El Niño Update [21 April 2010]

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions

El Niño Weekly UPDATE prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP –  19 April 2010

The latest weekly SST departures are:

• Niño 4   ~  0.8ºC
• Niño 3.4  ~  0.8ºC
• Niño 3 ~ 0.8ºC
• Niño 1+2 ~ 1.1ºC

El Niño Map. [SOURCE: NOAA/ Climate Prediction Center / NCEP]

Summary

• El Niño is present across the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
• Sea surface temperatures (SST) are more than 1.0ºC above-average across muchof the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.
• Based on current observations and dynamical model forecasts, El Niño is expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere spring 2010 and transition to ENSO-neutral conditions by Northern Hemisphere summer 2010.

Related Links:

• Your Worst Fears About El Niño

• Climate Locked into ‘Unending’ El Niño?
• What Florida Might Look Like in 2014
• SE Australia Toasted Brown
• UK Flooding
• Speaking of El Niño, OLR Anomalies in Australia
• El Niño Update [16 Nov 2009]
• Recognizing El Niño
• El Niño and La Niña: Tracing the Dance of Ocean and Atmosphere
• TAO Diagrams
• El Niño Forecasts

El Niño Updates – Previous 5 Issues:

• El Niño Update [5 April 2010]
• El Niño Update [29 March 2010]
• El Niño Update [22 March 2010]
• El Niño Update [15 March 2010]
• El Niño Update [8 March 2010]

• El Niño [Main Page, Links to Weekly Updates Archive]

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