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Archive for October 30th, 2009

Epidemic of Pneumonic Plague in Ukraine?

Posted by feww on October 30, 2009

UPDATE – 9 NOV 2009

  • As of November 9, 155 people have died from swine flu and acute respiratory infections, including 11 people on November 8, Ukraine’s Interfax reported the Health Ministry as saying.
    • Total number of flu and respiratory diseases: 969,247
    • No of cases hospitalized: 48,972
    • Patients currently in intensive care: 446
  • Of the 11 people who died on November 8, three were in Chernivtsi region, two in Lviv, two in Ivano-Frankivsk, two in Rivne, one in Vinnytsia and one in Khmelnytsky regions, Interfax said.  “The epidemic threshold for influenza and acute respiratory infections has been exceeded in 13 regions and in Kyiv.”  Flu, respiratory infections kill 155 in Ukraine
  • “Government officials have gone on national television to deny other rumours that rural western Ukraine is in the grip of a deadly unnamed plague.” Globe and Mail

Ukraine’s Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko wears a protective mask as she visits a hospital in Ivano-Frankivsk. Ukraine has closed schools and banned public meetings for a three-week period after confirming its first death from the H1N1 flu. Photo: Alexander Prokopenko/Reuters. Image may be subject to copyright.

  • “KIEV, Nov 8 (Reuters) – Ukraine’s leader Viktor Yushchenko on Sunday dismissed the idea a January election should be delayed because of flu fears and appeared to accept there would be no more IMF funds forthcoming until after the vote.” Reuters
  • Slovakia is  closing  all but one road border crossing with Ukraine  because of Ukraine’s “flu epidemic.” Reuters

UPDATE – 5 NOV 2009

“The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control said that as of Wednesday, some 500,000 cases of acute respiratory illness and 86 related deaths had been reported in Ukraine.” —Reuters

For more links, other headlines


“Plague epidemic” has reportedly killed 7 adults, with pneumonia claiming another 20  in the Ternopil region of Ukraine

SHOCK! Epidemic of pneumonic plague in Ukraine? (updated at 05:39 pm)

A closed meeting has been held in Ivano-Frankivsk, at which participants agreed that epidemic of the so-called “pneumonic plague” is being spread throughout Ukraine. But the problem is its form is unknown, it is ATYPICAL nobody knows how to treat it.

PNEUMONIC PLAGUE has an acute course than other forms, over and is accompanied by a very high mortality rate. The incubation period of primary pneumonic plague rarely exceeds more than 1-4 days. It begins, as a rule, suddenly – with shivering, fever, headache, myalgia, weakness, nausea. The symptoms of pneumonia – cough with phlegm, chest pain, shortness of breath – usually appear on the second day of the disease. Blood spitting, growing respiratory disorders, heart failure, respiratory failure, shock are being observed. In primary pneumonic plague phlegm usually is watery or mucinous, foamy, with blood or visibly bloody.

A secondary pneumonic plague occurs as interstitial pneumonia. Phlegm is scanty and more dense and viscous than in primary pulmonary plague. It is believed that in this regard, patients are less contagious.

As a reminder, yesterday, on October 28 flu epidemic in the Ternopil Region, which had appeared a week ago, mowed down nearly 10,000 of residents. Moreover – unknown virus has already killed seven people. Ministry of Health has confirmed 20 deaths from pneumonia in Ternopil, Ivano-Frankivsk and Lviv Regions. By Yulia Makoveeva,

China’s Ministry of Health reported an outbreak of pneumonic plague in Qinghai Province, China, in August, with 12 confirmed cases, of which at least three died. Up to ten thousand people were placed under quarantine in the town of Ziketan in Qinghai province in northwest China.

For more information on plague, infection control, symptoms and treatment, see

Posted in Epidemic of pneumonic plague, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv Region, Ternopil, Ukraine plague | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments »

Seventh Powerful Quake Hits Japan Region

Posted by feww on October 30, 2009

Powerful Earthquake measuring up to 7.2 Mw Strikes  RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN


A powerful earthquake measuring up to 7.2 Mw occurred in Ryukyu Islands, Japan, about 280 km (175 miles) SSW of Kagoshima, Kyushu, at a depth of 35 km (21.7 miles), on Friday, October 30, 2009 at 07:03 UTC.

Referring to an earlier forecast, FEWW Moderators believe an additional series of 6 – 7 quakes measuring ≥ 6.0 Mw could strike Japan region in the coming weeks.

FEWW Moderators had previously anticipated more powerful earthquakes in the region, including as many as 10 additional magnitude 6+ quakes to strike the region in the coming weeks.

A moderate earthquake measuring up to 5.3 Mw struck near 29.165°N, 130.061°Eclose to the latest event on Sunday, October 25, 2009 at 06:17 UTC at a depth of about 47.5 km (29.5 miles).

10-degree Map Centered at 30°N,130°E

RYUKYU ISLANDS -  JAPAN - 30-10-2009
Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Map enhanced by FEWW.

Earthquake Details:

  • Reported Magnitude: 6.9 [Maximum quake magnitude estimated by FEWW at 7.2 Mw]
  • Date-Time:
    • Friday, October 30, 2009 at 07:03:39 UTC
    • Friday, October 30, 2009 at 04:03:39 PM at epicenter
  • Location: 29.154°N, 129.903°E
  • Depth:  35 km (21.7 miles)
  • Distances:
    • 280 km (175 miles) SSW of Kagoshima, Kyushu, Japan
    • 340 km (210 miles) SSW of Miyazaki, Kyushu, Japan
    • 400 km (245 miles) NNE of Naha, Okinawa, Japan
    • 1170 km (730 miles) SW of TOKYO, Japan
  • Location Uncertainty:  horizontal +/- 5.5 km (3.4 miles)
  • Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
  • Event ID: us2009njal

Seismic Hazard Map [USGS]

seis nes  30oct09
Major Tectonic Boundaries: Subduction Zones -purple, Ridges -red and Transform Faults -green

Historic Seismicity [Source: USGS?EHP]

RIJ his seis
Major Tectonic Boundaries: Subduction Zones -purple, Ridges -red and Transform Faults -green

Related Links:

Posted in earthquake forecast, Eurasian Plate, filipino plate, Japan quakes 2009, Japan quakes history, North American plate, Pacific palte, seismic activity report | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments »

Hindu Kush Rattled by Another Strong Quake

Posted by feww on October 30, 2009

Strong quake measuring up to 6.3 magnitude shook Hindu Kush Region, Afghanistan

The event was consistent with FEWW Forecast

The quake struck about 18 km WSW of another strong quake which struck the region a week ago.

10-degree Map Centered at 40°N,70°E

hindukush 10-30-2009
Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Map enhanced by FEWW.

Earthquake Details

  • Magnitude: 6.0 [Maximum quake magnitude estimated by FEWW at 6.3 Mw]
  • Date-Time: Thursday, October 29, 2009 at 17:44:31 UTC
    [Thursday, October 29, 2009 at 10:14:31 PM at epicenter]
  • Location: 36.434°N, 70.731°E
  • Depth: 205.6 km (127.8 miles)
  • Distances:
    • 75 km (45 miles) SSE of Feyzabad, Afghanistan
    • 130 km (80 miles) WNW of Chitral, Pakistan
    • 140 km (90 miles) SSW of Khorugh, Tajikistan
    • 255 km (160 miles) NNE of KABUL, Afghanistan
  • Location Uncertainty:  horizontal +/- 4.5 km (2.8 miles); depth +/- 7 km (4.3 miles)
  • Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
  • Event ID:  us2009niba

hindu kush
Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Map enhanced by FEWW.

After an earlier event in the area, a magnitude 6.4 quake which struck close to today’s epicenter almost exactly a week ago, FEWW forecast:

Further seismicity in the region should be expected in the coming days and weeks. An earthquake measuring up to 8.4 may occur in the region with a probability of 60 percent.”

Historic Seismicity Map

hist seis
Major Tectonic Boundaries: Subduction Zones -purple, Ridges -red and Transform Faults -green- (Source: USGS/EHP)

Related Links:

Posted in earthquake forecast, Earthquakes, feww earthquake forecast, seismic activity report, seismic hazard report | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »