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Archive for August 27th, 2009

Earthquake Forecast: Timor Sea

Posted by feww on August 27, 2009

A Magnitude 7.4 Earthquake Could Strike Timor Sea Region

FEWW Moderators believe that a powerful 7.4 Mw earthquake followed by a large cluster of aftreshocks may strike Timor Sea Region anytime.

Timor Sea quake forecast
Map of the FEWW quake forecast in Timor Sea. Original map: Google Earth. Image may be subject to copyright.

Details of FEWW Earthquake Forecast

  • Magnitude: 7.4 or greater
  • Estimated Date:  November 30, 2009 [Uncertainty:  T±90 days]
  • Epicenter: 11°34’23.78″S,  124°45’28.10″E
  • Location: Timor Sea
  • Depth: 27km [Uncertainty: +/- 6.8km]
  • Distances:
    • 160km South of the southern coast of West Timor, province of East Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia.
    • 190 km ENE of Ashmore Island [Ashmore and Cartier Islands]
    • 203 km NW Kupang, West Timor
    • 281 km NNW of Troughton Island, North Kimberly Coast, NW Australia
    • 666 km WNW of Darwin Australia
  • Horizontal Uncertainty: radius of about 60 km from the forecast epicenter
  • Probability of Occurrence: 0.7 (72%)

Note: This forecast does NOT preclude the possibility of other seismic events in the area at any time.

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Posted in East Nusa Tenggara, NW Australia, Plate boundaries, seismic event forecast, Timor sea quake | Tagged: , , , , , , | 3 Comments »