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Posts Tagged ‘Disaster Update’

Super Typhoon HAIYAN – NOV 10 Update

Posted by feww on November 10, 2013

Casualty Figures Moving Closer to FIRE-EARTH Forecasts

Super Typhoon HAIYAN has killed at least 10,000 people in the Tacloban alone,  according to the provincial governor.

Tacloban, officially the City of Tacloban (pop: 230,000), located central Philippines province of Leyte, bore the brunt of HAIYAN. The casualty figure has not yet been confirmed by the central government’s disaster agency.

FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models calculated the impact of Super Typhoon HAIYAN in the Philippines as a magnitude 6.2 catastrophe on the FEWW Disaster Scale, indicating large-scale regional destruction with up to 40,000 casualties, the blog said on Saturday.

Summary of Latest Events

Typhoon HAIYAN was downgraded to a Cat. 4A storm force on the FEWW New Hurricane Scale racing toward Indochina Peninsula, over the warm (29ºC) waters of South China Sea, at a forward speed of about 35 km/hr, as of 04:30UTC on Saturday November 9, 2013.

UPDATES – Sunday November 10, 2013

  • According to the latest official figures, about 500,000 people have been displaced and more than 4.5 million people affected as a result of the typhoon attack.
  • At least 300 people were killed in Samar province, with 2,000 others reported as missing. Scores of others are injured. “However vast areas of Samar, an island of over 733,000, still have not been contacted over two days after the typhoon struck.” AFP said.
  • Authorities in Vietnam have evacuated about 900,000 people in 11 provinces.
  • “Tacloban is totally destroyed. Some people are losing their minds from hunger or from losing their families,” a high school teacher told reporters. “People are becoming violent. They are looting business establishments, the malls, just to find food, rice and milk… I am afraid that in one week, people will be killing from hunger.”
  • “People are walking like zombies looking for food,” said a medical student in Leyte. “It’s like a movie.”
  • A tourist describing the scene of total devastation in Tacloban City said: “It’s like the end of the world.”
  • Aerial surveys show “significant damage to coastal areas” with large ships thrown ashore, countless homes destroyed and large swathes of crops “decimated,” said The U.N.’s Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UNOCHA).
  • President Benigno Aquino is reportedly considering to impose martial law to stem the widespread looting (!)

ty haiyan 10-11-13
Typhoon HAIYAN – IR/Water Vapor Difference [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image (recorded at 02:30UTC on November 10, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

UPDATES – Saturday November 9, 2013

  • As of 12:00UTC the typhoon-related death toll had climbed to 1,200, but it’s expected to rise sharply.
  • Large scale devastation has occurred in the islands of Leyte and Samar, which is consistent with FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models.
  • At least 36 provinces, out of a total of 80, have been severely affected.
  • FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models estimate the total cost of damage at more than $5billion.
  • At least 4.3 million people have been affected including about 350,000 who have lost their homes, according to the Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC).
  • The Super Typhoon pummeled seven of the country’s 17 regions, causing large-scale power outages across much of the disaster areas.
  • There are numerous reports of widespread looting across the disaster zone.
  • Dozens of towns throughout the disaster zone have declared states of calamity.
  • HAIYAN is currently targeting South China, moving close  to Vietnam shoreline, according to revised projections suggested by several models. This would be a nightmare scenario for Vietnam because the typhoon could dump 4 to 6 times more rain over the country, and affect a much larger land area, than previously forecast, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.
  • Chinese authorities have issued a level three emergency response as the recently downgraded Cat 2 typhoon approaches southern China.

FIRE-EARTH Models show storm surges of up to 20 meters high, generated by the Super Typhoon, striking coastal areas in the Bicol Peninsula. SEE

[NOTE: To those reporters who have difficulty understanding the basic mechanics of tsunamis:  The height of tsunamis are governed by at least two major factors, in this case, (i) the initial height of the storm surge, and (ii) the geographical characteristics of the attack area. This is best described by Diposaptono et al in their paper Impacts of the 2011 East Japan tsunami in the Papua region, Indonesia: field observation data and numerical analyses – Geophysical Journal International, Volume 194, Issue 3, p.1625-1639.

… the impacts of the 2011 East Japan tsunami in Yos Sudarso Bay, Papua, Indonesia. Although the far-field tsunami had a height of 0.8 m measured at a tide gauge inside the small U-shaped bay, it severely damaged four villages scattered along the bay. Detailed numerical analysis was carried out to explain the damages. We used a well-verified source model in the near- and far-field cases to model the propagation of the tsunami southward in the Pacific until reaching Papua Island, Indonesia. The numerical analyses demonstrate two causes of damage in the bay: the maximum tsunami velocity (3.5 m s-1) floated the houses in the villages of Tobati and Enggros and caused them to collapse, and water trapped by the hook-shaped peninsula amplified the tsunami height at the Holtekamp and Hanurata.

Extent of the Devastation

“From a helicopter, you can see the extent of devastation. From the shore and moving a kilometer inland, there are no structures standing. It was like a tsunami,” said Interior Secretary Manuel Roxas.
“The dead are on the streets, they are in their houses, they are under the debris, they are everywhere,” said Tecson John Lim, a Tacloban city administrator.

“I have never seen such damage in my life,” said Capt John Andrews, deputy director general of the Civil Aviation Authority in the Philippines. I saw “utter destruction.”

“At the airport, there’s actually no structure left standing except the walls,” he told reporters.

Bohol Island Earthquake Disaster Update

Meantime, the following disaster update has been issued for the M7.2 earthquake that struck Bohol Island on October 15 2013.

  • Number of people killed:  195  + (12 others missing, presumed dead)
  • Injuries: 651
  • About 350,000 people have been displaced.

The earthquake triggered massive landslides causing extensive damage to housing, hospitals, schools, infrastructure and utilities, with more than 53,300 houses severely damaged or destroyed.

More details to follow…

This post will be updated throughout Sunday.

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Death Toll from Mexico Storms Climbs to 110

Posted by feww on September 23, 2013

Mexico death toll from storms MANUEL and INGRID rises to 110, with 68 others still missing

Deadly storms MANUEL and INGRID have claimed at least 110 lives and left 68 others missing, presumed dead, after a mudslide buried the village of La Pintada in western Guerrero state.

Historic Rainfall

“We are confronting rainfall that has practically been the most extensive in the history of the entire national territory,” said President Nieto.

The death toll climbed after searchers recovered the bodies of five police officers who were killed when their Black Hawk helicopter crashed into a hillside near La Pintada on Thursday.

The storms have destroyed or damaged private property and public infrastructure in all but 2 of Mexico’s 31 states and affected a total of 1.2 million people, reports said.

About 40,000 tourists had to be evacuated, including 25,00 who were airlifted, out of Acapulco after severe flooding destroyed road and bridges cutting off the popular beach resort.

The full extent of disaster is still unknown because many rural communities remain cut off, officials said.

Other Global Disasters/ Significant Events

Residents in sections of Rio Arriba County, New Mexico, have been  told to evacuate due to flooding, Sunday night.

An evacuation order has been issued for residents along Highway 68 in Alcalde and Velarde, said a report.

Governor Martinez signed an executive order earlier this month declaring a statewide emergency due to flooding caused by extreme rain events.


Typhoon USAGI Disaster Update No. 2

Typhoon USAGI has killed at least 25 after making landfall in Guangdong Province late Sunday.

The powerful typhoon has affected about 5.48 million people, leaving 310,000 residents displaced.

USAGI has destroyed 8,490 homes and ruined 50,800 hectares of cropland.

The losses and damage from USAGI is estimated at about  CNY7.1billion (US$1.16 billion) in Guangdong province, said a report.


Iraq Violence

At least 39 people were killed on Sunday raising the death toll from Iraqi violence to 865 so far this month.

The killings occurred in Baghdad (29 people killed by gunfire, IEDs, suicide bomber), Mosul (9 killed by gunfire, IEDs ) and Abu Saida (1 person killed by gunfire), said Iraq Body Count.

As of September 22, at least 5,110 people have been killed and more than 12,000 other wounded in Iraq since the beginning of 2013, according to UNAMI figures.


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Disaster Update March 13

Posted by feww on March 13, 2010

Cyclone Hubert: 14 dead, 500 homes destroyed, 32,000 affected, thousands homeless

The seemingly innocuous tropical cyclone drenched Madagascar’s eastern coastline killing 14 people, destroying 500 homes and leaving 32,000 people affected, the government said on Friday.

The National Office for Risk and Catastrophe Management (BNGRC) said Hubert had also flooded thousands of other properties.

Hubert’s visible image
captured by NASA’s AIRS instrument as the storm was making a landfall, showing half of the storm is over land, and half is still over the Southern Indian Ocean on March 11, 2010. Source: NASA/JPL

Home to more than 5 percent of the world’s animal and plant species, Madagascar is the world’s fourth largest island. Madagascar is rich in oil, uranium, nickel and cobalt deposits. The country has a population of 21 million with a per capita GDP of $486 ($1.28 dollars per day). About 80 percent of the population live on less than a dollar per day.

The island is located in the southwestern Indian Ocean on a cyclone path and experiences storm landfalls almost every year.

Chile Quake Aftershocks

Rancagua, Chile. Two powerful aftershocks measuring 7.2M and 7.3M struck central Chile causing significant damage in the city of Rancagua according to various reports. As of posting there were no report of fatalities, however there were reports of extensive damage to roads throughout the region where the shocks occurred.

The aftershocks prompted the closure of several ports.

“All packinghouses stopped working yesterday as employees returned home. Also, because of the tsunami alert, ports were closed for around 24 hours.” Juan Pablo Vicuna, president of Santiago-based Dole Chile S.A. reportedly told the media on March 12.

“The originally expected shipments for this week [week of March 8] will be down around 45%,” Vicuna said.

“The Port of Valparaiso, through which most Chilean fruit exports pass, reopened March 12 and was running at about 60% capacity,” an industry spokesperson said, according to a report.

There were several reports of extensive road damage, power outages and employee fears reducing capacity at several other ports by 40 to 60 percent.

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