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PHAILIN Becomes a Super Cyclonic Storm

Posted by feww on October 11, 2013

PHAILIN could be deadlier than 1999 ODISHA Cyclone

PHAILIN officially became a Super Cyclonic Storm short time ago, as forecast by FIRE-EARTH, packing sustained winds in excess of 250km per hour.

phailin 11oct13
Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN. VIS/IR Satellite Image recorded at 01:30UTC on October 11, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. FIRE-EARTH Enhancement.

Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN

  • Time: 04:00UTC on October 11, 2013
  • Movement: WNW – 285 degrees @ 10km/hr
  • Position: Near 16.1ºN, 88.4ºE
  • Max Sustained Winds: 260km/hr  [Super Cyclonic Storm]
  • Max Wind Gusts: 320km/hr
  • Estimated Landfall Location and Time:  Near Srikakulam, Andhra Pradesh, India at about 11:00UTC on October 12, 2013. [NOTE: JTWC forecast landfall position: Near 18.95ºN 84.66ºE ]
  • Source: FIRE-EARTH, JTWC and others

On October 10, 2013 FIRE-EARTH forecast that PHAILIN could become a super storm.

PHAILIN Projected Path 11oct13
Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN – Projected Path as of 04:30UTC on October 11, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

FIRE-EARTH Forecast

  • PHAILIN is expected to strengthen further [sustained wind of 270-275km/hr, wind gusts of up to 330km/hr ] and would likely make landfall with super cyclonic force.
  • The potentially deadly storm WILL impact East India’s entire coastline, as well as most of Bangladesh.

Other Details/ News

  • Indian authorities have issued a cyclone high alert for nine coastal districts of Andhra Pradesh.
  • Mass evacuations are underway.
  • All 14 coastal districts in Odisha have been put on high alert, five of them – Ganjam, Gajapati, Khurda, Puri, Jagatsinghpur – expected to be worst hit.
  • Andhra Pradesh government has put the navy, army and air force on standby for emergency and relief operations.

The 1999 Odisha Cyclone [aka, Cyclone 05B, and Paradwip]

The 1999 Odisha cyclone was the deadliest tropical cyclone to hit India since 1971. The Category Five super storm made landfall just weeks after a category 4 storm had hit the same region.

The deadly cyclone hit India on October 29, 1999 with sustained winds of about 250km/hr, killing an estimated 15,000 people and carving a path of destruction.

[NOTE: Google is not listing most of the images posted on FIRE-EARTH, or delay listing them for several days until they’ve lost their immediate relevance. Editor]

Related Links

2 Responses to “PHAILIN Becomes a Super Cyclonic Storm”

  1. Stella H Howell said

    “PHAILIN officially became a Super Cyclonic Storm short time ago”
    it would be appreciated to know how the above statement has been made.
    Thank you.

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