other heating fuels.
States covered by the emergency declarations include:
Southern Service Center: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina and Tennessee
Eastern Service Center: Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia and West Virginia
Midwestern Service Center: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio and Wisconsin
Deadly Arctic storm affecting 250 million people in 40 states —FIRE-EARTH
Life-threatening wind chill is plunging temperatures to as low as minus 60 degrees (-51ºC). The coldest temperatures in 20 years are spreading into the northern and central U.S. on Sunday following an arctic cold front.
Combined with gusty winds, these temperatures will result in life-threatening wind chill values as low as 60 degrees below zero. Also, heavy snow will develop from the eastern Plains to the Great Lakes today, with up to a foot of accumulation possible. —NWS
A massive blast of Arctic Air [aka “Polar Vortex”] is expected to set new lowest temperature records from the Northern/ Central High Plains to the Upper Mississippi Valley.
Hard Freeze Warnings, Freeze Warnings and multiples of other Weather Hazard Warnings, Watches and Advisories are in effect throughout the eastern two-thirds of the country, extending into the deep South and spanning along almost the entire Gulf Coast.
The giga winter storm has killed at least 2 dozen people so far.
Up to 250 million people in 40 states are affected by the Arctic blast, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.
U.S. Weather Hazards Map (Hazmap) for Sunday, January 5, 2014. Issued at 14:54UTC. Source: NWS. Map Enhanced by FIRE-EARTH. UPDATE
DEADLY COLD REACHES THE HEARTS AND MINDS OTHER WARNING CALLS FAIL TO REACH – PROBABLY!
UPDATED @ 10:00UTC.
Parts of northeastern U.S. and Canada buried under 60+ cm (2 feet) of snow as deadly wind chill continues to plunge temperatures.
A massive blast of Arctic Air [aka “Polar Vortex”] is expected to plunge temperatures by up to 60 degrees (F) below average from the Northern/ Central High Plains to the Upper Mississippi Valley.
Hard Freeze Warnings, Freeze Warnings and multiples of other Weather Hazard Warnings, Watches and Advisories are in effect throughout the eastern two-thirds of the country, extending into the deep South and spanning along almost the entire Gulf Coast.
“It may feel as cold as negative 50 to negative 60 on Sunday night over sections of the north-central states,” said a meteorologist with NWS.
“In those conditions, frost bite sets in on exposed skin within five minutes. A person not properly dressed could die easily in those conditions.”
The mega winter storm is said to be the worst in two decades, caused by a “polar vortex.”
“It’s just a large area of very cold air that comes down, forms over the North Pole or polar regions; [it] usually stays in Canada, but this time it’s going to come all the way into the eastern United States,” said a meteorologist with NWS.
Heavy snow has paralyzed large parts of the northeast and Canada, claiming up to two dozen lives, grounding at least 6,000 flights and delaying twice as many since Thursday, and shutting down transport systems.
Schools and government offices have been forced to close throughout the states of New York, Massachusetts and Connecticut.
The governors of New York and New Jersey have declared states of emergency on Thursday and have since advised residents to stay at home.
The mayor of Bridgeport also declared a state of emergency.
Boston Declared a Snow Emergency.
U.S. Weather Hazards Map
U.S. Weather Hazards Map (Hazmap) for Sunday, January 5, 2014. Source: NWS. Map Enhanced by FIRE-EARTH. UPDATE
“The last really big Arctic outbreak was 1994,” said a forecaster with NWS. “Outbreaks like this don’t occur every day.”
Record-breaking cold expected over much of Eastern U.S. (NWS)
“The coldest weather in years will be making its presence known from the Upper Mid-West to the Mid-Atlantic region,” said the US National Weather Service (NWS), adding that Ohio, South Dakota and Illinois would be among the worst-hit areas.
Incredibly Cold and Possibly Record Breaking Temperatures, Heavy Snow and Ice Are Expected for the Eastern Two-Thirds of the Country Through Next Week.
Potentially record breaking cold temperatures will continue dropping through the northern-tier states today. As the airmass moves into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, moderate to heavy snow will be possible on Sunday. With cold air already entrenched over much of the eastern U.S., freezing rain is possible from the Deep South, along the Appalachians into New England for the next couple of days.
Wind chill is forecast to plunge the effective temperatures to as low as -51ºC (-60 degrees) in the Midwest.
U.S. Daily Lowest Min Temperature Records set January 1 – 3, 2014
65 records Broken, 14 tied
On Friday, temperature plunged to -45ºC (-49.0 degrees) in Van Buren, Maine, breaking a previous record of -35.6ºC ( -32.1 degrees) set in 1999, said NCDC.
National High and Low Temperature (for the contiguous United States)
High Temperature for Thursday, January 4, 2014
76 degrees (24.4ºC) at Miami, FL
76 degrees at Kingsville, TX
76 degrees at Alice, TX
Low Temperature for Thursday, January 4, 2014
-36 degrees (-37.8ºC) at Big Black River, ME
Issued 7 pm EST Thursday, January 4, 2014 – NWS Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD
Temperature spread: 112 degrees [The spread remains inconsistent. Editor]
DEADLY COLD REACHING PARTS OTHER WARNING CALLS FAIL TO REACH – PROBABLY!
Parts of northeastern U.S. and Canada buried under 60+ cm (2 feet) of snow as deadly wind chill continues to plunge temperatures
Heavy snow has paralyzed large parts of the northeast and Canada, claiming up to two dozen lives, grounding at least 6,000 flights and delaying twice as many since Thursday, and shutting down transport systems.
Schools and government offices have been forced to close throughout the states of New York, Massachusetts and Connecticut.
The governors of New York and New Jersey have declared states of emergency on Thursday and have since advised residents to stay at home.
The mayor of Bridgeport also declared a state of emergency.
Boston Declared a Snow Emergency.
U.S. Weather Hazards Map
U.S. Weather Hazards Map (Hazmap) for Sunday, January 5, 2014. Source: NWS. Map Enhanced by FIRE-EARTH. UPDATE
“The last really big Arctic outbreak was 1994,” said a forecaster with NWS. “Outbreaks like this don’t occur every day.”
Record-breaking cold expected over much of Eastern U.S. (NWS)
“The coldest weather in years will be making its presence known from the Upper Mid-West to the Mid-Atlantic region,” said the US National Weather Service (NWS), adding that Ohio, South Dakota and Illinois would be among the worst-hit areas.
Incredibly Cold and Possibly Record Breaking Temperatures, Heavy Snow and Ice Are Expected for the Eastern Two-Thirds of the Country Through Next Week.
Potentially record breaking cold temperatures will continue dropping through the northern-tier states today. As the airmass moves into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, moderate to heavy snow will be possible on Sunday. With cold air already entrenched over much of the eastern U.S., freezing rain is possible from the Deep South, along the Appalachians into New England for the next couple of days.
Wind chill is forecast to plunge the effective temperatures to as low as -50ºC (-59 degrees) in the Midwest.
U.S. Daily Lowest Min Temperature Records set January 1 – 3, 2014
65 records Broken, 14 tied
On Friday, temperature plunged to -45ºC (-49.0 degrees) in Van Buren, Maine, breaking a previous record of -35.6ºC ( -32.1 degrees) set in 1999, said NCDC.
National High and Low Temperature (for the contiguous United States)
High Temperature for Thursday, January 4, 2014
76 degrees (24.4ºC) at Miami, FL
76 degrees at Kingsville, TX
76 degrees at Alice, TX
Low Temperature for Thursday, January 4, 2014
-36 degrees (-37.8ºC) at Big Black River, ME
Issued 7 pm EST Thursday, January 4, 2014 – NWS Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD
Temperature spread: 112 degrees [The spread remains inconsistent. Editor]
Severe weather, damaging winds, heavy rain and flooding hit much of the U.S.
Multiple hazard warnings are in effect across much of the United States this weekend. The Warnings, Watches and Advisories issued by the National Weather Service (NWS) include Flash Flood Warning, Ice Storm Warning, Winter Storm Warning, High Wind Warning, Storm Warning, Flood Warning, High Surf Warning, Heavy Freezing Spray Warning, and Gale Warning.
Alerts for poor Air Quality and Hazardous Weather Outlook have also been issued by NWS.
“A mixed bag of hazards will be possible across much of the U.S. on Saturday. Severe weather with damaging winds and tornadoes will be possible from the Gulf Coast to the Ohio Valley. Heavy rainfall could cause flooding from the Ark-La-Tex into the Lower Great Lakes. And winter weather will impact the Northwest as well as locations from the southern Plains to New England.” —NWS
U.S. Weather Hazards Map (Hazmap) for Saturday, December 21, 2013. Source: NWS. Map Enhanced by FIRE-EARTH. UPDATE
U.S. Temperature Range: 103 degrees
High Temperature for Friday, December 20, 2013 (as received by 7 am EST December 21): 86 at Edinburg, TX
Low Temperature for Saturday, December 21, 2013 (as received by 7 am EST December 21): -17 at Bismarck, ND
Source: National High and Low Temperature (for the contiguous United States), NWS Weather Prediction Center, Issued 7 am EST Saturday, December 21, 2013
Global Temperature Analysis – November 2013
Global November average temperature was highest on record, while year-to-date global average temperature tied for fourth highest on record, reported NCDC/NOAA.
Global Highlights from NCDC Report
The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for November 2013 was record highest for the 134-year period of record, at 0.78°C (1.40°F) above the 20th century average of 12.9°C (55.2°F).
The global land surface temperature was 1.43°C (2.57°F) above the 20th century average of 5.9°C (42.6°F), the second highest for November on record, behind 2010. For the global oceans, the November average sea surface temperature was 0.54°C (0.97°F) above the 20th century average of 15.8°C (60.4°F), tying with 2009 as the third highest for November.
The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for the September–November period was 0.68°C (1.22°F) above the 20th century average of 14.0°C (57.1°F), the second warmest such period on record, behind only 2005.
The September–November worldwide land surface temperature was 1.08°C (1.94°F) above the 20th century average, the third warmest such period on record. The global ocean surface temperature for the same period was 0.52°C (0.94°F) above the 20th century average, tying with 2009 and 2012 as the fourth warmest September–November on record.
The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for the year-to-date (January–November) was 0.62°C (1.12°F) above the 20th century average of 14.0°C (57.2°F), tying with 2002 as the fourth warmest such period on record.
Precipitation
… precipitation anomalies during November 2013 varied significantly around the globe… record wetness was observed during November over sections of coastal China, central Japan, north central Australia, and north central Mexico.
Record dryness observed across different parts of the globe, including some small sections of coastal South America, parts of north west Africa, a few regions of central and southern Asia, and parts of far west and southern Australia.
Parts of the United States had below average precipitation during the first 11 months of the year.
California experienced a record low during the first 11 months of 2013.
Select National Highlights
Russia observed its warmest November since national records began in 1891. Some areas of the Urals, Siberia, south of the Far East region, and on the Arctic islands in the Kara Sea had temperatures that were more than 8°C (14°F) higher than the monthly average.
Parts of Southern Australia, southern Pakistan, a section of north east Kazakhstan, and eastern Tanzania were record warm. No region of the world’s land areas was record cold.
Australia’s September-November mean average temperature was the warmest such period at 1.57ºC above the 1961-1990 average.
Heavy snowfall and freezing rain forecast this weekend
A complex storm system will impact the Central and Eastern U.S. this weekend: NWS
Heavy snowfall is forecast across parts of the Midwest into the Ohio Valley and on to the Northeast, while freezing rain could impact the central Appalachians into southern New England this weekend, said NWS.
Up to 10 inches of snow could fall on parts of the affected region, including the state of Maine, starting Saturday night.
Emergency Proclamation for Maine
Meantime, Maine Gov. Paul LePage issued an emergency proclamation on Friday waiving the U.S. Department of Transportation rules for at least two weeks and ensuring that heating fuel transport and delivery trucks could operate extra hours because of the frigid temperatures and a propane shortage throughout the region.
U.S. Weather Hazards Map (Hazmap) for Saturday, December 14, 2013. Source: NWS.
Deadly winter storm impacts much of U.S., as arctic air, snow and ice engulf East Coast
Several inches of snow is forecast for the Mid-Atlantic into Southern New England and the Great Lakes for Tuesday through Thursday, said the National Weather Service (NWS) in its latest forecast.
A new round of arctic conditions will drive temperatures well below average across the country through Thursday, said NWS.
The winter storm cut power to tens of thousands of homes and businesses on Monday, and forced thousands of flight cancellations or delays.
Parts of Maryland, Pennsylvania and New York state received up to 10 inches of snow through Monday morning, said NWS.
Hundreds of crashes reported from Texas to Pennsylvania, resulting in scores of injuries, as the storm-related death doll reached at least 18.
U.S. Daily Lowest Min Temperature Records
Meantime, hundreds of additional daily lowest minimum temperature records were set or tied across the country since the last report..
Low Temperature for Monday, December 9, 2013
(as received by 1 am EST December 10)
-34 degrees Fahrenheit at West Yellowstone, MT
Low Temperature for Sunday, December 8, 2013
-43ºF at Chinook, MT ( old record smashed by -3.1 degrees)
High Temperature for Sunday and Monday, December 8 – 9
87ºF at Punta Gorda, FL
Map of the U.S. Daily Lowest Min Temperature Records in December 2013. Some 538 records were broken and 111 others tied between 1 and 8 December 2013. [Full stats for December 9 NOT available, as of posting.]
DEADLY WINTER STORM continues battering eastern U.S. while a second system begins impacting the West
The deadly ice storm has been described as the worst winter storm to strike the U.S. in years.
Texas governor declared a State of Disaster in 143 counties across the state on Thursday, due to “the imminent threat of disaster.”
States of Emergency were declared in Arkansas, Missouri, Oklahoma and Tennessee ahead of the ice storm.
Minnesota declared Snow Emergency in Minneapolis and St. Paul. Other cities also proclaimed emergencies including Crystal, West St. Paul, Plymouth, St. Paul, Robbinsdale, Mendota Heights, Bloomington, Minneapolis and St. Louis Park.
The storm has been battering much of the US, killing at least a dozen people, so far, including the mayor of Granby, Missouri, whose car skidded off an icy state highway and struck a tree on Thursday.
The storm cut power to hundreds of thousands of homes and businesses in Texas, Arkansas, Louisiana and Tennessee Thursday and Friday, and forced about 2,000 flight cancellation on Friday alone.
The authorities closed thousands of schools from Texas to Wisconsin.
“Snow, sleet, freezing rain and heavy rainfall will continue to impact the eastern third of the U.S. through the weekend. Extremely cold temperatures will continue to settle into the western two-thirds of the country behind this storm system. In the meantime, a reinforcing shot of cold air is beginning to impact the West Coast as the next system approaches,” said NWS.
Near Real-Time U.S. Composite Satellite Image. Recorded at 08:00UTC on December 7, 2013. (Source: SSEC/Wisc-Uni)
Multiple Warnings for Extreme Weather
Multiple Warnings, Watches and Advisories for Extreme Weather Events are in effect across the entire country. The warning include Winter Storm Warning, High Wind Warning, Storm Warning, Flood Warning, Lake Effect Snow Warning, Gale Warning, Wind Chill Warning, Hard Freeze Warning and Freeze Warning, as of posting.
U.S. Weather Hazards Map (Hazmap) for Friday, December 7, 2013. Source and Update: NWS/CRH. Hazmap enhanced by FIRE-EARTH Blog.
Selected Highlights from NWS Weather Forecast
Freezing rain and sleet forecast from parts of the Lower Mississippi
Valley to the Central Appalachians/Northern Mid-Atlantic
Snow from the Middle Missouri Valley to the Upper Great Lakes and over parts of the Mid-Atlantic
Heavy rain possible from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Tennessee Valley
Temperatures will plunge as much as 35 degrees below average from the High Plains to Great Lakes/Central Gulf
A band of freezing rain/sleet will develop over parts of the Tennessee Valley and the Mid-Atlantic on Sunday.
Snow will cover parts of the Ohio Valley on Sunday morning expanding into the Upper Great Lakes to the Northern Mid-Atlantic by Sunday evening.
A three-inch layer of ice and sleet will stay on roads in the Dallas-Fort Worth area through Sunday, forecasters said.
Significant winter storm forecast for the Southern Plains: NWS
High temperatures are forecast to plunge up to 30 degrees below average for this time of year in many areas across Ohio Valley, Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, as a blast of Arctic air hits the U.S.
UPDATE: At least 6 people have been killed across the country in storm-related incidents, and dozens more injured in traffic accidents in Arizona, California, New Mexico, Nevada and Texas, as of 06:00UTC on Sunday.
Blast of Arctic air is forecast to move into the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic and Northeast as an “anomalous upper level low will slowly track eastward over the next couple of days, from its current position over southern California, to near the Texas panhandle by Monday afternoon. This system will encounter a bitter cold airmass which is currently in place over a good portion of the country, east of the Rockies. Higher elevation heavy snow is expected from the mountains of New Mexico into southern Colorado with light to moderate snowfall for remaining lower elevations,” said the national weather Service (NWS).
U.S. Weather Hazmap for Sunday, November 24, 2013. Source: NWS/CRH. Map enhanced by FIRE-EARTH Blog.
Sleet and freezing rain is forecast for southwestern Texas, with snow across the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles … wintry mixture will spread northeastward through the day on Saturday and Sunday with storm total ice accumulations between 0.25 and 0.5 inches possible for locations in the northern Texas Hill Country. … ice and sleet accumulations should spread into the Dallas/Fort-Worth Metroplex … light snow/sleet across central and western Oklahoma.
More than a foot of snow is expected through they day Sunday in the U.P. of Michigan and six inches or more for northwestern Pennsylvania into western New York as well as localized areas in central New York.
Temperatures will be up to 30 degrees below average for this time of year on Sunday with the exception of Florida and the North Central U.S., said NWS.
TS KAREN Heading North, Record Snow in West, Tornadoes Hit Nebraska and Iowa
Tornado Warnings, Severe Thunderstorm Warnings, Severe Weather Statements, Civil Emergency Messages, Blizzard Warnings, Winter Storm Warnings, High Wind Warnings, Tropical Storm Warnings, Flood Warnings, Gale Warnings, Hard Freeze Warnings, Freeze Warnings, Red Flag Warnings, as well as dozens of Watches and Advisories have been issued by the National Weather Service (NWS), as extreme weather events pound large portions of the U.S.
Record-setting Snow Storm
A record-setting snowstorm is buffeting large section of Wyoming, Nebraska and South Dakota. Up to two feet of snow is covering parts of Minnesota, Wyoming, Iowa and Oklahoma, affecting millions of people
Tropical Storm KAREN
Meantime, up to five inches of rain and destructive winds are forecast to hit the Gulf’s northern coastline as TS KAREN continues to grow larger.
Mandatory evacuations are under way in Plaquemines parish , Louisiana, due to the threat of storm surge as TS KAREN closes in.
U.S. Weather Hazards Map – October 5, 2013
U.S. Tornado Reports
At least 2 dozen injuries reported in Wayne County, Nebraska as a result of tornadoes in the past 24 hours.
At least 17 tornadoes reported in Nebraska and Iowa over the past 24 hours: Storm Prediction Center
Santa Ana Wind Continues
Santa Ana Winds with gusts of up to 66MPH combined with very low humidity are creating ideal conditions in California.
Lightning caused by storms could ignite new wildfires in the West and Pacific Northwest, NWS reported.
“A strong weather system will move through the Pacific Northwest and across the northern Rockies over the course of the week. Dry, gusty winds are already contributing to increased fire danger in this region, but conditions will worsen on Wednesday as the weather system brings a chance of ‘dry’ thunderstorms. The lightning from these storms could ignite new wildfires that could spread rapidly.”
Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watch areas highlighted on the U.S. Weather Hazards Map, July 31, 2013. Source: NWS
Alert:
THUNDERSTORMS WITH ABUNDANT LIGHTNING POSSIBLE STARTING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE CASCADE EAST SLOPES TONIGHT. AS THE LOW MOVES INLAND WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE. STORMS WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. STORMS WILL INITIALLY START OUT WITH LIGHT AMOUNTS OF RAIN AND THEN BECOME INCREASINGLY WETTER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.See detailed hazards viewer …
Wildfire in Arizona kills 19 fire crews, destroys up to 300 homes
Fast-moving wildfire near Yarnell, Arizona has killed at least 19 firefighters, including 18 from Prescott’s elite Granite Mountain Hotshots.
The fire was sparked by lightning on Friday and spread rapidly amid triple-digit temperatures, low humidity and strong winds. By early Monday, the blaze had consumed up to 300 homes, devouring more than 8,400 acres of chaparral and grass some 80 miles (130km) NW of Phoenix.
“Massive amounts of structures were burnt,” said a senior fire official. See video below.
The ferocious blaze forced authorities to evacuate all of Yarnell and the neighboring Peeples Valley.
The Yavapai County Sheriff has also evacuated the Double Bar A Ranch and Model Creek areas, officials said.
Official: ‘Radical’ Fire behavior Killed 19 Firefighters
“Massive amounts of structures were burnt” ~ Official
-oOo-
US Weather Forecast
Record-Breaking heat wave to continues in West, with heavy rainfall drenching almost the entire East Coast, said NWS.
An expansive upper ridge anchored over the Great Basin will continue to bring more days of dangerously-high temperatures approaching or exceeding record highs across much of the Western U.S. Triple-digit readings will be commonplace over the Southwestern corner of the country, but temperatures could also exceed the century mark as far north as the valleys of the Northern Rockies, Intermountain West and Pacific Northwest into the middle of the week. Meanwhile, showers and t-storms are possible across much of the East Coast.
North India floods: “Thousands still missing” in Uttarakhand
At least 3,000 people are still missing following the extreme monsoon rains, deadly floods and landslides that devastated India’s Uttarakhand state two weeks ago.
More than 800 rotting corpses have so far been recovered. However, several officials believe the death toll could exceed 10,000.
“After seeing piles of bodies and hearing accounts of people coming down from the mountains and those calling up, I feel the death toll could be well over 10,000.” Uttarakhand assembly speaker Govind Singh Kunjwalsaid.
Others have stated that the exact death toll may never be known.
“We will never know the exact number of the dead and the number of people buried or washed away,” Chief Minister Vijay Bahuguna told local reporters.
“According to my information about 3,000 people are still missing. We will compensate their families. They have to give an affidavit saying that their relatives have not returned home for more than 30 days.”
-oOo-
Protesters storm Egypt’s ruling party headquarters
Anti-government protesters in Cairo stormed the national headquarters of President Morsi’s Muslim Brotherhood.
The protests turned violent late Sunday, leaving about 20 dead and more than 1,000 injured.
The protesters demand President Morsi’s ouster on the first anniversary of his inauguration, while his supporters have vowed to defend him.
-oOo-
Eurozone Unemployment Hit a New Record High in May
Unemployment across the 17 Eurozone states rose 0.1 per cent to a new record high of 19.22 million in May, up 67,000 over the previous month, said Eurostat.
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DISASTER CALENDAR – July 1, 2013—SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN:
985 Days Left
Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 985 Days Left to ‘Worst Day’ in the Brief Human History
Predicted thunderstorms could spawn tornadoes from astern Iowa to western Pennsylvania
The Storm Prediction Center has forecast possibility of severe thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening from the northern Plains across the Upper Midwest and Ohio Valley and into the Northeast and New England. The primary threats will be large hail and damaging winds, especially from eastern Iowa to western Pennsylvania. Some of the storms could produce isolated tornadoes: NWS
Significant Tornado Probabilities
Any Severe Probabilities
Excessive Heat Watch
Meantime, NWS has issued Excessive Heat Watch for southern Nevada, SE California and large portions of Arizona, as drought maintains intensity across the region.
Expected High Temperatures (degrees F)
LAS VEGAS (MCCARRAN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT) ~ 113 to 115
MESQUITE AND THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ~ 115 to 123
PAHRUMP ~ 110 to 112
BARSTOW ~ 112 to 115
MORONGO BASIN ~ 108 to 115
DEATH VALLEY ~ 125 to 127
KINGMAN ~ 107 to 110
Ukraine Capital Kiev declares a state of emergency amid mega snowstorm
The snow forced the closure of International Boryspil Airport, and trapped thousands of vehicles in northern and northeastern Ukraine.
Many stores and businesses in Kiev and other major cities in northern Ukraine also remained closed due to the snow.
Other Global Disasters, Significant Events
USA: Winter Weather, Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rainfall
“A storm system will bring heavy snow to portions of the Mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys as well as the central Appalachians on Sunday. A swath of 6 to 10 inches is forecast from central Missouri to west central Ohio. Meanwhile, severe thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall will continue to be a threat across the southeast United States.” NWS/NOAA reported.
Map of weather hazards for March 24, 2013 @ 14:00 UTC. Source:NWS.
Severe weather with large hail and damaging winds was reported in the Gulf Coast region from Florida to eastern Texas.
Baseball-sized hail west of Lawtey, near state road 225, Bradford County, Florida reported to SPC.
SPC Filtered Storm reports for 23/3/2013.Baseball-sized hail west of Lawtey, near state road 225, Bradford County, Florida reported to SPC.
Florida
Columbia County, Fla., has declared a state of emergency after damage caused by flooding and high winds, reports said.
Severe flooding reported in Lake City after it received two inches of rain in 30 minutes, said NWS.
Present significant severe weather danger for the Mississippi, Missouri and Ohio River valleys: NWS
Many rivers in the Plains and Midwest already at flood levels could receive up to 5 inches of rain by early next week, forecasters say. Flooding is forecast for parts of the northern Plains, the Midwest, the Great Lakes and the Ohio Valley.
Today’s forecast:
Possible severe weather in the southern Plains
Rain and thunderstorms in the Mountain West, the Four Corners area, the Southeast and the southern Atlantic Coast
Heavy snow in western Montana, north-central Idaho and western Wyoming
“Most of Missouri is at the center of a double weather whammy, sitting in the center of severe weather forecasts for tonight and Friday and at the core of heavy rains forecast into next week.” NWS reported.
Weather Forecast Map. Click images to enlarge.
Weather Outlook (Probabilistic)
Rainfall Forecast:The 5-day total
Texas Wildfires
Report: Wednesday Close, April 21, 2011
National Preparedness Level: 1
Southern Area Preparedness Level: 3
TFS Preparedness Level: 5
Texas Fires YTD Totals
Fires: 6,061 [4 new fires]
Acres Burned: 1,821,086
Structures Destroyed: 859
Source: Texas Forest Service (TFS)
Drought and Heat: Recipe for Deadly Fire Conditions in Texas
Image shows ground temperatures differentials for April 7 to April 14 compared to long-term average for that week. Data for the image gathered by MODIS on NASA’s Terrasatellite. Drought and high temperatures are clearly contributing to the deadly fire conditions in Texas. Source: NASA-EO Fatalities
Two firefighters have lost their lives, including one near Lubbock who was killed yesterday
Two sightseers were killed as their plance circled over fires Tuesday.
Livestock
NO official figures have been released so far. However, FIRE-EARTH estimates that up to 20,000 heads of cattle may have been killed or injured as a result of the deadly fires since beginning of the year.
Waves of tornadoes battering southern United States, killing about 50 people and injuring hundreds of others from Oklahoma through the South and on to the Atlantic Coast since Thursday, have carved swathes of destruction in their wake, with hundreds of homes left destroyed or severely damaged.
Combined Map of Reported Tornadoes, Severe Weather and Hail 14 – 17 April 2011
Source: NWS/ Storm Prediction Center. Map enhanced by FIRE-EARTH
In the worst tornado assault ever recorded, 248 twisters have devastated large areas in 14 states from Thursday through Saturday. A total of 1,038 tornadoes, wind gusts and hail events were reported, according to the logs kept at the Storm Prediction Center.
NC Tornado damage. Frame grab from AP video report. Video clip posted HERE
States of Emergency
Virginia. Gov McDonnell has declared a state of emergency following widespread damage caused by powerful thunderstorms, which left at least six people dead in the central and southern parts of the state on Sunday, a report said.
North Carolina. Gov Perdue has declared a state of emergency for North Carolina because of the destruction caused by deadly storms and tornadoes across the state, reports said. Sever storms ripped through central North Carolina causing multiple fatalities and much destruction.
Alabama. Gov Bentley is declaring a State of Emergency for all Alabama counties following severe weather which brought tornados, severe t-storms, hail and strong winds earlier today, a report said. At least one person was killed in
“This is a serious storm that has already caused significant damage across the South. I hope Alabamians take extreme caution while these storms move through,” said Bentley.
“There are confirmed reports of tornado touchdowns in the following Alabama counties: Monroe, Greene, Marengo, Sumter, Tuscaloosa and Choctaw. Multiple injuries have been reported in Sumter, Greene and Marengo counties.” The report said.
“An apparent tornado struck Bellington Circle approximately 6 miles south of Linden [Marengo County.] Law enforcement confirmed 1 fatality and at least 4 injuries.” The National Weather Service reported.
Mississippi. “A State of Emergency has been declared for 14 Mississippi counties after tornadoes and high winds whipped through the state today, causing multiple injuries, shutting down I-20, ravaging homes and businesses and knocking out power to thousands.” Said a report.
Oklahoma. Gov Fallin has declared a state of emergency in 26 Oklahoma counties, a report said. The declaration include the following counties: Atoka, Carter, Coal, Creek, Custer, Delaware, Harper, Johnston, Latimer, LeFlore, Lincoln, Love, Marshall, Murray, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Osage, Pittsburg, Pontotoc, Pushmataha, Rogers, Seminole, Tulsa, Wagoner, Washington and Woodward.
Violent storm front spawning deadly tornadoes strikes Louisiana
Violent line of storms moving through Louisiana continues to Mississippi and Alabama
A deadly EF2 tornado with winds exceeding 200kmph (125mph) struck the town of Rayne, Louisiana killing at least one person, injuring 4 dozen others and destroying/damaging more than 100 buildings.
The 300-m wide twister caused an 8km (5 miles) path of destruction. The tornado destroyed dozens of trailers and snapped hundreds of trees, as it continued to dump up to 7.5cm (3-inches) of rain in some areas, reports say.
“There are houses off their foundations,” State Police Trooper Stephen Hammonds told AP.
“There are houses that have been destroyed.”
Officials evacuated about 1,500 people amid fears of multiple gas leaks in the area.
Several other tornadoes were reported in the state, as NWS issued severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings for New Orleans area.
Eastern Conus Sector (Infrared Channel). The temperatures are in Kelvin. Source: NOAA/NWS – Click images to enlarge.
A state of emergency has been declared across southern Wisconsin ahead of a major snowstorm, a report said.
The affected counties include: Counties affected include Adams, Calumet, Columbia, Crawford, Dane, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Grant, Green, Green Lake, Iowa, Jefferson, Juneau, Kenosha, Kewaunee, Lafayette, Manitowoc, Marquette, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Racine, Richland, Rock, Sauk, Sheboygan, Walworth, Washington, Waukesha and Winnebago.
Weather forecast map. NOAA
State of emergency declared in southern Wisconsin
A strong low pressure area is expected to move from the southern Plains across northern Illinois next Tuesday night and Wednesday. Enough warm air ahead of this system will push into southern Wisconsin to result in a rain and snow mix across the central and southern portions of the area, with all snow in the northern counties. A rain and snow mix is then forecast for Wednesday. Even though precipitation looks likely, the is still considerable uncertainty regarding the low level thermal structure of the atmosphere, and where the main rain/snow line will be located. Several inches of snow are possible, especially in the northern most counties. SOURCE: NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
NWS RADAR IMAGE
Click image to enlarge.
Buffalo, NY Radar – Base Reflectivity – Loop of this image . Source: NWS
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Another storm is expected to hit Southern California today
More rain would spell more mudslides and misery for the hill side communities in California. The new system is likely to move in Tuesday with a 40% chance of showers starting Tuesday afternoon, lasting into Wednesday, the National Weather Service (NWS) said.
The storm is expected to be less severe than the ones that buffeted the area on Friday and Saturday, triggering mudslides which caused much destruction in the foothills communities of the San Gabriel Mountains.
Forecasters say the coastal and valley areas should expect about 1.5cm (1/2 inch) of rain, with up to 4cm (1 1/2 inches) in the mountains areas Tuesday through Wednesday.
So far about 31cm (12 inches) of rain has fallen in downtown Los Angeles, compared with a norm of 21cm (8 inches) during this time of year, NWS said.
Weather Forecast (Click Images to enlarge and update)
As of posting, a winter storm warning is in effect for the following counties
In Oklahoma: Adair, Sequoyah and Le Flore.
In Arkansas: Benton, Sebastian, Washington, Carroll, Madison, Crawford and Franklin.
Winter storm will continue to impact much of the mid south tonight.
Snow will continue mainly north of a Wynne Arkansas to Lexington, Tennessee line tonight. A mixture of snow, sleet, and rain will continue along interstate 40 from Forrest City Arkansas to the Memphis metropolitan area to Jackson and Decaturville, Tennessee. Rain will occur across north Mississippi.
Vercorin, Switzerland Sees 6ft of Snow in just 3 Days
NC Gov Declares State of Emergency after Snow Storm
Large snow storms have been reported across Switzerland, Germany, Austria, and France in the past three days.
Switzerland saw the most snow, On the Snow reported. In Vercorin, Switzerland, snow topped 180cm. Elsewhere in Switzerland, Germany, Austria and France between 105 and 120cm (48 inches) of snow covered much of the region.
“Another 42-70cm of further snow is forecast within the next five days in Switzerland, Germany, Italy, and France: 70cm in Gstaad, Switzerland; 48cm in am Belchen and Todtnauberg, Germany; 47cm in Courmayeur, Italy; and 42-44cm in La Mongie, Piau Engaly, and Saint Lary Soulan, France.” The report said.
In Germany’s North Rhine-Westphalia, the region where the cities of Cologne and Dusseldorf are located, more than 300 accidents were reported in a 12-hour period between Friday night and Saturday morning.
The chaos on the North Rhine-Westphalia roads killed at least one motorist and injured 40 others, while Bavaria’s frozen roads claimed another two lives, and a road accident in Thuringia killed 2 more people.
Flights at some of the airports in both regions were canceled or delayed, as police advised motorists to stay at home.
US Weather
Near Real-Time U.S. Composite Satellite Image. Credit SSEC. Click image to enlarge.
Meanwhile, North Carolina Gov. Beverly Perdue declared a state of emergency as more than a foot of snow blankets mountain areas. About 20 emergency shelters opened across the state, Perdue said.
“The storm left roads icy and snow packed across the South, and thousands were without power as ice accumulated. Although police said they had to clear hundreds of wrecks, there were no deaths or serious injuries reported.” WMBF reported.
Some 11 inches of snow covered Asheville, North Carolina, on Friday. The storm that brought the winter weather to the Southeast is now heading toward the Eastern Seaboard.
The lowest temperature in the Lower 48 states ranged from a low of -25ºF degrees at Upson, Wisconsin, to a high of 83ºF degrees at Vero Beach, Florida.
IR Satellite Image. Click image to update.
Weather. Click image to enlarge and update.
Temperature. Click image to enlarge and update.
Predominant Weather. Click image to enlarge and update.
