Earthquake Forecast: Timor Sea

A Magnitude 7.4 Earthquake Could Strike Timor Sea Region

FEWW Moderators believe that a powerful 7.4 Mw earthquake followed by a large cluster of aftreshocks may strike Timor Sea Region anytime.

Map of the FEWW quake forecast in Timor Sea. Original map: Google Earth. Image may be subject to copyright.

Details of FEWW Earthquake Forecast

• Magnitude: 7.4 or greater
• Estimated Date:  November 30, 2009 [Uncertainty:  T±90 days]
• Epicenter: 11°34’23.78″S,  124°45’28.10″E
• Location: Timor Sea
• Depth: 27km [Uncertainty: +/- 6.8km]
• Distances:
  • 109 km NW of Challis Oil Field (See Australian Oil Disaster May Get a Lot Worse)

• • 160km South of the southern coast of West Timor, province of East Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia.
  • 190 km ENE of Ashmore Island [Ashmore and Cartier Islands]
  • 203 km NW Kupang, West Timor
  • 281 km NNW of Troughton Island, North Kimberly Coast, NW Australia
  • 666 km WNW of Darwin Australia

• Horizontal Uncertainty: radius of about 60 km from the forecast epicenter

• Probability of Occurrence: 0.7 (72%)

Note: This forecast does NOT preclude the possibility of other seismic events in the area at any time.

Related Links:

• Australian Oil Disaster May Get a Lot Worse
• FEWW Earthquake Links