Fire Earth

Mass die-offs from human impact and planetary response to the assault could occur by early 2016

Significant Quake Strikes Near Irving, Texas

Posted by feww on November 23, 2014

HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SEISMIC HAZARDS
SCENARIOS 704, 703, 702, 701, 700, [500,] 09, 08, 07, 02
.

Texas quake confirms scenarios 701, 700, [500]

Centered at 32.836°N, 96.892°W the quake occurred at a shallow depth of 2.8km, some 5km ENE of Irving, Texas.

EQ Details

Magnitude: 3.3Mw
Event Time: 2014-11-23 03:15:47 UTC
Location: 32.836°N 96.892°W depth=2.8km (1.8mi)
Nearby Cities

  • 5km (3mi) ENE of Irving, Texas
  • 8km (5mi) W of University Park, Texas
  • 9km (6mi) NW of Dallas, Texas
  • 10km (6mi) S of Farmers Branch, Texas
  • 296km (184mi) NNE of Austin, Texas

TPPoF50YMoPGA
Two-percent probability of exceedance in 50 years map of peak ground acceleration. Source: USGS/EHP

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Powerful Quake Strikes Omachi, Japan

Posted by feww on November 22, 2014

HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SEISMIC HAZARDS
SCENARIOS 704, 703, 702, 701, 700, [500,] 09, 08, 07, 02
.

M6.8 Quake strikes 8km NW of Tanabe, Japan

Centered at 36.7°N, 137.9°E the quake struck at a depth of about 10km, said the local meteorological agency.

The powerful quake, which registered -6 on the local severity scale of 7, was felt throughout most of the main Honshu island.

The epicenter was located about 100km SW of Kashiwazaki Nuclear Power Station in Niigata Prefecture, and about 115km SE of Shika Nuclear Power Plant in Ishikawa Pref., Japan. (See maps Below)

EQ Location Map

Map of Japan Nuclear Power Stations


IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH EQ Forecast

For detailed FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts tune into Fire-Earth Reports  daily @ 06:32UTC.


FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts for California and Japan

FIRE-EARTH Science Team has suspended its research on California seismicity to protest Internet censorship, Google’s manipulation of information, theft of FIRE-EARTH intellectual property and other reasons, as stated earlier on the blog.

The Team has suspended its research also on Japan seismicity due to the resurgence of militarism in that country and other reasons that have also been stated previously.

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‘Rapid Spread’ of Deadly Plague Threatens Madagascar Capital

Posted by feww on November 22, 2014

EMERGING & RE-EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES
DEADLY CONTAGIOUS DISEASES
PLAGUE OUTBREAK
SCENARIOS 993, 797, 444, 080, 011, 01
.

Deadly Plague Outbreak Kills Dozens in Madagascar: WHO

“There is now a risk of a rapid spread of the disease due to the city’s high population density and the weakness of the healthcare system. The situation is further complicated by the high level of resistance to deltamethrin (an insecticide used to control fleas) that has been observed in the country,” said the World Health Organization (WHO).

Plague – Madagascar

On 4 November 2014, WHO was notified by the Ministry of Health of Madagascar of an outbreak of plague. The first case, a male from Soamahatamana village in the district of Tsiroanomandidy, was identified on 31 August. The patient died on 3 September.

As of 16 November, a total of 119 cases of plague have been confirmed, including 40 deaths. Only 2% of reported cases are of the pneumonic form.

Some 16 districts in seven regions throughout the rat-infested island country have so far reported cases of plague infection. “Antananarivo, the capital and largest city in Madagascar, has also been affected with 2 recorded cases of plague, including 1 death,” said a report by WHO.

Background

Plague is a bacterial disease caused by Yersinia pestis, which primarily affects wild rodents. It is spread from one rodent to another by fleas. Humans bitten by an infected flea usually develop a bubonic form of plague, which produces the characteristic plague bubo (a swelling of the lymph node). If the bacteria reach the lungs, the patient develops pneumonia (pneumonic plague), which is then transmissible from person to person through infected droplets spread by coughing. If diagnosed early, bubonic plague can be successfully treated with antibiotics. Pneumonic plague, on the other hand, is one of the most deadly infectious diseases; patients can die 24 hours after infection. The mortality rate depends on how soon treatment is started, but is always very high. [Source: WHO]

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Deadly Earthquake Strikes SW China

Posted by feww on November 22, 2014

HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SEISMIC HAZARDS
SCENARIOS 704, 703, 09, 08, 07, 02
.

M6.3 Quake Strikes Sichuan Province, SW China

At least one person was killed after a strong earthquake struck Kangding County, Ganzi Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture in southwest China’s Sichuan Province, on Saturday, reported the official Xinhua news agency.

Centered at 30.3°N,  101.7°E, the quake occurred  at a depth of about 18km near the Kangding airport, about 40 km from Chengdu, the provincial capital, said the report.

The quake also affected Zhaodong City in neighboring Yunnan Province.”

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Drought Destroys Crops in Five States

Posted by feww on November 21, 2014

DISASTERS CAUSED BY CLIMATE CHANGE
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS
DROUGHT
CROP DISASTERS
SCENARIOS  560, 444, 111, 100, 03, 02
.

Crop Disasters Declared for 20 Counties across Five States

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has declared crop disasters in 20 counties across five states—Idaho, Montana, Utah, Washington and Wyoming—due to the losses and damage caused by the debilitating drought.

The disaster designations are for the following counties:

  • Idaho: Bear Lake, Boundary, Fremont, Madison,  Bonner, Caribou, Franklin, Teton, Bonneville, Clark and  Jefferson counties.
  • Montana: Beaverhead, Gallatin, Lincoln and Madison counties.
  • Utah: Cache and Rich counties.
  • Washington: Pend Oreille County.
  • Wyoming: Lincoln and Teton counties.

Crop Disasters 2014

Beginning January 10, 2014 USDA has declared crop disasters in at least 2,727 counties across 41 states. Most of those designations are due to  drought.

Those states are

  • Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. [FIRE-EARTH has documented all of the above listings. See blog content.]

Notes:
i. USDA trigger point for a countywide disaster declaration is 30 percent crop loss on at least one crop.

ii. The counties designated as agricultural disaster areas, as listed above, include both primary and contiguous disaster areas.

iii. Some counties may have been designated crop disaster areas more than once due to multiple disasters.

iv. The U.S. has a total of 3,143 counties and county-equivalents.

v. The disaster designations posted above were approved by USDA on November 19, 2014.

Latest/ Recent Crop Disaster Declarations

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FEWW Event Alert – Coralis

Posted by feww on November 21, 2014

CJ Members

Fire-Earth Event Alert: Coralis

Details of the next Event Alert, , will be broadcast at the following times Monday, November 24, 2014 on FIRE-EARTH Channel:

  05:32, 06:32, 08:32 and 10:32UTC.

 

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Strong Quake Strikes WNW of Tobelo, Indonesia

Posted by feww on November 21, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SCENARIOS 703, 700, [500,] 08, 07, 02
.

UPDATE @ 15:47UTC – Quake downgraded to Magnitude 6.5Mw by USGS/EHP.  For other details that originally evaded USGS earthquake staff see below.

M6.9 quake occurs 116km WNW of Tobelo, Indonesia

Centered at 2.230°N, 127.085°E 2.277°N, 127.055°E the quake struck at a depth of 48.2km (30.0mi) 38.1km (23.7mi), said the erring experts at USGS/EHP.

EQ Details [Take 2]

Event Time: 2014-11-21 10:10:19 UTC
Location: 2.277°N, 127.055°E depth=38.1km (23.7mi)

Nearby Cities

  • 122km (76mi) WNW of Tobelo, Indonesia
  • 167km (104mi) NNW of Ternate, Indonesia
  • 168km (104mi) NNW of Kota Ternate, Indonesia
  • 227km (141mi) ENE of Bitung, Indonesia
  • 995km (618mi) SW of Koror Town, Palau

EQ Details [TAKE 1]

Event Time: 2014-11-21 10:10:20 UTC
Location: 2.230°N 127.085°E depth=48.2km (30.0mi)
Nearby Cities:

  • 162km (101mi) N of Kota Ternate, Indonesia
  • 228km (142mi) ENE of Bitung, Indonesia
  • 996km (619mi) SW of Koror Town, Palau

Tsunami Evaluation

Small tsunami waves were generated, but they posed no threat to the coastal areas.

Other Significant Seismicity

Magnitude: 5.9 – About 216km (134mi) S of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Location:  20.679°N, 120.041°E; depth=10.0 km (163km SSW of Hengchun, Taiwan)
Time: 2014-11-21 @ 03:29:12 UTC


IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH EQ Forecast For detailed FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts tune into FIRE-EARTH Channel daily @ 06:32UTC.


 

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Significant Quake Strikes S of San Juan Bautista, California

Posted by feww on November 20, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SCENARIOS 700, [500,] 08, 07, 02
.

 M4.2 quake occurs near San Juan Bautista, California

Centered at 36.809°N, 121.535°W the quake occurred at a depth of 6.6km (4.1mi), according to USGS/EHP.

Earthquake Details

Magnitude: 4.2Mw
Event Time: 2014-11-20 06:26:49 UTC
Location:  36.809°N 121.535°W depth=6.6km (4.1mi)
Nearby Cities

  • 4km (2mi) S of San Juan Bautista, California
  • 12km (7mi) WSW of Hollister, California
  • 12km (7mi) ENE of Prunedale, California
  • 18km (11mi) NE of Salinas, California196km (122mi) S of Sacramento, California

Other Significant Seismicity 

  • M5.0 — 128km ESE of Mohean, India (7.452°N 94.366°E depth=17.8km) on 2014-11-20 at 06:05:44 UTC
  • M5.239km ENE of Yilan, Taiwan(24.911°N 122.104°E depth=4.0km) on 2014-11-19 at 17:46:21 UTC
  • M5.4 — 54km ESE of Namie, Japan (37.343°N 141.585°E depth=35.2km) on 2014-11-20 at 01:51:43 UTC
  • M5.1 – 41km ESE of Nishinoomote, Japan (30.621°N 131.415°E depth=21.1km) on 2014-11-19 at 14:34:42 UTC

IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH EQ Forecast

For detailed FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts tune into Fire-Earth Reports  daily @ 06:32UTC.


FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts for California

FIRE-EARTH Science Team has suspended its research on California seismicity to protest Internet censorship, Google’s manipulation of information, theft of FIRE-EARTH intellectual property and other reasons, as stated earlier on the blog.

The Team has suspended its research also on Japan seismicity due to the resurgence of militarism in that country and other reasons that have also been stated previously.

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U.S. Freezes!

Posted by feww on November 19, 2014

DISASTERS CAUSED BY CLIMATE CHANGE
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS
PARALYZING WINTER STORM
STATE OF EMERGENCY
SCENARIOS  887, 785, 666, 560, [500,] 444, 187, 177, 157, 111, 078, 063, 027, 023, 02
.

NY Declares State of Emergency Amid Deadly Snowstorm

All 50 U.S. states experience freezing temperatures or colder weather as a polar vortex pushes arctic air across the country.

Every U.S. state, including Hawaii, saw temperatures plunge to freezing point or lower on Tuesday, said the National Weather Service (NWS).

State of Emergency Declared in New York

The arctic blast also prompted NY governor to declare a state of emergency in western and central New York due to heavy snow.

The counties included in the executive order are Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Franklin, Genesee, Herkimer, Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego, Wyoming, and contiguous counties.

“This storm may persist until Friday morning with the potential for another two feet of snow,” said Cuomo, dispatching the National Guard. “New Yorkers in these areas should exercise extreme caution, and stay off the roads until conditions are clearer and safer.”

Up to 1.2 meters of snow is forecast for large swathes of western New York, while several areas could receive as much as 1.8 meters, said NWS.

Deadly Snowstorm

“Four people have died as a result of the snowstorm. Three of them succumbed, apparently from heart problems, two of them while shoveling the deep snow. Another was killed while attempting to push a car out of a drift,” said a report.

Surreal Storm

A New York highway superintendent called the snowstorm “surreal.”

“I’ve been here 33 years and this is one of the top ones,” he told The Buffalo News. “It’s surreal … this is one of the worst I’ve seen.”

Historic Event
“This will be a historic event. Absolutely. It is a historic event,” said a forecaster with NWS.

National High and Low Temperature (for the contiguous United States)
NWS Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD
Issued 7 pm EST Tuesday, November 18, 2014

High Temperature for Tuesday, November 18, 2014

  • 28°C (83 degrees F) at Homestead AFB, FL

Low Temperature for Tuesday, November 18, 2014

  • -30°C (-22 degrees F) at Lamar Ranger Station, WY

Related Links

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Infectious Diseases Kill 1,448 Chinese in October: Report

Posted by feww on November 18, 2014

EMERGING & RE-EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES
DEADLY CONTAGIOUS DISEASES
SCENARIOS 993, 797, 444, 080, 011, 01
.

Infectious Diseases kill 1,448 Chinese, sicken more than 608,000 in October

[Reported cases of] infectious diseases in mainland China killed  at least 1,448 people and sickened more than 609,000 people in October, Xinhua quoted the health officials as saying.

Plague, a Category A infectious disease, killed at least two people, said the report.

Infectious diseases in Category B were responsible for the bulk of the fatalities (1,421 cases reported), with Hepatitis, tuberculosis, syphilis, dengue and diarrhea being the deadliest.

Category C infectious diseases killed 25 people in October, said China’s National Health and Family Planning Commission.

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) classifies the Emerging Infectious Diseases in categories A, B and C as follows:

Category A pathogens are those organisms/biological agents that pose the highest risk to national security and public health because they

  • Can be easily disseminated or transmitted from person to person
  • Result in high mortality rates and have the potential for major public health impact
  • Might cause public panic and social disruption
  • Require special action for public health preparedness

Category A Priority Pathogens

Category B pathogens are the second highest priority organisms/biological agents. They

  • Are moderately easy to disseminate
  • Result in moderate morbidity rates and low mortality rates
  • Require specific enhancements for diagnostic capacity and enhanced disease surveillance

Category B Priority Pathogens

  • Burkholderia pseudomallei (melioidosis)
  • Coxiella burnetii (Q fever)
  • Brucella species (brucellosis)
  • Burkholderia mallei (glanders)
  • Chlamydia psittaci (Psittacosis)
  • Ricin toxin (Ricinus communis)
  • Epsilon toxin (Clostridium perfringens)
  • Staphylococcus enterotoxin B (SEB)
  • Typhus fever (Rickettsia prowazekii)
  • Food- and waterborne pathogens
  • Mosquito-borne encephalitis viruses
    • West Nile virus (WNV)
    • LaCrosse encephalitis (LACV)
    • California encephalitis
    • Venezuelan equine encephalitis (VEE)
    • Eastern equine encephalitis (EEE)
    • Western equine encephalitis (WEE)
    • Japanese encephalitis virus (JE)
    • St. Louis encephalitis virus (SLEV)

Category C pathogens are the third highest priority and include emerging pathogens that could be engineered for mass dissemination in the future because of

  • Availability
  • Ease of production and dissemination
  • Potential for high morbidity and mortality rates and major health impact

Category C Priority Pathogens

  • Nipah and Hendra viruses
  • Additional hantaviruses
  • Tickborne hemorrhagic fever viruses
    • Bunyaviruses
      • Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome virus (SFTSV), Heartland virus
    • Flaviruses
      • Omsk Hemorrhagic Fever virus, Alkhurma virus, Kyasanur Forest virus
  • Tickborne encephalitis complex flaviviruses
    • Tickborne encephalitis viruses
    • European subtype
    • Far Eastern subtype
    • Siberian subtype
    • Powassan/Deer Tick virus
  • Yellow fever virus
  • Tuberculosis, including drug-resistant TB
  • Influenza virus
  • Other Rickettsias
  • Rabies virus
  • Prions
  • Chikungunya virus
  • Coccidioides spp.
  • Severe acute respiratory syndrome associated coronavirus (SARS-CoV), MERS-CoV, and other highly pathogenic human coronaviruses (new in FY14)
  • Antimicrobial resistance, excluding research on sexually transmitted organisms*
    • Research on mechanisms of antimicrobial resistance
    • Studies of the emergence and/or spread of antimicrobial resistance genes within pathogen populations
    • Studies of the emergence and/or spread of antimicrobial-resistant pathogens in human populations
    • Research on therapeutic approaches that target resistance mechanisms
    • Modification of existing antimicrobials to overcome emergent resistance
  • Antimicrobial research, as related to engineered threats and naturally occurring drug-resistant pathogens, focused on development of broad-spectrum antimicrobials

*NIAID Category C Antimicrobial Resistance—Sexually Transmitted Organisms Excluded

  • Bacterial vaginosis, Chlamydia trachomatis, cytomegalovirus, Granuloma inguinale, Hemophilus ducreyi, hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus, herpes simplex virus, human immunodeficiency virus, human papillomavirus, Neisseria gonorrhea, Treponema pallidum, Trichomonas vaginalis

 

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‘Highly Contagious’ Strain of Bird Flu Discovered in Holland

Posted by feww on November 17, 2014

EMERGING & RE-EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES
HIGHLY CONTAGIOUS STRAIN OF AVIAN FLU
ZOONOTIC DISEASES
EUROPEAN HEALTH EMERGENCY
SCENARIOS 993, 797, 444, 080, 011, 01
.

Zoonotic H5N8 bird flu strain highly contagious: Dutch gov

The Dutch government has warned the highly contagions strain, H5N8, could be transmitted from poultry to humans, and have imposed a three-day nationwide ban on the transportation of poultry and eggs.

Authorities are destroying more than 150,000 birds at the infected farm, in the village of Hekendorp, and  have set up a 10-km (six-mile) exclusion zone, said local reports.

Some 700 Dutch poultry farms export more than 6 billion eggs each year.

H5N8 cases have also been reported in China, Germany, Japan and the UK, so far this year.

The deadly H5N1 strain has a mortality rate of about 60% in humans, killing about 400 people over the past ten years.

FIRE-EARTH Models estimate that more than 500 million birds have been destroyed over the past 10 years to prevent the spread of various avian flu strains.

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‘Severe’ Earthquake Rattles New Zealand

Posted by feww on November 17, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SCENARIOS 700, 500, 09, 08, 07, 02
.

M6.7 Quake Strikes Near North Island New Zealand

Centered at 37.682°S, 179.685°E the quake struck offshore at a depth of 22.0km (13.7mi), said USGS/EHP.

EQ Details [USGS/EHP]
Magnitude: 6.7Mw
Event Time: 2014-11-16 22:33:20 UTC
Location: 37.682°S 179.685°E depth=22.0km (13.7mi)
Nearby Cities:

  • 182km (113mi) NE of Gisborne, New Zealand
  • 239km (149mi) E of Whakatane, New Zealand
  • 306km (190mi) E of Rotorua, New Zealand
  • 581km (361mi) NE of Wellington, New Zealand

Tsunami Evaluation

Small tsunami waves were generated, but they posed no threat to the coastal areas.

DYFI?

A resident in the town of Whakatane, located about 240km from the epicenter, described the quake as the “worst” she’d felt in a long time.

“[The] floor moved under me, vertical blinds really swayed, [it] went on for several minutes.”

EQ Deatils [Local Agency]
Magnitude: 6.5
Depth: 31 km
Location: 37.65°S, 179.87°E (155 km east of Te Araroa)

Other Significant Seismicity
M6.1 – 245km SW of Gizo, Solomon Islands
Event Time: 2014-11-17 01:06:00 UTC
Location: 9.553°S 155.151°E depth=25.2km (15.7mi)
Nearby Cities:

  • 371km (231mi) S of Arawa, Papua New Guinea
  • 526km (327mi) E of Alotau, Papua New Guinea
  • 527km (327mi) W of Honiara, Solomon Islands
  • 657km (408mi) SSE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea

IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH EQ Forecast For detailed FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts tune into FIRE-EARTH Channel daily @ 06:32UTC.


 

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Deadly Storms Continue to Wreak Havoc in Italy

Posted by feww on November 16, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC DISASTERS
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
SEVERE FLOODING
DEADLY MUDSLIDES
CROP DISASTERS
SCENARIOS  900, 888, 444, 111, 070, 066, 027, 025, 024, 023, 022, 09, 02
.

Mudslides triggered by EREs claim more lives in Italy

Extreme weather events have left at least a dozen people dead in Italy during the past four weeks.

The Liguria region has received more rain over the past two weeks than it normally gets in the entire year, said a report.

Extreme Rain Events (EREs) since mid October have swamped large swathes of Italy, inundating homes, businesses and infrastructure, causing damage estimated at up to two billion dollars so far.

Related Links

Flooding Forces Thousands to Evacuate in Italy November 6, 2014

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Powerful Quake Strikes Molucca Sea

Posted by feww on November 15, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SCENARIOS 700, 08, 07, 02
.

M7.1 Quake Strikes Halmahera, Indonesia

Centered at 1.928°N, 126.547°E the quake occurred at a depth of about 35km.

Tsunami Evaluation
Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BKMG) reported a small (9cm) tsunami at Jailolo, said NWS PTWC in Ewa Beach HI.

[Note: Jailolo is located about 20 km north of Ternate. Editor]

EQ Details
[BKMG: M7.3; 1.95°N, 126.46°E; 15-11-2014 @ 9:31:44 depth=48 Km; 137 km BaratLaut HALMAHERABARAT-MALUT]

Magnitude: 7.1Mw [Downgraded from 7.3Mw by USGS/EHP, as usual.]
Event Time: 2014-11-15 02:31:40 UTC
Location: 1.928°N, 126.547°E depth=35.0km (21.7mi)
Nearby Cities:

  • 156km (97mi) NW of Ternate City, Indonesia
  • 156km (97mi) NW of Ternate
  • 160km (99mi) ENE of Bitung
  • 164km (102mi) W of Tobelo
  • 1064km (661mi) SW of Koror Town, Palau

Aftershocks
At least 9 significant, highly localized, aftershocks measuring  between 4.3 and 5.5Mw have occurred, as of posting.

Related Earthquakes
Magnitude 5.8 shock struck 58km S of Molibagu, Indonesia.

[BKMG: M6.3;  0.39°S, 124.1°E; 15-11-2014 @ 10:08:05 WIB;   depth=59 Km; 93 km Tenggara BOLAANGMONGONDOWSEL-SULUT]

  • Magnitude: 5.8Mw [USGS/EHP]
  • Event Time: 2014-11-15 03:08:04 UTC
  • Location: 0.141°S 123.911°E depth=84.7km (52.6mi)

IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH EQ Forecast For detailed FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts tune into FIRE-EARTH Channel daily @ 06:32UTC.


 

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First Paralyzing Winter Storm Arrives

Posted by feww on November 15, 2014

DISASTERS CAUSED BY CLIMATE CHANGE
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS
PARALYZING WINTER STORM
SCENARIOS  887, 785, 666, 560, [500,] 444, 187, 177, 157, 111, 078, 063, 027, 023, 02
.

Arctic blast continues across much of the US: NWS

First major winter storm of the 2014/15 hitting the Rockies

A January-like weather pattern is forecast to continue across most of the US, with
another arctic surface high moving south from Canada, said NWS forecasters, reinforcing the freezing air mass already in place . . . “unseasonably cold temperatures will fall even further this weekend, and the cold temperatures will persist for most of the central and eastern U.S.”

The first significant winter storm for the central Rockies and intermountain West is underway and bringing heavy snow to the higher elevations and a wintry mix to the valley locations. Parts of Oregon and Idaho have already seen significant snow and ice accumulations from this event, and winter storm warnings and winter weather advisories are in effect from Oregon to the Colorado Rockies. [NWS]

The cold weather is forecast to affect the Deep South, with sub-freezing overnight lows from eastern Texas to the southeast coast, said the forecasters.

min temp-11-15-2014

National High and Low Temperature (for the contiguous United States)
NWS Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD – Issued 7 pm EST Friday, November 14, 2014

High Temperature for Friday, November 14, 2014

  • 29°C (84 degrees F) at Pembroke Pines, FL

Low Temperature for Friday, November 14, 2014

  • -31°C (-24 degrees F) at Jordan, MT
  • -31°C (-24 degrees F) at 12 miles north of Hingham, MT

Related Links

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Drought, Freeze Destroy More Crops in U.S. West, Southeast

Posted by feww on November 14, 2014

DISASTERS CAUSED BY CLIMATE CHANGE
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS
DROUGHT
FREEZING TEMPERATURES
CROP DISASTERS
SCENARIOS  560, 444, 187, 177, 157, 111, 100, 03, 02
.

Crop Disasters Declared for 25 Counties across Four States

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has declared crop disasters in multiple counties across four states—Idaho, Oregon, Tennessee and Washington—due to the losses and damage caused by recent drought, and freezing temperatures.

Designation #1 : Crop damage and losses caused by drought

USDA has declared crop disasters for the following counties in Idaho and Oregon due to losses and damages caused by a recent drought.

  •  Idaho: Adams, Gem, Idaho, Valley and Washington counties.
  • Oregon: Baker and Wallowa counties.

Designation #2 : Crop damage and losses caused also by drought

(USDA) has designated Wallowa County in Oregon as a primary natural disaster area due to damages and losses caused by a recent drought.

  • Oregon: Baker, Umatilla, Union and Wallowa counties.
  • Idaho: Adams, Idaho and Nez Perce counties.
  • Washington: Asotin, Columbia and Garfield counties.

Designation #3 : Crop damage and losses caused by Freezing Temperatures

USDA has designated eight counties in Tennessee as crop disaster areas due to damages and loses caused by freezing temperatures that occurred on March 26 and 27, 2014.

The disaster designations are as follows:

  • Bedford, Coffee, Marshall, Wilson, Cannon, Davidson, Rutherford and Williamson counties.

Crop Disasters 2014

Beginning January 10, 2014 USDA has declared crop disasters in at least 2,707 counties across 41 states. Most of those designations are due to  drought.

Those states are

  • Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. [FIRE-EARTH has documented all of the above listings. See blog content.]

Notes:
i. USDA trigger point for a countywide disaster declaration is 30 percent crop loss on at least one crop.

ii. The counties designated as agricultural disaster areas, as listed above, include both primary and contiguous disaster areas.

iii. Some counties may have been designated crop disaster areas more than once due to multiple disasters.

iv. The U.S. has a total of 3,143 counties and county-equivalents.

v. The disaster designations posted above were approved by USDA on November 12, 2014.

Latest/ Recent Crop Disaster Declarations

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M4.8 Quake Strikes Southern Kansas

Posted by feww on November 13, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SCENARIOS 700, [500,] 08, 07, 02
.

Significant Kansas quake felt throughout the state, neighboring Oklahoma

Centered at 37.275°N, 97.616°W, about 52km (32mi) SSW of Wichita, Kansas, the quake occurred at a predictable shallow depth of 2.9km.

Local media have reported structural damage to buildings in Wichita.

EQ Details

Magnitude: 4.8Mw
Event Time: 2014-11-12 21:40:00 UTC
Location: 37.275°N, 97.616°W depth=2.9km (1.8mi)
Nearby Cities:

  • 13km (8mi) S of Conway Springs, Kansas
  • 39km (24mi) SW of Haysville, Kansas
  • 42km (26mi) SW of Derby, Kansas
  • 52km (32mi) SSW of Wichita, Kansas
  • 200km (124mi) N of Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

Source: USGS/EHP

Intense Seismicity Continues in N. Nevada

Meantime, a magnitude 4.9 quake struck northern Nevada. The area has been rattled by at at least 32 additional shocks, with 17 quakes measuring ≥2.5Mw in the past 24 hours,  bringing the the total number of the quakes measuring  ≥2.5Mw near Bald Mountain to at least 174 since October 23, 2014.

EQ Details

Magnitude: 4.9Mw
Event Time: 2014-11-13 06:36:07 UTC
Location: 41.890°N 119.621°W depth=0.2km (0.2mi)
Nearby Cities

  • 63km (39mi) ESE of Lakeview, Oregon
  • 173km (107mi) E of Altamont, Oregon
  • 177km (110mi) E of Klamath Falls, Oregon
  • 184km (114mi) NNE of Susanville, California
  • 304km (189mi) N of Carson City, Nevada

[NOTE: USGS/EHP has upgraded the reported magnitude of the above event from 4.5 to 4.7, 4.8 and 4.9Mw, as of posting at 07:10 UTC. Editor]

Four of the largest quakes in the ongoing seismicity so far measured 4.6 to 4.9Mw striking at shallow depths near Bald Mountain.

  • 4.9Mw strikes 63km ESE of Lakeview, Oregon 2014-11-13 at 06:36:07 UTC at a depth of 0.2 km
  • 4.7Mw strikes 67km ESE of Lakeview, Oregon 2014-11-07 at 08:05:54 UTC at a depth of 0.0 km
  • 4.7Mw strikes 68km ESE of Lakeview, Oregon 2014-11-06 at 08:34:46 UTC at a depth of 5.3 km
  • 4.6Mw strikes 63km ESE of Lakeview, Oregon 2014-11-05 at 07:23:04 UTC at a depth of 0.1 km

nevada EQs 13nov14
Nevada EQ Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP

nevada EQs 13nov2014-amended
Amended EQ Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP

Some 194 earthquakes of all magnitudes have struck the U.S. (includes Alaska and Hawaii) in the past 24 hours, according to the USGS data.

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Theater of the Absurd

Posted by feww on November 12, 2014

Images of the Day:

Another Black Comedy Out of Hollywood!

‘Theater of the Absurd’ is a form of drama that emphasizes the absurdity of human existence by employing disjointed, repetitious and meaningless dialog ridden with clichés, purposeless confusing and hopeless situations, and plots that are cyclical or absurdly expansive and lack realistic or logical development…

And then, of course, there was Dr Strangelove!

Dr. Strangelove 1964 columbia pics corp
Peter Sellers in Dr. Starngelove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb  – (c) 1964 Columbia Pictures  Corporation
.

gen breedlove
SACEUR General Philip M. Breedlove. Photo courtesy of: SHAPE Public Affairs Office.

Related Links:

Other Links

CND Link

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40 Degrees Below Average

Posted by feww on November 11, 2014

Images of the Day:

Temps as much as 40 degrees below average from the Rockies to the Plains

Unseasonably cold temperatures brought by a polar vortex [arctic airmass] will continue to surge southward through the central U.S. Temperatures are forecast to drop by ass much as 40 degrees below climate average for areas east of the Rockies into the Great Plains: NWS/NOAA

temps-november-11-2014

Great Falls, Montana – Great Falls International Airport (KGTF)

Temperature: -20°C [-4°F]
Humidity: 86%
Wind Speed: SW 7 MPH
Barometer: 1044.0 mb [30.53 in]
Dewpoint: -22°C [-7°F]
Wind Chill: -18°F (-28°C)
Tuesday Night Forecast Low: -26°C [-15 °F]

  • Wind chill values:  as low as -35°C [-31 °F]

Last Update by NWS on 11 Nov 7:53 am MST

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⊆⊗⊇

June 27th Lava Flow Ignites First Home in Pahoa, Hawaii

Active lava has moved to within about 20 meters (22 yards) of the transfer station fence and also continued to expand through private property across the street from the station. At 11:55 AM, HST, an unoccupied home on that lot was set on fire by advancing lava. Source: HVO

HVO Image-971
Helicopter view looking west across the lower part of the June 27th lava flow. Smoke plumes show areas of active lava breakouts. The transfer station is in the middle of the image (white roofed structures). At upper left, smoke rises from the margin of a new, northeastward directed finger of lava. Source: HVO

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Polar Vortex to Scythe through the U.S.

Posted by feww on November 10, 2014

The Big Freeze could affect up to 220 million people across 44 states in the U.S.

Wind chill values of up to -35°F forecast this week

US Temperatures are forecast to plunge by as much as 30 degrees below average over parts of the Northern Plains.

The coldest weather of the season is expected to arrive in the next couple of days for the northern Rockies and northern Plains as a cold airmass moves out of Canada. Significant snowfall is likely for parts of the northern Rockies, northern Plains and Great Lakes region as the cold front moves southward. Winter Storm Watches, Warnings and Advisories are in place highlighting the associated risks.

A winter storm will bring heavy snow and gusty winds to portions of Northland today and tonight. The bulk of the snow, and best chance for totals in excess of 8 inches, will be along and south of a line from generally Duluth, MN to Brainerd, MN and across all of northern Wisconsin.

Additional snow will persist across the snow-belt region of northern Wisconsin through at least Wednesday, due to the cool north winds over Lake Superior. [NWS]

National High and Low Temperature (for the contiguous United States)
NWS Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD
Issued 7 am EST Monday, November 10, 2014 (Last Update on 10 Nov 5:53 am MST)

Low Temperature for Monday, November 10, 2014
1ºF at Great Falls, MT

Humidity: 91%
Wind Speed: SW 6 MPH
Barometer: 30.09 in (1027.0 mb)
Dewpoint: -1°F (-18°C)
Visibility: 9.00 mi
Wind Chill: -11°F (-24°C)

High Temperature for Sunday, November 9, 2014
91ºF  at Yuma, AZ
91ºF  at Elsinore, CA

Arctic Blast from the Past


Typical polar vortex configuration in November 14-16, 2013. NOAA

Wavy polar vortex configuration on January 5, 2014. NOAA

Dangerous wind chills are expected beginning late Monday night through at least Wednesday! Wind chill values are expected to drop to -10°F to -20°F in many areas, and prolonged exposure to these conditions could lead to frostbite or hypothermia. The coldest wind chill values are expected Tuesday night through Wednesday morning and valleys near the Continental Divide could see wind chill values locally up to -35°F. 

Areas along the snowbelt region of northern Wisconsin can expect snowfall totals on the 20 inches or more by Thursday.  [NWS]

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FEWW Event Alert

Posted by feww on November 10, 2014

CJ Members

Fire-Earth Event Alert

Details of the next Event Alert will be broadcast at the following times Monday, November 10, 2014 on FIRE-EARTH Channel:

  05:32, 06:32, 08:32 and 10:32UTC.

 

 

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M4.1 Quake Strikes Near Perkins, Oklahoma

Posted by feww on November 10, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SCENARIOS 700, [500,] 08, 07, 02
.

Significant Quake Strikes 8km NW of Perkins, Oklahoma

Centered at 36.03°N, 97.09°W the quake occurred at a signature depth of 5km.

EQ Details [USGS/EHP]

Event Time: 2014-11-09 20:10:19 UTC
Location: 36.031°N 97.093°W depth=5.0km (3.1mi)
Nearby Cities:

  • 8km (5mi) NW of Perkins, Oklahoma
  • 9km (6mi) SSW of Stillwater
  • 34km (21mi) ENE of Guthrie
  • 54km (34mi) NE of Edmond
  • 73km (45mi) NNE of Oklahoma City

Nevada Earthquakes

Meantime, intense low-medium seismicity continued in NW Nevada, with at least 252 shocks  ≤4.7Mw including 129 quakes measuring between 2.5 and 4.7Mw rattling the Bald Mountain area.


IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH EQ Forecast For detailed FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts tune into FIRE-EARTH Channel daily @ 06:32UTC.


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‘Misunderestimated’

Posted by feww on November 9, 2014

Images of the day:

Timelapse camera caught in Kīlauea overflow

HVO- preimage-955-s
A timelapse camera that USGS HVO scientists were using to monitor a lava tube skylight was caught in an overflow this morning. In this view, recent lava has surrounded the tripod and melted the power cable. Daily updates about Kīlauea’s ongoing eruptions, recent images and videos of summit and East Rift Zone volcanic activity, and data about recent earthquakes are posted on the HVO Web site at http://hvo.wr.usgs.gov. [Source: HVO]

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Severe Flooding Swamps W. Uganda, Slovenia, BA, Argentina

Posted by feww on November 8, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC DISASTERS
MAJOR DISASTERS
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING
SCENARIOS 900, 477, 444, 111,  097, 071, 070, 066, 047, 027, 025, 023
.

Deadly Floods Triggered by EREs Hit Buenos Aires Province

Extreme Rain Events (EREs) since late October have flooded the Luján River, inundating large areas across 23 districts in Buenos Aires Province, and forcing more than 5,300 evacuations, government sources were reported as saying.

The worst affected areas are Tigre, Quilmes, San Fernando, Ensenada and Lomas de Zamora, as well as Luján and La Matanza.

At least two deaths have been attributed to the flooding, said a report.

EREs Displace Thousands in Western Uganda

At least 16,000 people have been displaced in the western Uganda due to severe flooding after River Semliki burst its banks following extreme rain events (EREs)

Slovenia issues more flood alerts

Flood alerts have been issued for central and southern Slovenia as extreme rain events continued to pound the country.

Thousands of homes around Ljubljana, the capital and largest city of Slovenia, have been flooded as rivers continued rising, local media reported.

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‘Planetary Genesis’ Captured by ALMA

Posted by feww on November 7, 2014

Images of the  Day:

‘Planet formation’ captured in ALMA image

HL Tauri (HL Tau), the infant star at the center, is about a million years old, and is 450 light years (140 pc) from Earth in the constellation Taurus.

The sun-like star is surrounded by vast rings of dust and gas, which will form planets, asteroids and comets, and is trailed by the Herbig-Haro object HH 151.

A new image from ALMA, the Atacama Large Millimeter/ submillimeter Array, located in northern Chile’s Atacama desert, is said to reveal for the first time ever extraordinarily fine details  in the planet-forming disc around a young star, said researchers at ALMA Observatory.

ALMA’s antennas are spaced up to 15 kilometers apart to provide new high-resolution capabilities, said to be a major leap in the understanding of how protoplanetary discs develop and how planets form.

141105_ALMA_HL_01-small
141105_ALMA_HL_02-small
141105_ALMA_HL_03-small
Top: This is the sharpest image ever taken by ALMA — sharper than is routinely achieved in visible light with the Hubble Space Telescope. It shows the protoplanetary disc surrounding the young star HL Tauri. These new ALMA observations reveal substructures within the disc that have never been seen before and even show the possible positions of planets forming in the dark patches within the system. Credit: ALMA (ESO/NAOJ/NRAO) | DownloadMiddle: This is a composite image of the young star HL Tauri and its surroundings using data from ALMA (enlarged in box at upper right) and the Hubble Space Telescope (rest of the picture). This is the first ALMA image where the image sharpness exceeds that normally attained with Hubble. Credit: ALMA (ESO/NAOJ/NRAO)/ESA | Download. Bottom: This image compares the size of the Solar System with HL Tauri and its surrounding protoplanetary disc. Although the star is much smaller than the Sun, the disc around HL Tauri stretches out to almost three times as far from the star as Neptune is from the Sun. Credit: ALMA (ESO/NAOJ/NRAO) | Download

“These features are almost certainly the result of young planet-like bodies that are being formed in the disc. This is surprising since such young stars are not expected to have large planetary bodies capable of producing the structures we see in this image,” said Stuartt Corder, ALMA Deputy Director.

“When we first saw this image we were astounded at the spectacular level of detail. HL Tauri is no more than a million years old, yet already its disc appears to be full of forming planets. This one image alone will revolutionize theories of planet formation,” explained Catherine Vlahakis, ALMA Deputy Program Scientist and Lead Program Scientist for the ALMA Long Baseline Campaign. [Source and credit: ALMA (ESO/NAOJ/NRAO)]

More information posted HERE.

The lamb born with two heads dies

U2 [aka, Lambie, Two Face,] the New Zealand lamb born with two faces, has died of a brain bleed after 41 days in Southland, NZ.

NZ lamb
Photo shows Two Face shortly after birth.  Image: Supplied by owner/ Via nzherald

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