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Alaska Earthquake Forecast: Update 2

Posted by feww on August 11, 2009

A great earthquake may strike Alaska in 2009

FEWW Alaska Earthquake Forecast – Update # 2

FEWW Moderators believe a magnitude 9.2Mw earthquake could strike Alaska anytime.

Details of FEWW Alaska Earthquake Forecast were initially posted at Magnitude MW 5.7 Quake Hits Southern Alaska on January 26, 2009, and were subsequently revised in FEWW: Alaska Earthquake Warning on August 6, 2009.

FEWW has now revised the Alaska Earthquake Forecast as follows:

  • Magnitude: 9.2
  • Probability of occurrence: 0.8
  • Estimated date of occurrence: November 19, 2009
  • Date uncertainty: +/- 90 days.
  • Estimated Location: 60.414N, 149.496W
  • Location uncertainty: Radius of about 50km from the estimated epicenter
  • Estimated depth: 8km [+/-2.6km]

FEWW Alaska Earthquake Forecast. Approximate location. Source of original map: Google Earth. Map may be subject to copyright.

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3 Responses to “Alaska Earthquake Forecast: Update 2”

  1. feww said

    Alaska Earthquake Forecast: Update 3

  2. […] About 70.4 km NNW of the previous estimate. […]

  3. feww said

    Magnitude 5.0 – SOUTHERN ALASKA
    2009 August 19 18:19:27 UTC
    Location: 61.227°N, 150.827°W
    Depth: 60.9 km (37.8 miles) set by location program
    * 21 km (13 miles) ENE (60°) from Beluga, AK
    * 28 km (18 miles) NE (49°) from Tyonek, AK
    * 39 km (24 miles) SSW (200°) from Susitna, AK
    * 57 km (36 miles) W (274°) from Anchorage, AK

    Location Uncertainty: Error estimate not available
    Source: Alaska Earthquake Information Center, Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska Fairbanks (via USGS EQHP)
    Event ID: ak10005518

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